LADBAC@UNMB.BITNET (Dr. Barbara A. Kohl) (10/07/89)
October 6, 1989 CENTRAL AMERICA UPDATE Copyright 1989 (Latin America Data Base, Latin American Institute, University of New Mexico. Project Director: Dr. Nelson Valdes. Managing Editor: Dr. Barbara A. Kohl) ******************** GENERAL ******************** U.S. AID FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION IN CENTRAL AMERICA On Sept. 28, the US Agency for International Development announced that Washington plans to spend $46.3 million over the next six years to support environmental protection projects in Central America. These projects include activities in natural resource policy reform, environmental awareness education, bio-diversity conservation, forestry management and sustainable agriculture. The USAID program will be administered from Guatemala, and specialists will work in the field near project sites. ********************* EL SALVADOR ********************* EL SALVADOR: RELATIVES OF POLITICAL PRISONERS & DISAPPEARED OCCUPY COSTA RICAN EMBASSY On the morning of Oct. 5, a group of relatives of political prisoners, disappeared and assassinated persons occupied the Costa Rican Embassy and seized 19 hostages to denounce the Salvadoran government's human rights violations. A spokesperson for the group, comprised mainly of women, told AP in an interview that the takeover was undertaken so that the Costa Rican government pressures President Alfredo Cristiani "to end the repression against the people." The activists who staged the occupation were members of the Federation of Committees of Mothers and Relatives of Political Prisoners, Disappeared and Assassinated People of El Salvador. A spokesperson said they planned to stay at the embassy until their demands were met. For several years, the Federation has protested killings and kidnappings by government security forces and rightist death squads. Notimex cited the Federation as saying that it had occupied the embassy to request Costa Rica and "other friendly governments of the world" to pressure the US to suspend military aid to El Salvador, and to denounce the Salvadoran government's continuous human rights violations. In addition, the Federation demanded that the government provide information on the whereabouts of a list of prisoners, and disappeared persons. In contrast to reports by Notimex, Salvadoran radio and AFP, stating that the protesters numbered about 50, AP reported a total of 20. Costa Rican Ambassador Jesus Manuel Fernandez, Consul General Humberto Murillo and First Secretary Rene Aldama were being held in the embassy. Most other hostages were people visiting the embassy on business. Fifteen journalists and five people from the Green Cross, a local first aid group, were also inside the embassy offices, but not considered hostages. Red Cross personnel delivered sandwiches. AP said reports conflicted on whether the activists were armed. The AFP reported that Fernandez was permitted to leave the embassy briefly to speak with reporters. He told journalists that some of the assailants were armed with pistols when they forced their way into the embassy. AP state that reporters said they saw a handgun tucked into the waistband of at least one young man who participated in the occupation. The reporters also said demonstrators carried newspaper-wrapped packets that appeared to have a fuse. The activists' spokesperson, cited by AP, said they had no weapons. A report by Xinhua indicated that the protesters were not armed. Notimex reported that the Federation activists disarmed guards reponsible for security of the Central American Building, before entering the embassy on the third floor of the six-story structure. Special National Police units surrounded the building, but no violence was reported as of late Thursday evening. Two hours after the occupation, an anti-riot squad failed in an attempt to dislodge the protesters. On Thursday afternoon, about 30 people--employees of the Peruvian and Swiss embassies, and of the United Nations office in El Salvador--were permitted to leave the building. Ambassador Fernandez told AP by telephone that he requested military officers at the scene to lift the cordon around the building. He said his request was under consideration. San Salvador Archbishop Arturo Rivera y Damas arrived at the embassy shortly after dusk, in an effort to mediate a solution. His presence was requested by the Federation. Fernandez, who has a heart condition, said his medicine had been delivered to him, and that he had been examined by a Red Cross doctor. When informed of the embassy takeover, Costa Rican President Oscar Arias said, "It is very sad that there are people who believe that violence can be the good instrument to get what they want." He spoke at a news