Chris Novy - WA9V <AXVSCCN@UICVMC.bitnet> (02/21/90)
ZCZC MKCSWODY1
ACUS1 KMKC 211448
MKC AC 211500
Convective Outlook...reference AFOS NMCGPH94O
Valid 211500 - 221200Z
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms to the right of a line
from 20 short Palacios, TX..College Station, TX..Longview, TX 30 north
Monroe, LA..Meridian, MS..Pensacola, FL.
General thunderstorms are forecast to the right of a line from
Brownsville, TX..Victoria, TX..Dallas, TX..Fayetteville, AR..Salem, IL
Bloomington, IN..Lexington, KY..Savannah, GA.
Upper low over northwestern Texas expected to continue moving eastward
as negative tilt trough extending south-southeastward into north-eastern
Mexico swings north-eastward across western Gulf Coast during period.
Squall line producing gusty surface winds has surged eastward across
south central Texas and is currently moving into coastal waters east of
Corpus Christi, TX and Brownsville, TX. Latest surface analysis
suggests surface low is located just off middle Texas coast with warm
front extending eastward across northern Gulf. Surface low expected to
move north-northeastward into southeastern Texas later this afternoon
and continue into southern Arkansas by end of period...with warm front
gradually lifting inland across lower Mississippi Valley. Wind fields
surface and aloft prognosticated to strengthen as shortwave trough
rotates across northwestern Gulf region providing increasingly favorable
dynamic environment for severe thunderstorm development. Convection
moving northward along middle Texas coast and over offshore waters is
ahead of advancing middle level dry intrusion and will be monitored
closely for signs of intensification. Activity expected to spread
north-eastward tonight across remainder Louisiana..southern Mississippi
and extreme southwestern Alabama with a few cells likely reaching severe
levels.
.Weiss.. 02/21/90
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ZCZC MKCSTAMTS
WWUS61 KMKC 211332
NATIONAL SEVERE STORMS FORECAST CENTER TABULATION
MONTH NUMBER OF TORNADOES DEATHS KILLERS
....1990.... ...1989... ...1988...
PRELIM FINAL RUFF SMTH RUFF SMTH 87 NORM 90 89 88 87 NORM 90 89
JAN 10 XX 17 14 19 17 6 14 0 0 5 0 3 0 0
FEB 80 XX 26 18 1 4 19 20 0 0 0 6 5 0 0
MAR XX XX 61 43 29 28 38 52 X 1 1 1 8 X 1
APR XXX XX 118 82 57 58 20 106 X 0 4 1 34 X 0
MAY XXX XXX 300 232 193 132 128 173 X 9 3 31 15 X 5
JUN XXX XXX 277 251 79 63 132 159 X 5 0 2 6 X 2
JUL XX XX 76 59 93 103 163 88 X 0 0 0 1 X 0
AUG XX XX 41 36 71 60 63 61 X 0 2 1 2 X 0
SEP XX XX 34 27 86 76 19 42 X 0 1 0 1 X 0
OCT XX XX 24 29 18 19 0 24 X 2 0 0 2 X 1
NOV XX XX 59 54 147 121 54 27 X 31 15 11 3 X 3
DEC XX XX 0 3 13 20 14 20 X 0 1 6 2 X 0
........................................................................
TOTAL 90 XXX 1033 848 806 701 656 786 XX 48 32 59 82 XX 12
RUFF THRU FEB 20.. 90 VS 30 IN 1989 CURRENT 0730C FEB 21 1990
SMOOTH THRU DEC 1989... 848 VS 701 IN 1988 VS 778 NORM
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chris Novy - WA9V BITNET: axvsccn@uicvmc
Southern Illinois Univ. Internet: axvsccn@uicvmc.aiss.uiuc.edu
Morris Library - Systems Packet: wa9v@wd9ebq FAX: (618) 453-8109
Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 Phone: (618) 453-1683 or (618) 457-6149
ICBM: 37.43N 89.12W
---------------------------------------------------------------------------