[comp.arch] Killer Micros

reiter@babbage.harvard.edu (Ehud Reiter) (11/26/89)

Two comments on Killer Micros vs Mainframes:

(1) For large systems, computer cost is often just a small part of total
cost.  Suppose, say, that corporate buyer X noticed that a $100K Killer Micro
had equivalent compute power to the $1M mainframe he was considering.
This sounds like a dramatic savings.  But, when the buyer adds in the $5M
he's going to spend on peripherals, software, building costs, etc, he's
looking at a system cost of $5.1M for the Killer Micros, vs $6M for the
mainframe.  It's a savings, but not nearly as dramatic a one - and considering
that a bad computer system could cost his company $10M+ in lost business,
one could forgive the buyer for being cautious.

(2) Mainframe operating systems (e.g. MVS) are much superior to Killer Micro
OS's (inevitably a UNIX variant) in terms of reliability, security, error
recovery and the like, and also make far better use of that $5M worth of
peripherals.  Sure, programming under MVS is a nightmare (I've done it),
and most programmers would probably prefer to write UNIX code.  But, from
an end-user's perspective, MVS has a lot of advantages, and the above-mentioned
corporate buyer is unlikely to move to a Killer Micro system until such a
system has a competitive OS.


Killer Micros will make headway, but it will be slow headway.  It's taken
DEC 20 years to go from supplying well-regarded small scientific
computers (e.g. PDP-8's) to *starting* to supply corporate data centers,
and I suspect Killer Micros face the same kind of timescale.

					Ehud Reiter
					reiter@harvard	(ARPA,BITNET,UUCP)
					reiter@harvard.harvard.EDU  (new ARPA)

schow@bcarh61.bnr.ca (Stanley T.H. Chow) (11/26/89)

In article <3257@husc6.harvard.edu> reiter@harvard.harvard.edu () writes:
>
>(2) Mainframe operating systems (e.g. MVS) are much superior to Killer Micro
>OS's (inevitably a UNIX variant) in terms of reliability, security, error
>recovery and the like, and also make far better use of that $5M worth of
>peripherals.  Sure, programming under MVS is a nightmare (I've done it),
>and most programmers would probably prefer to write UNIX code.  But, from
>an end-user's perspective, MVS has a lot of advantages, and the above-mentioned
>corporate buyer is unlikely to move to a Killer Micro system until such a
>system has a competitive OS.
>

Boy, this is most likely a mega-flame starter. I have found that there
are few issues that can generate as much flames as RICS vs CICS. The 
most notable is Unix vs anything.

You not only said "Killer Micros" won't kick ass in the real world, you
also said Unix is not as good as MVS. I hope you have a really thick
asbestas suit. :-) Well, at least you didn't get into the language wars
or the editor wars. :-)


BTW, I happen to agree your accessments but the Killer Micros do have
their places in some scientific computing jobs.

Stanley Chow        BitNet:  schow@BNR.CA
BNR		    UUCP:    ..!psuvax1!BNR.CA.bitnet!schow
(613) 763-2831		     ..!utgpu!bnr-vpa!bnr-rsc!schow%bcarh61
Me? Represent other people? Don't make them laugh so hard.

mcdonald@uxe.cso.uiuc.edu (11/26/89)

>Killer Micros will make headway, but it will be slow headway.  It's taken
>DEC 20 years to go from supplying well-regarded small scientific
>computers (e.g. PDP-8's) to *starting* to supply corporate data centers,
>and I suspect Killer Micros face the same kind of timescale.

This must show something about the mentality of corporate
data centers. 

DEC is now trying to sell VAX's to those folks. The first VAX, and
the first version or two of VMS were very nice. Later ones keep
getting worse and worse - harder to use, slower (the software is slower),
and MUCH less cost effective relative to the rest of the marketplace.
We used to like DEC around here, but now their salesperson gets
laughed out of the room!

You are implying that corporate data centers will buy Killer Micros
just as they are replaced for everybody else by something better!

