[list.storm-l] Severe Weather Outlook 15Z Tuesday

Chris Novy - WA9V <AXVSCCN@UICVMC.bitnet> (02/27/90)

ACUS1 KMKC 271445
MKC AC 271500

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REFERENCE AFOS NMCGPH94O

VALID 271500 - 281200Z

There id a slight risk of severe thunderstorms TO right OF line from 20
west-southwest El Paso, TX..70 west Holloman AFB, NM..Roswell, NM Midland,
 TX
60 south-southeast Del Rio, TX.

General thunderstorms forecast to the right of a line from 70 south
Tucson, AZ..Grand Canyon, AZ..Farmington, NM..Santa Fe, NM..20 south
Amarillo, TX..Oklahoma City, OK..Fayetteville, AR..Hot Springs, AR
Waco, TX..Austin, TX..Laredo AFB, TX.

12Z 500 millibar temperatures at Tucson, AZ..El Paso, TX..and CUU
(identifier unknown..possibly CUS Columbus, NM) are a bit colder than
forecast by 00Z Nested Grid Model run. Therefore lifted indices values
of minus 4 to minus 8 expected to develop by late afternoon near west
edge of low level moist axis from southwestern Texas northward into
southeastern New Mexico. Increasing low level moisture may also enhance
instability. Isolated cells likely to exceed severe limits with threat
of large hail during afternoon and early evening hours.

.Johns.. 02/27/90
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Chris Novy - WA9V               BITNET: axvsccn@uicvmc
Southern Illinois Univ.       Internet: axvsccn@uicvmc.aiss.uiuc.edu
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