conference in San Jose, Calif., where he was visiting. In San Jose, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Dino Starcewic said, "Shortly after midday, a woman employee at the embassy called us to say that a group of attackers had seized the embassy and taken people hostage, and that they are heavily armed, with rifles and even hand grenades." On Thursday evening, Fernandez said the Federation activists had decided to remain inside the embassy until the next day, and that the Salvadoran government had not yet established contacts or entered into negotiations with them. Salvadoran Information Minister Mauricio Sandoval told reporters the takeover was "an act of provocation" but was being dealt with "calmly, so no one gets hurt." Later, in a communique Sandoval asserted that the occupation of the embassy was a "propagandistic act." He said the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN) is responsible for the safety of the hostages, and not the government. According to the minister, the occupation had put the Oct. 16 talks between the government and the rebels in jeopardy. The "dialogue" is to take place in San Jose, Costa Rica. (Basic data from several reports by AP, AFP, Notimex, Xinhua, 10/05/89) ********************* NICARAGUA ********************* NICARAGUA: NOTES ON FIRST DAY OF VOTER REGISTRATION About 5,000 voter registration booths were opened throughout Nicaragua on Oct. 1. Eligible voters are estimated at about 1.9 million. President Daniel Ortega was the first in line at the booth serving his neighborhood in central Managua. In remarks to reporters, Ortega called on all Nicaraguans to register "so there will be massive participation" in the Feb. 25 general elections. The AP reported irregularities at Ortega's booth. It opened an hour late at 8 a.m., the representative of the National Opposition Union (UNO) on the board did not show up and his deputy arrived without any identification. The deputy was sent home to find his ID, but hours later had not returned. Dozens of two-member observer teams from the United Nations and the Organization of American States were present at registration booths. OAS Secretary General Joao Baena Soares led an observer team to oversee registration in the heavily populated Pacific Coast region. After visiting 11 registration booths in Leon, Nicaragua's second largest city, Baena told reporters, "I see that people are motivated, and that there's a great interest in registering." Later, the OAS secretary general told reporters he was satisfied with the overall outcome of the day's activities. UN observers heard complaints from some opposition poll workers who maintained that their credentials had been rejected by local voting authorities. The credential problems, according to the New York Times, appeared to be associated largely with first-day difficulties of a large-scale registration process. Reps. David Drier (R-Calif.), Howard Coble, (R-NC), Cass Balenger (R-NC), and Porter Goss (R-Fla.), were among those visiting registration booths. Jaime Bonilla, an UNO leader, said 30% of UNO officials scheduled to work at registration booths had not received their credentials. Cardinal Miguel Obando y Bravo complained that the estimated 500,000 Nicaraguans living outside the country were prevented from taking part in the February elections. On Oct. 2, UNO sent a letter to the Supreme Electoral Council denouncing irregularities in voter registration. At a press conference, UNO campaign chief Antonio Lacayo, said that a "large number" of UNO representatives were denied participation at the registration booths because the regional electoral councils had not delivered their credentials in a timely fashion. He added that some Nicaraguans did not register because they knew UNO representatives were not present. The letter was signed by UNO legal representative, Hernaldo Zuniga, who claimed that some registration booths were moved from originally designated areas, resulting in a type of forced abstention. [The UN and OAS missions will conduct separate but coordinated observer activities. Later in the campaign, the Council of Freely Elected Heads of Government, will join the monitoring effort with a 30-member monitoring team. On Oct. 1, UN technicians inaugurated a radio and satellite communications network that will link hundreds of international observers across Nicaragua until Feb. 25, 1990. Elliot Richardson is UN Secretary General Javier Perez de Cuellar's personal representative in overseeing the monitoring mission. Day-to-day operations of the observer force are handled by a UN official from Pakistan, Iqbal Riza. The UN contingent as of Oct. 1 included 29 full-time observers, technicians and specialists in electoral procedure. They are assisted by