[net.ham-radio] PFB 31

ad7i@houxp.UUCP (Paul Newland) (08/06/83)

qst de ad7i
holmdel, new jersey, u.s.a.
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 31	from arrl headquarters
newington ct  august 1, 1983
to all radio amateurs bt

the solar flux dipped to a low of 119 on july 27, but then began to
rise rapidly.  by july 31 it was up to 153, its highest level since
early june.  it appears likely to go higter, and remain above recent
levels through the first two days of august.  as has been stated in
recent bulletins, this rise is unlikely to make a marked difference
in our summertime dx conditions.

the condition of the earths magnetic field is of more importance at
this season.  it has been erratic in the past week, and propagation
has been more than normally variable.  a more calm period is due
august 1 and 2, but erratic propagation is expected again august 3 to
6.  sporadic e skip is still with us, but it will become less common
in early august.  high latitude f layer propagation will improve and
the muf will be moving higher after mid august.

american sunspot numbers for july 21 through 27 were between 61 and
124 with a mean of 90.7  ar