[net.ham-radio] arrl propagation forecast bulletin nr 25

rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig) (06/19/84)

qst de k9eui
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 25   from arrl headquarters
newington ct  june 18, 1984
to all radio amateurs bt

after several days of solar flux levels in the low  90s,  solar
activity  began  to rise on june 13.  by the 15th, the flux was
up to 114.  the indications are for  gradually  lower  readings
during  the  forecast  week  and  through the end of june.  the
level of geomagnetic activity is  no  (garbled  copy  here)  in
propagation  factor  at this season, especially in our northern
states and  adjacent  areas.   on  this  basis,  fair  to  poor
propagation  is predicted through june 20, improving to fair to
good through the 28th.  the early part of the arrl  fd  weekend
should  have good summer conditions on our lower frequencies in
areas not plagued by thunderstorms.  the usefulness of  ???  28
and  50  mhz  will depend to a large extent on sporadic e layer
ionization which peaks in late june.  short  skip,  often  with
high  signal levels, can break out suddenly, so field day teams
keep continuous watches on these bands, especially  28  and  50
mhz.   e  skip is most common in late morning and early evening
hours, local time, but it can show up  at  any  hour.   stable,
calm weather makes for above average signal levels and extended
range on 50 mhz and higher frequencies.

american sunspot numbers for june 7 through 13 were between  22
and 45 with a mean of 30.9  ar

rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig) (06/26/84)

qst de k9eui
hr  propagation  bulletin  nr  25    from   arrl   headquarters
newington ct june 18 1984   to all radio amateurs  bt

after several days of solar flux levels in the low  90s,  solar
activity  began  to rise on june 13.  by the 15th, the flux was
up  to  114.   present  indications  are  for  gradually  lower
readings during the forecast week and through the end of june.

the level of  geomagnetic  activity  is  the  main  propagation
factor  at  this  season, especially in our northern states and
adjacent areas.  on this basis, fair  to  poor  propagation  is
predicted  through  june  20, improving to fair to good through
the 28th.

the early part of the arrl fd weekend should have  good  summer
conditions  on  our  lower  frequencies in areas not plagued by
thunderstorms.  the usefulness of 21, 28 and 50 mhz will depend
to a large extent on sporadic e layer ionization which peaks in
late june.  short skip, often  with  high  signal  levels,  can
break  out suddenly, so field day teams keep continuous watches
on these bands, especially 28 and 50 mhz. e skip is most common
in  late morning and early evening hours local time, but it can
show up at any hour.  stable,  calm  weather  makes  for  above
average  signal  levels and extended range on 50 mhz and higher
frequencies.

american sunspot numbers for june 7 through 13 were between  22
and 45 with a mean of 30.9.  ar

rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig) (06/25/85)

qst de k9eui
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 25  from arrl headquarters
newington ct  june 24, 1985
to all radio amateurs bt

there is much to be said  for  contests,  especially  the  most
popular  of all, the arrl field day.  generating band occupancy
far beyond other contests, field day can be a two day lesson in
radio  propagation.   if  june  22 and 23 had been just another
early summer weekend, would  thousands  of  stations  all  over
north  america  have been clamoring for attention on 21, 28 and
50 mhz?

of course not, and this (( w1aw carrier dropped on  20  mtrs  -
switched to 15 mtrs)).........

ten and six meters have had much  less  use  than  they  merit,
since  solar  flux  and sunspot numbers dropped to near minimum
levels months ago.  the solar flux was 69 on field day saturday
and  70  sunday, but e skip on these bands made this one of the
most exciting field day weekends on record.

the sun has been spotless for several days, and it is likely to
continue  that  way through this week.  a rise is expected near
the end of june, but whether the numbers rise or fall,  e  skip
will  continue  to dominate the propagation picture for another
five or six weeks, and it is not predictable in any precise way
ar