personnel from other UN agencies already operating in the country, together with 26 Nicaraguan drivers and secretaries. By November, the number of UN observers is expected to double, and then to increase again in February, when the overall number of observers is to reach at least 160. Those observers, assisted by personnel from other UN agencies, will form 80 mobile monitoring teams, a number that UN officials say will permit close surveillance of at least 10% of all polling stations in the country, yielding a clear statistical picture of any irregularities. A similar number of teams will also be fielded by the OAS.] (Basic data from AP, AFP, 10/01/89; Notimex, 10/01/89, 10/02/89; New York Times, 10/02/89) NICARAGUA: NOTE ON CONTRA ATTACK In a news release on Oct. 1, the Defense Ministry said a group of contras attacked a military patrol about 110 miles north of Managua on Sept. 30. The ministry said one soldier and two contras died in the fighting. (Basic data from AP, 10/01/89) SOVIET FOREIGN MINISTER VISITS NICARAGUA On Oct. 4 in Managua, Soviet Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze said that Moscow's announced halt of weapons shipments to Nicaragua would continue as long as the US- backed Nicaraguan contras refrain from attack. Shevardnadze was the highest ranking Soviet official to visit Nicaragua. Next, the minister said President Daniel Ortega's government had agreed to hold off seeking more Soviet weapons until after the Feb. 25 elections. In the interim, however, said Shevardnadze, any attack by the contras could force the Soviet government to resume weapons shipments. On the same day, the Nicaraguan government proposed an agreement among Central American countries for establishing a reasonable balance of military forces in the region. Information Minister Manuel Espinoza said, "The stability of the region requires maintaining an equilibrium of forces in such a manner that the Central American countries' armed forces are aimed at defense and nothing more." The accord would have as a prerequisite an "immediate solution to the security problems among Central American states," said Espinoza. Shevardnadze said that the US and the Soviet Union could offer assistance in defining military sufficiency, as well as providing guarantees to the observance of possible ensuing accords. The minister also said that the Soviet Union requests that the results of free and democratic elections in Nicaragua be respected by all countries, above all by the United States, in order that Nicaragua's relations with the world are normalized. [On Oct. 2, Shevardnadze repeated Moscow's assertion that it had unilaterally halted arms shipments early this year. Since then, Washington has claimed that Soviet-made weapons continue to arrive in Nicaragua through Moscow's allies, including Cuba. As the minister arrived in Managua on Oct. 3, unidentified diplomatic sources in Cuba cited by AFP and other news services reported that President Fidel Castro admitted ordering a shipment of Soviet-made weapons delivered to Nicaragua. The sources said Castro did not say whether the arms were delivered with Soviet approval. The shipment consisted of light infantry weapons which Cuba had held for a long time. (Basic data from Notimex, AFP, 10/04/89) ********************* PANAMA ********************* PANAMA: DETAILS ON ATTEMPTED COUP, AFTERMATH [See CAU 10/04/89 for a summary of coverage on the events of the attempted coup occurring on Oct. 3.] Oct. 4: In New York, Panama's provisional president Francisco Rodriguez said that the government has proof of US involvement in the attempted coup. The evidence, he said, includes photographs of troops and tanks close to the area where the fighting occurred. Rodriguez said the US Southern Command mobilized military personnel and blocked access routes to the Panamanian Defense Forces (PDF) headquarters and barracks. According to the president, there is no dissent within the PDF. He said the uprising was perpetrated by a minority group "incited by the US." Rodriguez denied that Gen. Manuel Antonio Noriega had been captured by the rebel soldiers for any length of time. Finally, the president called on the US to cease "military and economic aggression against Panama. --Pro-government daily newspaper Critica reported that among the wounded in the Tuesday's fighting was Lt.Col. Nivaldo Madrinan Aponte, director general of the National Investigations Department (DNI). Critica said one of the rebel leaders was killed, but did not mention his name. --Classes at the University of Panama were suspended. --According to PDF Lt.Col. Arnulfo Castrejon, Gen. Noriega was held hostage for four hours on Oct. 3, before rebel troops released him under threat from loyalist troops. Castrejon said the US