[fa.arms-d] Arms-Discussion Digest V2 #59

arms-d@ucbvax.ARPA (09/24/84)

From: Moderator <ARMS-D@MIT-MC.ARPA>

Arms-Discussion Digest Volume 2 : Issue 59
Today's Topics:

	Scientific American star wars article
	Who wanted WWI
	
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Date: 16 Sep 1984 0758-PDT
From: CAULKINS@USC-ECL.ARPA
Subject: "Scientific American" star wars article
To:   arms-d@MIT-MC

The October 1984 issue of Scientific American has an article
titled "Space-Based Ballistic-Missile Defense" by Bethe, Garwin,
Gottfried and Kendall (P39 - 49).

The authors explore the technical considerations involved in
space-based missile defense in considerable detail, covering low-orbit
and geosynchronous systems, ground and space-based lasers, pop-up
systems with X-ray lasers, homing projectiles, etc.  I quote from the
closing section:

"...In our view the questionable performance of the proposed defense,
the ease with which it could be overwhelmed or circumvented and its
potential as an antisatellite system would cause grievous damage to
the security of the U.S. if the Strategic Defense Initiative were to
be pursued.  The path toward greater security lies in quite another
direction.  Although research on ballistic-missile defense should
continue at the traditional level of expenditure and within the
constraints of the ABM treaty, every effort should be made to
negotiate a bilateral ban on the testing and use of space weapons.
..."

I recommend reading it.

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Date: 20 Sep 1984 14:48-PDT
Sender: WARD@USC-ISIF.ARPA
Subject: Who wanted WWI
From: Craig E. Ward <WARD@USC-ISIF.ARPA>
To: ARMS-D@MIT-MC.ARPA

If you want quick and simple reasons why some of the various nations
of Europe started World War I:

	Germany: Earn their place in the Sun (Empire building)
	France: Revenge for their loss of the war in 1870
	Austria-Hungry: Empire building
	Russia: Protect fellow Slavs in Serbia (Beat on Austria)
	Great Britain: Keep Germany in its place (Keep an empire)

It is wrong to state that Germany alone wanted war.  Each nation made
a reasoned decision to get involved.  It is obvious now that their reasoning
was faulty.

Most of you know that the first domino was that some Archduke of Austria was
assassinated.  This started a quarrel between Austria and Serbia.  The
Russians did not want to see their Slavic brothers dominated by Austria so
they began to mobilize; however, the wonderful Russian general staff had never
contemplated a war against Austria-Hungry alone.  All their plans mobilized
along both the borders of Austria-Hungry and Germany.  Of course, despite
Russian assurances that they would not attack, the Germans could not stand
idle while the might of Russia gathered across the border...

I do not want to imply that it was all Russian stupidity that caused the
war but to illustrate part of the "black comedy" that went on at the time.
There were a lot of things going on and it is not possible to come up with
one central (no pun intended) cause.

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[End of ARMS-D Digest]