[net.ham-radio] Propagation Bulletin 43

ad7i@houxp.UUCP (Paul Newland) (10/25/83)

qst de ad7i
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 43  from arrl headquarters
newington ct  october 24, 1983
to all ra io amateurs bt

the two sunspot groups mentioned in last weeks bulletin have gone
around the west limb.  their activity was fallin  off, and there have
been no new significant areas to replace them.  after a high of 140
on october 18, the solar flux fell quickly to 88 on the 22.  this was
the lowest flux value reading in nearly 6 years.

despite marked lower solar activity, propagation was generally good
on 28 mhz last week, especially october 19 through 21.  this was
mainly because the sun was entering its most favorable position of
the year for hf propagation in the northern hemisphere.

there were traces of new east west activity october 23.  the solar
flux rose only one point, but the trend should be toward higher
readings through early november.  if there are no major flares, and
the flux rise is gradual, some of the best dx conditions of the
autumn will be enjoyed november 4 to 9.  disturbances for low levels
and severe fading in the past two days should clear by october 5 and
propagation should peak october 27 to 29.  disturbances and high
latitude propagation are likely again october 30 through november 3
before the longer period of generally good conditions begins about
november 4.

american sunspot numbers for october 13 through 19 were between 39
and 85 for a mean of 58.9  ar