[clari.biz.top] Factory orders up 1.9 percent in December

clarinews@clarinet.com (VINCENT DEL GIUDICE, UPI Business Writer) (02/03/90)

	WASHINGTON (UPI) -- Demand for airplanes, ships and military tanks
sent factory orders up 1.9 percent in December for a second monthly
rebound after a disappointing October, the government said Friday.
	The $4.5 billion surge to $244.2 billion followed a 2.4 percent
increase in November and a 0.1 percent drop in October, the Commerce
Department said. Factory orders finished 1989 at $2.8 trillion, 6.4
percent ahead of 1988.
	``I think it's important to point out this data is another
indication that economy is not sliding into a recession,'' said Norman
Robertson, chief economist for Mellon Bank in Pittsburgh.
	``In general the (December) increase suggests perhaps that we might
see a steadier pattern of activity in the industrial sector, which has
been weakening for the past several months,'' Roberston said.
	Factory inventories declined by $1.3 billion or 0.4 percent to
$371.5 billion, the first decrease since September and largest since a
0.4 decline in September 1986, the department said.
	In Chicago, Robert Dederick, chief economist for Northern Trust,
said, ``I think you'd have to see this was a positive report in part
because of the inventories,'' which signal an economic slowdown when on
the increase.
	``The inventories, which weren't really rising rapidly, took this
sharp plunge,'' Dederick said. ``Taking it at face value, this seems to
suggest they have moved very quickly in manufacturing to keep
inventories from causing a problem.''
	New orders for durable goods, products made to last three or more
years, increased by $4.2 billion or 3.2 percent in December to $134.4
billion, with transportation equipment leading the way -- up $4.1 billion
or 11.2 percent to $40.9 billion.
	``Large increases in aircraft and parts and shipbuilding and tanks
more than offset a decline in motor vehicles and parts,'' according to
the monthly report prepared by the department's Census Bureau.
	In other industries:
	--Orders for electrical machinery increased $1.1 billion, or 5
percent, to $22.7 billion, offsetting a decline in non-electrical
equipment of $1.1 billion or 4.7 percent to $21.6 billion.
	--Primary metals were down $0.4 billion, or 3.8 percent, to $10.8
billion.
	--December orders for non-durable goods were up by $300 million, or
0.3 percent to $109.9, with petroleum products recording the largest
increase.
	Shipments of durable goods, meanwhile, were down $1.1 billion, or
0.9 percent, to $122.1 billion, while December's shipments of
non-durable goods were flat at $109.7 billion, the department said.
	For the year, durable shipments totaled $2.8 trillion, a 6.5
percent increase over 1988 shipments.