instigated the rebellion. --Panamanian officials said 10 rebel soldiers died, including the leader Maj. Moises Giroldi Vera, who headed the elite Urraca barracks battalion. Military sources said five rebel soldiers fled to a nearby US military base. US military officers told reporters that an unspecified number of Panamanians had asked for asylum. According to Notimex, a large number of high-ranking and mid-level officers, privates and policemen were arrested in connection with the failed coup. Included was state security chief Col. Guillermo Wong. Lt.Col. Carlos Arozamena told reporters that among the rebel soldiers who died were Maj. Giroldi, and Capts. Edgardo Sandoval, Juan Arza and Leon Tejeda. In addition, three rebels were wounded, 37 arrested, and five deserted. According to Arozamena, 18 loyalist soldiers were wounded. Soldiers arrested included 1st Lt. Jorge Bonilla, 2nd Lts. Francisco Concepcion and Ismael Rodriguez, Col. Julio Ow Young, Maj. Jose A. Pajaro, and Lt.Col. Armando Palacio. Arozamena said one of the five seeking US protection at Fort Clayton was coup leader Capt. Javier Licona. Later, a PDF spokesperson, Maj. Edgardo Lopez, said Licona and another coup leader had taken refuge at Fort Clayton. --Deputy Foreign Minister Norberto Tejada told 3,000 cheering Noriega supporters in Panama City that he would formally accuse the US in international forums of sponsoring the uprising. --The whereabouts of civilian opposition leaders, including former opposition presidential candidate Guillermo Endara, remained unknown on Oct. 4. Reporters were unable to confirm a rumor that Endara had fled the country. --Local press sources cited by Prensa Latina reported that US soldiers backed by tanks blocked access routes to several PDF units in an attempt to obstruct deployment of loyalist Panamanian troops. About 100 US troops were seen blocking passage on the Pan-American highway, the only overland route linking the capital with the interior. Daily newspaper Critica reported that US soldiers supported by tanks and other hardware were observed at the highest point of Loma Cova. Unidentified witnesses told Prensa Latina that US troops supported by tanks blocked access to Fort Amador. Local newspapers published reports of overflights of the PDF headquarters and government buildings by US military aircraft, including helicopters and A-37 planes, for several hours on Tuesday. Oct. 5: Armed men in civilian dress surrounded the office where Guillermo Endara was engaged in a hunger strike. They dispersed supporters and reporters gathered outside by firing into the air and by hitting them with rubber hoses. The men did not enter the building, nor did they arrest Endara. The doors of the building remained closed with Endara inside. --In a televised speech, Noriega said he had evidence the US planned to install Endara as president after the coup. Regarding Endara, he said, "This hunger-striking buffoon sneaks out to eat (Tuesday) so he can be well fed when he takes over the presidency. But he's screwed." The civilian opposition has denied any role in the coup attempt. [According to AP, Endara said he was drinking only water, taking prescribed medicine and eating only the wafer of Mass, but that he appeared healthy when reporters interviewed him at his office.] Noting that US troops stood by and watched as the rebellion failed, Noriega said the United States "left its agents in the lurch." According to the general, the failed coup was another Bay of Pigs for Washington: "They mistakenly believed that everyone has a price and that everyone is a traitor." Noriega spoke from Santiago (Veraguas province). He also announced a new series of measures to ensure "stability and patriotism." He said he was preparing a list of "treacherous officials" who will be replaced by members of the Dignity Battalions. Ministers who disapprove will be asked to leave the government. The general added that the broadcast licenses of the radio and television stations who aired the rebels' proclamation on Tuesday would be canceled. --According to statements by Authentic Liberal Party (PALA) spokespersons late on Thursday, Endara was taken from the party's offices by about 20 armed state security agents. But he was immediately released through the efforts of the papal nuncio in Panama, Msgr. Sebastian Laboa, Spain's ambassador to Panama, Tomas Lozano. PALA and a Christian Democrat party spokesperson said Endara was now in a "safe place." According to PALA, the attackers threw tear gas canisters into the building, and destroyed windows and doors with metal bars. A few hours earlier, a group of armed men forced their way in and abducted three of Endara's assistants. AP reported that the office had been surrounded earlier in the day and