[net.space] Morton-Thiokol Engineers

MCGRATH%OZ.AI.MIT.EDU@XX.LCS.MIT.EDU ("Jim McGrath") (03/11/86)

Apparently the Morton-Thiokol engineers did tests on scale models of
the SRBs for a very wide range of conditions (including those present
at the fatal shuttle launch).  However, they had done full scale
testing for a much narrower range of conditions (most important, only
for temperatures above 50 F).  Previous shuttle launches showed that
real performance had a greater than expected deviation from the
predictions based on the scale model tests.  Thus the cause of their
uncertainty.  (Information from CNN/C-SPAN)

However much we like to bash administrators, the primary fault appears
to lie with the engineers.  The faults in their model were known to
them months before the fatal shuttle launch.  So there was plenty of
time to do the necessary full scale tests.  Only an absolute idiot
would feel comfortable with bad test data for an environment range
(near freezing temperatures) which they KNEW they would shortly
encounter.

If the engineers did not voice strong concerns during the months
before the launch, then I cannot really blame the NASA people for
downgrading the reliability of their warnings.  If there really was a
problem, then the engineers were incompetent for not bringing it up
sooner - in which case you can't really believe their "expert" opinion
when, at the 11th hour, they say that you might have a problem.

The managers (especially those in the company) share blame for not
overseeing their engineers adequately.  But I think they are spared
the lion's share UNLESS the engineers did, during the months before,
forcefully request additional full scale testing and this was denied.
In that case the budget officials (who ultimately decide resource
allocation) are ultimately responsible (anyone know if this
happened?).

This brings up an interesting point.  If funds for testing and
associated activities are in a separate line of the NASA budget, then
Congress shares a lot of the blame.  I can easily see a Congress
fighting a deficit by cutting back a bit too much on those "invisible"
expenses, such as post production testing (they do similar things with
the defense budget all the time).  Alternately, high NASA
administrators may have made the fatal budget decisions.  


Jim
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