[net.ham-radio] arrl propagation forecast nr 33

rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig) (08/14/84)

qst de k9eui
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 33   from arrl headquarters
newington ct  august 13, 1984
to all radio amateurs bt

the solar flux reached a peak of  93  on  august  10  and  then
turned downward, to 86 on the 12th.  it is expected to continue
downward for several days.  as in recent weeks,  variations  in
the  flux  level  are  not  expected  to be a major propagation
factor.  we have had some good days already in  august,  and  a
seasonal pickup has been observable on 21 and 28 mhz.

fluctuations  in  the  earths  magnetic  field  will  influence
propagation to a greater extent.  magnetic k and a indices were
rising at bulletin time, with high latitude circuits  suffering
accordingly.  generally low signal levels will prevail early in
the forecast week, but propagation will  improve  after  august
15.   fair  to  good  signal  levels and reduced fading will be
observed most of the  time  august  16  through  24,  but  more
trouble  is  likely  august 28 through 31.  no large changes in
the solar flux are expected until early september.

american sunspot numbers for august 2 through 8 were between 10
and 26 with a mean of 20.0  ar