lm@arizona.edu (Larry McVoy) (03/23/88)
Today I read an article (in Time magazine, I'll admit) that quoted Chen
as saying "Five years from now we should be at 100 billion gigaflops."
Let's see: I know of 10 gigaflop machines so I suppose we probably
have 100 gigaflop machines around as well. So he is saying that we'll
see 1,000,000,000 times improvement over the next five years. Now, the
context was most definitely multi processor computing so that helps a
bit, but what do you think? Do you think we'll see that kind of jump?
I don't know, I suppose anything is possible.... If he is right and
he does it, Cray blew it.
Ahh, here's some help: he says he wants to problems that take 3 months
now in a day. But that is only a 90x improvement. If we had a
billion times improvement, we could do, in a day, a problem that would take
27,777 centuries (assuming I did my math correct, but it's around there)
of current computation time. So I suspect that Time quoted him wrong.
Does anyone closer to Chen have any idea what was said/meant?
--
Larry McVoy lm@arizona.edu or ...!{uwvax,sun}!arizona.edu!lmdick@ccb.ucsf.edu (Dick Karpinski) (03/25/88)
In article <4449@megaron.arizona.edu> lm@megaron.arizona.edu (Larry McVoy) writes: >Today I read an article (in Time magazine, I'll admit) that quoted Chen >as saying "Five years from now we should be at 100 billion gigaflops." It would seem most likely that the statement should rather read: "Five years from now we should be at 100 billion (or giga) flops." (Cray's new machine is said to do >10 gigaflops.) Dick Dick Karpinski Manager of Minicomputer Services, UCSF Computer Center UUCP: ...!ucbvax!ucsfcgl!cca.ucsf!dick (415) 476-4529 (11-7) BITNET: dick@ucsfcca or dick@ucsfvm Compuserve: 70215,1277 USPS: U-76 UCSF, San Francisco, CA 94143-0704 Telemail: RKarpinski Domain: dick@cca.ucsf.edu Home (415) 658-6803 Ans 658-3797