rick@cs.arizona.edu (Rick Schlichting) (05/27/91)
[Dr. David Kahaner is a numerical analyst visiting Japan for two-years
under the auspices of the Office of Naval Research-Asia (ONR/Asia).
The following is the professional opinion of David Kahaner and in no
way has the blessing of the US Government or any agency of it. All
information is dated and of limited life time. This disclaimer should
be noted on ANY attribution.]
[Copies of previous reports written by Kahaner can be obtained from
host cs.arizona.edu using anonymous FTP.]
To: Distribution
From: David K. Kahaner, ONR Asia [kahaner@xroads.cc.u-tokyo.ac.jp]
Re: Statistics about Japanese computing, circa 1989.
27 May 1991
ABSTRACT. Statistics about Japanese computing, such as value of exports,
etc., are given.
The following information was provided to me by the
Japan Electronic Industry Development Association
Kikai-Shinko Bldg, 3-5-8 Shiba-Koen
Minato-ku, Tokyo 105 Japan
Tel: +81-3-3433-6296, Fax: +81-3-3433-6350
and is based on surveys conducted by MITI, reflecting the Japanese
computer industry in 1989. The last tables, containing forcasts are from
JEIDA directly.
Production value of computers Computer exports
Year (Trillions of Yen)
1985 3.4 1.4
1986 3.9 1.5
1987 4.4 1.8
1988 5.1 2.1
1989 5.7= $US41.0 Billion 2.4 = $US17.4 Billion
(138Y = 1$US)
Average annual growth rate
14% 15%
-----------
Electronic industry production:
Components 34%
Computers 26
Communication
& others 22
Consumer 18
electronics
Total value 21.8 Trillion Yen = $158 Billion
-----------
Computer Exports from and Imports to Japan 1989
Peripherals 50% 27%
Components 35 37
Computer CPUs 15 36
-----------
Computers and related equipment, share of production value 1989
Peripherals 37%
Terminals 13
--
50
Aux storage dev 40% of 50%
Printers 22% "
Displays 6 "
Transmission dev 3 "
I/O devices 3 "
Terminals 26 "
Others 4
--
54%
CPUs 46%
GP computers 53% of 46%
Office " 13 " (Under 40Million Yen)
Mini&WS " 5 " (32-bit = 80% in 1988)
Personal " 30 "
Value in Billions of Yen Peripherals
Year General Purpose Office Mini&WS Personal & Terminals
1985 833 141 53 375 1907
1986 985 149 52 432 2369
1987 1165 176 56 526 2628
1988 1353 226 99 649 2889
1989 1376 328 119 751 3037
-----------
Production of General Purpose Computers 1989 by industry type
Total value = 1.38 Trillion Yen = $US10.0 Billion
Installed Value (340K units, 9.5 Trillion Yen = $US 65.3 Billion)
Value Units
Electrical Machinery 16.8% 4.5
Other Manufacturing 18.8 20.2
Wholesaler, Retailer & Restaurant 15 41.1
Finance & Insurance 17 3.9
Information Services 7 8.9
General & Other Services 6.8 7.4
Transportation & Telecommunications 6.8 4.2
Public Sector 7
Others 4.8 9.8
-----------
Domestic (inside Japan) shipments of personal computers 1989
1989 Aggretate (Thousands of Units)
Personal computers 1580 9574
Word processors 2700 10814
Game computers 1160 14220
----------
Forcast Changes in Electronics Equipment Demand/Production in Japan
% yearly increases
(Figures are in $US Billions) from year x to 2000
1988 1992 1995 2000 88 92 95
Elec Indus Total 110/161 150/213 191/266 293/401 9/8 9/8 9/9
Elec equip total 73/109 100/143 126/176 190/259 8/7 8/8 8/8
AV 15/31 17/33 20/37 27/48 5/4 6/5 6/5
Communication 14/20 19/26 24/32 35/46 8/7 8/7 8/8
Computers 30/40 47/60 62/78 100/124 10/10 10/10 10/10
Office 4/7 5/9 5/11 7/14 4/5 4/5 4/5
Measuring 4/5 6/7 7/8 10/12 7/7 7/7 7/8
Other 5/6 6/8 8/10 12/15 8/8 8/8 9/8
Elec parts total 38/51 50/70 65/90 103/142 9/9 9/9 10/10
General 16/21 19/24 22/27 29/34 5/4 6/4 6/5
Devices 22/30 31/46 43/63 74/108 11/11 11/11 11/11
------------------------END OF REPORT----------------------------