Endara held a sign up to the window to inform reporters he considered himself to be under arrest. But the uniformed troopers and security agents in civilian clothes left for a time before returning. --Opposition leader and former vice presidential candidate Ricardo Arias Calderon told reporters that the the Civic Opposition Democratic Alliance (ADOC) had no contact with the rebel soldiers "before, during or after" the attempted coup. He said members of the opposition were in contact with "several Latin American presidents" and foreign ministers during the fighting to inform them of ADOC's "demand that they act with clarity and firmness to call for or require the immediate commencement of democracy in Panama." Speaking to a group of nearly 100 reporters, Arias said that the insurgents did not have a political objective, although they expressed support for the provisional government of President Francisco Rodriguez. Arias did not comment on whether the US Southern Command had participated in Tuesday's events. --In an early evening report, Notimex cited an unidentified European intelligence chief and other European sources on details regarding what happened Tuesday morning inside the PDF headquarters and barracks after the rebels launched their attack. During the first two hours of the insurrection, said the intelligence chief, Noriega sat in an office and was not constrained in any fashion by the insurgents. Meanwhile, the general called out insults and epithets. Noriega was apparently waiting for reinforcements to arrive at the compound. At about 9 a.m., the general walked out of the building, pushing soldiers out his way. He then climbed aboard an armored vehicle to take charge of the counterattack. No one tried to stop him, said the source. US Southern Command troops limited themselves to blocking access to the headquarters and to the Pan-American highway to impede the arrival of troops from Colon and the interior of the country. Notimex's unidentified intelligence sources said the rebels had requested that Southern Command chief Gen. Mark Cisneros give orders to his troops not to intervene since the uprising was internal to the Panamanian military. The Command was requested only to set up roadblocks. Next, the sources said that because communications were interrupted and the Southern Command was unable to determine what was happening inside the compound. To remedy this situation, the Command dispatched two helicopters to conduct reconnaissance over the headquarters. US troops did not block the highway connecting the headquarters with the international airport, enabling the arrival of Battalion 2000 units, based in Tocumen. The European sources said mid-level officers were unhappy because pro-Noriega officers occupied high command posts and obstructed promotions. --From San Jose, Costa Rica, Notimex interviewed Lt. Jose de Jesus Martinez, described as a staunch Noriega ally. The lieutenant said that at no time was Noriega ever a prisoner, but merely confined to the PDF general command offices. He added that the general was waiting for the arrival of reinforcements, but they had been delayed by US troops who had blocked access routes to the headquarters compound. --In Washington, Sen. Jesse Helms told members of the Senate that Washington was caught up in a "tragic paralysis," and had lost the opportunity to detain Noriega during the attempted coup. Secretary of Defense Richard Cheney said earlier that the Panamanian rebel officers had refused to hand Noriega over to the US. Helms dismissed Cheney's statement. Helms said his sources had informed him that Maj. Moises Giroldi was executed by Noriega himself. Next, the senator claimed his sources told him that Noriega was detained for five hours by the rebels in at the PDF headquarters, and that they had requested US assistance to take the general to the United States. When the Southern Command contacted Washington about this development, said Helms, no decision was made. Cheney replied that Helms' version of events was basically false. The Secretary explained that the situation was confused, and US officers in Panama received contradictory reports. In addition, the main actors in the rebellion were suspect because some of them had been major participants in quashing an earlier uprising. [Basic data from numerous reports by Notimex, AP, AFP, Xinhua, 10/04-05/89; Prensa Latina (Cuba), 10/04/89] ******************************** SUMMARIES & ANALYSIS ******************************** INTERVIEW: IGNACIO ELLACURIA, RECTOR OF CENTRAL AMERICAN UNIVERSITY (SAN SALVADOR) Jesuit priest Ignacio Ellacuria is rector of the Simeon Canas Central American University in San Salvador. The institution is run by the Roman Catholic Church; a large proportion of the faculty are