[misc.headlines.unitex] ON PROSPECTS FOR CANAL CONSTRUCTION IN NICARAGUA

LADBAC@UNMB.BITNET (Dr. Barbara A. Kohl) (08/28/89)

     [Summarized below are highlights from an article by 
Soon Jin Kim, journalist and scholar.  Kim resided in 
Central America for 14 years (1961-74).  He was the founding 
foreign editor of the Guatemalan daily, La Nacion, and 
taught at the University of El Salvador.  His 1982 doctoral 
dissertation at the University of Maryland included 
discussion of isthmus canal options and the actors involved.  
His book, "EFE: Spain's World News Agency," was published by 
Greewood Press in July 1989.  The article was provided by 
Howard Frederick, Pasadena, Calif.]

     * The Panama Canal, completed in 1914, is 51 miles 
long.  Its lock chambers--1,000 feet long and 110 feet wide, 
water depth of 41 feet--cannot accommodate 500,000-ton 
capacity supertankers and US aircraft carriers and 
battleships.  The world's largest tanker, the Japanese 
Seawise Giant, is 1,504 feet long with a beam of 226 feet, 
and a draught 81 feet deep.  
     Next, deforestation in Panama is steadily reducing the 
canal's water supply.  Each transit requires more than 50 
million gallons of fresh water to lift and lower the ship in 
the locks.  
     * In 1970, after studying 30 possible canal routes, the 
Atlantic-Pacific Inter-Oceanic Canal Study Commission, 
mandated by the US Congress, recommended that a sea-level 
canal be built in Panama.
     * A Nicaragua canal route, however, appears to be a 
superior option.  The waterway's course would cut through a 
narrow strip of land between the Pacific and Lake Nicaragua 
(8,262 sq.km. surface area), and proceed to the San Juan 
River which flows from the lake to the Caribbean Sea.  
     * The US is currently prevented from building a canal 
anywhere but Panama.  The 1977 US-Panama canal treaty 
specifies that the US not "negotiate with third states for 
the right to construct an inter-oceanic canal on any other 
route in the Western Hemisphere" [Article XII, par. 1, (b)].  
     In addition, Washington agreed in 1971 to abrogate the 
1914 Bryan-Chamorro Treaty under which the US had exclusive 
rights to build a canal in Nicaragua.  
     * In 1982, the US-Panama Preparatory Committee on 
Panama Canal Alternatives Study invited the Japanese 
government to join the project.  Japan accepted.  The 
tri-partite Canal Alternatives Study Commission was 
established in 1985.  The Commission recommended thereafter 
that "the current political and economic instability in 
Panama" made it all but impossible to continue the study.  
     * Japan ranks as the biggest user of the Canal as a 
trade route.  Although still formally committed to 
developing the  Panama route, Tokyo has apparently decided 
to explore Nicaragua route alternatives.
     In early March this year, a seven-member Japanese 
business and technical team visited Nicaragua to conduct 
on-site inspections of canal route alternatives.  Two months 
late, in August the team delivered its feasibility report to 
the Nicaraguan government.  [The team included an ecology 
professor from Tokyo University, and architect Kozo 
Yamamoto, whose company, Yamamoto & Associates, Inc., has 
designed infrastructure projects in 25 countries.]
     * Nicaragua's 11-member National Canal Study Commission 
is headed by Finance Minister William Hupper.  According to 
the author, while commission members have made no public 
statements, certain details have emerged.  The Japanese team 
decided that the most cost-effective option would be to cut 
through 12 miles of land at the Rivas Strait on the Pacific 
end into Lake Nicaragua, and proceed into the San Juan River 
to the Caribbean.  The San Juan River would require dredging 
and also straightening at certain points.
     The Japanese team reportedly discarded the most 
ambitious scheme to build a sea-level waterway by draining 
Lake Nicaragua because of its negative impact on the local 
ecology.  Another discarded option was digging a canal 
parallel to Lake Nicaragua.
     Another option would be to construct a sea-level canal 
within Lake Nicaragua while insulating it from lake waters 
via a giant concrete or plastic trough.  This strategy would 
avoid destruction of the ecology around the lake.
     * Japan is reportedly the only country in the world 
with sufficient cash to undertake this 20 to 30-year project 
at a cost of some $50 billion.  Next, according to the 
author, compared to most other contenders, Tokyo would cause 
the least suspicion in Washington in terms of "security 
threat3V"
     Japan may also be the best equipped for such a 
construction feat because of its hydro-engineering 
expertise.  In 1985, Japan completed the world's longest (34 
miles) underwater railroad tunnel in the Tsugaru Strait, 
connecting Honshu and Hokkaido Islands.  Japan is also a 
world leader in seismology.  (Historical note: In 1903, 
Theodore Roosevelt switched to the Panama option to avoid 
potential problems from volcanic and earthquake activity 
inherent in a Nicaragua route.)
     * Nicaragua's Ministry of Agriculture and Agrarian 
Reform has commissioned three- to five-year ecological 
studies to assist the Japanese commission in its planning.  
Specialists from Scandinavian countries are assisting in the 
ecology studies.  An official representing Nicaragua's 
Directorate of Natural Resources (DIRENA) and the Nicaraguan 
ambassador to Holland, Belgium and Luxembourg are members of 
the National Canal Study Commission.  
     * Nicaragua is likely approaching the project with 
great caution in order not to arouse US suspicions--thus, 
its low profile on the canal enterprise.  Nicaragua would 
retain 51% sovereign interest in the canal, and would 
operate the canal in such a way as "to favor the poor of the 
Third World."  
     * Si-a-Paz (Yes-to-Peace, International System of 
Protected Areas for Peace) environmental conservation groups 
have expressed concern over possible damage canal 
construction would inflict on a biosphere reserve they plan 
to create on both sides of the San Juan River which serves 
as the border between Nicaragua and Costa Rica.  The 
binational Si-a-Paz program would conserve some 2,500 sq.km. 
of rain forest and wetlands and organize economic 
development in the areas surrounding the reserve.



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