price%marlin@nosc.ARPA (James N. Price) (03/08/86)
------- An interesting item crossed by desk yesterday. Here at NOSC in San Diego, we have a group of Atmospheric Physics types who specialize in propagation modelling and prediction. Dr. Adolf Paul has what appears to be THE model for predicting sunspot numbers. He was the first, and for quite a while the only, guy to predict the huge peak we had in 1980. His forecast for the next peak is attainment for a short time of just over 100 in 1990 (the peak in 1980 was more like 170). Even worse news is the peak for 2000 is forecast at about 80. We won't see 100+ again until many of us won't be here to see it anyway! I have a handy 1-page writeup about this with a chart of sunspot cycles from 1940 to 2040. If the request list isn't TOO long, I'd be willing to mail it to interested parties. The diagram would be kinda hard to put on the net! 73rds--Jim Price, K6ZH, PRICE@NOSC.ARPA -------
jhs@mitre-bedford.ARPA (03/10/86)
Maybe this is related to the article some years ago stating that the neutrino flux measured in the 1950s from the Sun was gone when the measurements were repeated in the 1970s. The conclusion was that the thermonuclear reaction in the Sun had gone out and we were living on stored heat. Mmm..., no wonder the winters seem to be getting gradually colder. -John S., W3IKG