Doug McDonald

roy@phri.nyu.edu (Roy Smith) (11/26/89)

In article <46500089@uxe.cso.uiuc.edu> mcdonald@uxe.cso.uiuc.edu writes:
>> It's taken DEC 20 years [...] *starting* to supply corporate data centers,
> This must show something about the mentality of corporate data centers. 

	It has always been a truism that nobody ever got fired for buying
IBM.  It's probably true today that nobody ever gets fired for buying DEC.
To most people in corporate America, making any kind of decision (from
which million dollar mainframe to buy to which brand of toilet paper should
go in the executive john) means taking the path which is least likely to
get you fired.
-- 
Roy Smith, Public Health Research Institute
455 First Avenue, New York, NY 10016
{att,philabs,cmcl2,rutgers,hombre}!phri!roy -or- roy@alanine.phri.nyu.edu
"The connector is the network"

bzs@world.std.com (Barry Shein) (11/28/89)

>	It has always been a truism that nobody ever got fired for buying
>IBM.  It's probably true today that nobody ever gets fired for buying DEC.
>To most people in corporate America, making any kind of decision (from
>which million dollar mainframe to buy to which brand of toilet paper should
>go in the executive john) means taking the path which is least likely to
>get you fired.
>-- 
>Roy Smith, Public Health Research Institute

I assume everyone realizes that phrase is not a bit of quaint advice
but a salesperson's threat to a customer wandering from the fold?

I didn't think so. But it's rather disgusting, up there with Tex
Antoine's infamous "lay back and enjoy it" advice to rape victims.
-- 
        -Barry Shein

Software Tool & Die, Purveyors to the Trade         | bzs@world.std.com
1330 Beacon St, Brookline, MA 02146, (617) 739-0202 | {xylogics,uunet}world!bzs

paulr@mips.COM (Paul Richardson) (11/28/89)

In article <1989Nov27.171937.9661@world.std.com> bzs@world.std.com (Barry Shein) writes:
>
>>	It has always been a truism that nobody ever got fired for buying
>>IBM.  It's probably true today that nobody ever gets fired for buying DEC.
>>To most people in corporate America, making any kind of decision (from
>>which million dollar mainframe to buy to which brand of toilet paper should
>>go in the executive john) means taking the path which is least likely to
>>get you fired.
>>-- 
>>Roy Smith, Public Health Research Institute
>
>I assume everyone realizes that phrase is not a bit of quaint advice
>but a salesperson's threat to a customer wandering from the fold?
>
>I didn't think so. But it's rather disgusting, up there with Tex
>Antoine's infamous "lay back and enjoy it" advice to rape victims.
>-- 
>        -Barry Shein
>
Yeah, and the Emperor is wearing new clothes too !

/pgr

-- 
/pgr
I don't want to work,I just want to bang on the drums all day - T Rundgren

{ames,prls,pyramid,decwrl}!mips!paulr or paulr@mips.com

roy@phri.nyu.edu (Roy Smith) (11/28/89)

Me:
> nobody ever got fired for buying IBM.
> To most people in corporate America, making any kind of decision [...]
> means taking the path which is least likely to get you fired.

In <1989Nov27.171937.9661@world.std.com> bzs@world.std.com (Barry Shein):
> I assume everyone realizes that phrase is not a bit of quaint advice
> but a salesperson's threat to a customer wandering from the fold?

	I meant it as neither advice nor threat, simply as an observation
on the state of the world, as I percieve it.  People make safe decisions,
with more regard to immediate loss prevention and short-term profit than to
long term goals.  Were this not true, the American Computer Industry would
find some way to prevent the Perken-Elmer/Nikon deal.  Were this not true,
companies like Sun would be jumping all over each other to get in on the
ground floor of rebuilding the American DRAM industry.  Were this not true,
the Giants wouldn't be playing their damn "prevent" defense!
-- 
Roy Smith, Public Health Research Institute
455 First Avenue, New York, NY 10016
{att,philabs,cmcl2,rutgers,hombre}!phri!roy -or- roy@alanine.phri.nyu.edu
"The connector is the network"