[net.ham-radio] Propagation Bulletin 42

ad7i@houxp.UUCP (10/18/83)

qst de ad7i
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 42  from arrl headquarters
newington ct  october 17, 1983
to all radio amateurs bt

two of the largest active areas seen on the sun in recent weeks
brought the solar flux to a two month high of 140 on october 13.  the
first of these areas will disappear around the west limb by october
18 and the other is only a few days behind it.  thus we see the solar
flux dropping sharply, to 112, on the 16th.  a reversal and a gradual
rise are expected after about the 20th.

fairly high geomagnetic activity has kept propagation to better than
fair on all circuits traversing the higher latitudes.  this will
continue, except for brief periods of good conditions centered on
october 20, 27, and november 1.

the falling off of high latitude muf with decreasing solar activity
is apparent from the propagation charts in qst for october, pages 66
and 67.  the muf will continue high on north south paths, and to a
lesser extent on all transequatorial circuits.  the next six weeks or
so will bring the highest muf and the most favorable dx con itions of
the entire year, for a given level of solar flux.

american sunspot numbers for october 6 through 12 were between 81 and
133 with a mean of 102.3  ar