[rec.games.programmer] Platform Statistics

xanthian@zorch.SF-Bay.ORG (Kent Paul Dolan) (04/22/91)

njacobs@nssdca.gsfc.nasa.gov writes:

> I have seen estimates that the PC market worldwide is about 85%
> IBM-compatible, about 10% Mac, with the others negligible.

The other markets may be negligible in percentage terms, but think before
you ignore them as a games market.

While the IBM-compatible and Mac entries indeed dominate the installed
base, the games market for the IBM-compatible machines is extremely
competitive, and a dandy living can be made in one of the niche markets.

With 40,000 unit sales a reasonable goal for a successful game, the Amiga
market, with 2 million installed base and rising rapidly, only needs a
2% market penetration for success.  The Atari market is probably similar.

The Mac market, another poster notes, seems to have a dearth of _good_
games, and (if 10% is accurate), an installed base of 5,000,000 units is
a juicy target. My only guess for why so few excellent games exist on
the Macs is the rumored difficulty of fighting ones way past the
operating system's barriers to successful code.

Somewhere in there is a moral lesson; sooner or later, software sales
drive hardware sales, so if you want your machine to sell, make software
for it easy to write.

On that basis the NeXT, with its rumored incredibly easy to program
applications interface, may be a market to watch for games programmers,
even with its current laughably small market share.

For one thing, if you have the money to spend, it might be a great
platform on which to _prototype_ a game rapidly, even if it is not the
eventual target machine, and if you use your sales success in the target
market to fund selling your prototype to the NeXT market (quite possibly
for no profit but the prospects of future profit) and thus drive up NeXT
sales, there may be a stronger NeXT market the next time you go back.

And, for at least a little while, the existing NeXT market is going to
be _very_ hungry for games, so you might surprise yourself and do better
than break even.

I've cross-posted and sent followups to comp.sys.amiga.advocacy, as this
kind of PC comparision discussion tends to go downhill rapidly from this
point, and that group is designed for the usual breast pounding
responses a posting like this elicits. Anyone with a non-defensive and
non-abusive comment is free to answer back into rec.games.programmer
instead, of course.


                                                           /// It's Amiga
                                                          /// for me:  why
Kent, the man from xanth.                             \\\///   settle for
<xanthian@Zorch.SF-Bay.ORG> <xanthian@well.sf.ca.us>   \XX/  anything less?
--
Convener, COMPLETED comp.sys.amiga grand reorganization.