[bit.listserv.edpolyan] Projected Faculty Shortages.

WOLFLE@VTVM2.BITNET (Lee Wolfle) (02/13/90)

   On 2/3/90, Robert Ashcraft inquired about the projected faculty
shortages facing U.S. universities in the 1990s and 2000s.
   Newsweek (February 12, 1990, p. 60) reports the following:

   A study by The Andrew W. Mellon Foundation predicts there will
be as few as eight contenders for every 10 teaching posts in the
Arts and Sciences during the decade starting in 1997.  The AAU
[Association of American Universities] projects an annual shortage
of 7,500 natural-science and engineering Ph.D.s shortly after the
year 2000.  As a result, the laws of supply and demand would
ordinarily push starting salaries up.  But according to Hugo
Sonnenschein, dean of the School of Arts and Sciences at the
University of Pennsylvania, "It's going to be difficult for
salaries to go up very much [across the board] because universities
don't have the wherewithall to pay more."