[misc.activism.progressive] NICANET HOTLINE 06-10-91

rich@pencil.cs.missouri.edu (06/14/91)

            NICARAGUA NETWORK HOTLINE ** 202-544-9360

                         June 10, 1991

You have reached the Nicaragua Network Hotline recorded Monday, 
June 10, 1991.   To reach our office, call: 202-544-9355.

Topics covered in this hotline include: FSLN walks out of 
National Assembly over UNO vote to drop World Court case; Lacayo 
claims victory for economic plan; the continuing struggle over 
property ownership; and cotton and coffee harvests full of 
uncertainty.

The 39 Sandinistas of the National Assembly have withdrawn 
indefinitely from the Assembly after UNO representatives voted 49 
to 1 to revoke the law that prevented President Chamorro from 
dropping Nicaragua's World Court victory against the United 
States.  Dropping the World Court case has been a key demand 
of the US.  The US has been unable to use the World Court against 
Iraq due to the Reagan and Bush administrations refusal to 
recognize World Court jurisdiction in the Nicaragua case.  The 
World Court ruled in favor of Nicaragua in 1986 and ordered the 
US to pay reparations for the contra war and mining the 
Nicaraguan harbors.  The losses inflicted by the US on Nicaragua 
are estimated at $17 billion.

Calling the decision a "stab in the back for national 
sovereignty," former Vice President and leader of the Sandinista 
bench in the National Assembly, Sergio Rarmirez led the walk-out.  
Ramirez accused the government of "bowing to U.S. pressure."  
Former President Daniel Ortega said, "Under no point of view will 
we comply with this act of treachery which works against the 
stability of the country."

Written into the law was a requirement that it would take a two-
thirds vote of the National Assembly to revoke it.  
Constitutional issues and issues of sovereignty or patrimony 
require a two-thirds vote.  It is unclear to us how the law could 
be revoked by 49 of the 92 members of the National Assembly.  The 
next step could be to take the issue to the Nicaragua Supreme 
Court which, although dominated by Chamorro appointees, last 
month threw out major portions of Chamorro's decree which 
established procedures for returning land confiscated by the 
Sandinista government.

Minister of the Presidency Antonio Lacayo held a press conference 
congratulating the government on the success of its economic 
plan.  He claimed an inflation rate for May of 6% which would 
translate to an annual rate of slightly over 100% if UNO can keep 
the monthly rate of inflation at 6%.  Compared to the 1990 
inflation rate of 13,000 percent, UNO's economic plan appears to 
be working.  Lacayo emphasized that any wage increase would 
endanger the plan and will not be considered.


The preliminary success of UNO's economic plan has been 
accomplished at the expense of the poor majority of Nicaraguans.  
During the second phase of the national dialogue, or concertacion 
talks now underway, Jose Angel Bermudez, a representative of the 
National Labor Front (FNT) stated that the government plan has 
had a "grave social cost."  Unemployment remains at 50%.  69.4% 
of the population cannot satisify their basic necessities.  
Nearly a quarter of the population is said by the UN to live in 
extreme poverty.  Infant mortality has risen to 73 dead per 1,000 
live births, health care, free education, agricultural credit to 
small and medium farmers, and food subsidies have all been 
slashed or eliminated.

The United States, which makes no pretext of having economic 
democracy within its own borders, through its control of 
international lending institutions, requires Nicaragua and other 
countries seeking international loans, to eliminate any vestige 
of economic democracy in their own country as a condition of the 
loans.  The Sandinista model of economic justice, and their fight 
to preserve the economic gains won by the poor majority through 
the Revolution, remains a valid model not only for the poor 
countries of the world but for our own as well.

Consequences are still reverberating after the Nicaraguan Supreme 
Court's revocation of portions of Decree 11-90 under which UNO 
has been returning property confiscated under the Sandinista 
government.  Chamorro issued a new decree 23-91 reaffirming the 
government's commitment to return confiscated properties and 
asserts the validity of "all property returns already physically 
made, as long as they were made by a competent authority."  The 
definition of "competent authority" is unclear since it was the 
National Confiscation Review Commission established by decree 11-
90 that the Supreme Court ruled unconstitutional.  The new decree 
will compensate former owners rather than give them possession of 
the property, if the property is now occupied by campesinos.

The struggle over land ownership is far from over.  President of 
the National Assembly and former civilian contra leader, Alfredo 
Cesar Cesar,  angrily attacked decree 23-91 and said that 
property rights will only be re-established when properties are 
physically returned.  And the right-wing business council COSEP 
has demanded that unless property rights are the first item on 
the National Dialogue agenda, they will not participate.  The 
FSLN has demanded a list of properties already returned and the 
Attorney General claims no such list exists.  The property issue, 
which has been the primary cause of continuing violence in the 
countryside will continue into the foreseeable future.

In an amusing turnabout to a situation which is far from amusing, 
the former owner of a property now housing the Mexican Embassy in 
Managua has applied to have his property returned.  Recently the 
Mexican ambassador sent a much-criticized letter to the Attorney 
General supporting the return of the house now owned by Daniel 
Ortega to its former owner.


And finally, the fragility of the economic situation is 
demonstrated by Nicaragua's two most economically important 
agricultural commodities -- coffee and cotton.  Reports are that 
the coffee crop this winter has the potential of being the best 
ever, but only if the government quickly makes credit available 
according to Amilcar Navarro of the farmers and ranchers union, 
UNAG.  Small scale coffee farmers produce 60% of Nicaragua's 
coffee crop.  They have used their own money to cultivate and 
maintain the crop that will ripen this winter.  Unless they soon 
have access to credit many will be unable to continue to maintain 
their crop.  Cotton producers, who are primarily large land 
owners are refusing to plant unless the government gives them 
more favorable credit.  The timing of the gold cordoba 
devaluation in March gave cotton growers an incredible windfall 
profit, which they then blew by failing to settle a strike until 
much of their crop had been destroyed.  The government has 
reduced its projection of 259,500 acres of cotton to 74,000 
acres, but cotton producers are threatening to only plant 52,000 
acres and have so-far only applied for credit for a total of 
12,000 acres, an all time low.  We noticed that Lacayo did not 
claim that the cotton growers demands were a threat to the 
economic plan as he did of the workers wage demands.

This hotline will be updated next on Tuesday June 18, a day later 
than usual.  To become a supporter and receive our publications 
and mailings, please contact us.  The Nicaragua Network's address 
is: 1247 E St., SE, Washington, DC  20003; our phone: 202-544-
9355.
** End of text from cdp:reg.nicaragua **