members of the Jesuit order. Accused by rightists of "subversive activities," UCA has often been the target of bombings and other forms of harassment. In July, the university's print shop was destroyed by a bomb. The interview below was conducted by Pensamiento Propio, a service of the Regional Coordination for Economic and Social Research of Central America and the Caribbean (CRIES, Managua), and distributed on Sept. 27. Pensamiento Propio (PP): How has the Esquipulas II peace process affected the situation in El Salvador? Ellacuria: The peace process has affected our situation a great deal. For instance, two years ago the National Republican Alliance (ARENA) openly opposed the regional peace plan. At the August summit in Tela, Honduras, ARENA party President Alfredo Cristiani agreed to signing a opposition to the regional peace plan to one of signing a death sentence for the Nicaraguan contras. He has also proposed opening negotiations with the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN). The Esquipulas process has also had repercussions on the FMLN. The rebels' armed struggle, although not discredited at present, will be in the future if they do not negotiate. The four summit meetings of the Esquipulas process have been very positive, and hopefully, the road to peace will be consolidated when the circle of summits closes next year with the fifth one in Managua. PP: Did anyone win at Tela? Ellacuria: Cristiani himself said there were no winners or losers. Cristiani came out legitimized as a follower of the democratization process initiated by [former president Jose Napoleon] Duarte, and violence as a means to obtain power was delegitimized. At the same time, Tela made a very clear distinction between the contras and the FMLN, and the five presidents ratified what the FMLN had been putting forward for some time: negotiations. From Tela, an image was projected of an FMLN that is not the enemy of democracy and of a Cristiani who is not the head of a dictatorial regime. PP: Cristiani shows a willingness to negotiate, but the ultra-right and the army speak of dialogue without negotiation... Ellacuria: It is necessary to see where we are coming from and where we are going. The extreme right--present in the national government, the army, and the party--has maintained until very recently that dialogue would be anti-patriotic. In this sense, for the right to speak of dialogue is a major advance. There is an emotional and a semantic problem here. The right cannot accept the idea of the guerrillas having a share of power, so they reject modifications to the Constitution and participation of the FMLN in power and in the army. My thesis is that we have entered into a new phase in the Salvadoran process. The most recalcitrant rightists felt betrayed by the Tela agreements. That's why you hear appeasing declarations from Defense Minister General Larios about how it is possible to dialogue but not to negotiate. Cristiani, after all is said and done, had achieved consensus on June 1 when he made the proposal to hold an uninterrupted, unconditional dialogue through a commission. The Christian Democratic Party (PDC) and the Democratic Convergence, opting not to give any sort of winning card to Cristiani, hurt themselves by refusing to participate in this commission. The commission could not be considered partisan to the extreme right. The PDC and the Convergence would have been able to withdraw from the commission if it failed to accomplish anything. Cristiani was planning a serious process of dialogue that would have caused divisions in his party. Now he has returned from Tela offering dialogue without the pre-condition of a cease-fire. PP: Does Cristiani have enough influence to do this? Ellacuria: Alone, no. For the first part of his projected, Cristiani counted on support from the armed forces high command and the US embassy. Dialogue is difficult to sell in El Salvador; you are quickly accused of being a communist if you propose it. But the tendency is irreversible now. No one here can withstand another five years of war, not even the United States. And the confrontational attitudes mistakenly assumed by the two sides after the March 19 elections seem to have run their course and are giving way to conciliatory positions. In addition, there are no significant symptoms of Cristiani being weakened. His economic measures have been applied very carefully and that is a concession to the FMLN. There is evident fear of a social explosion. But Cristiani has shown himself to be a good calculator and is simultaneously presenting the argument to the right that national conditions do not permit going further with his government's economic plan. PP: What about the differences inside ARENA? Ellacuria: In my view, ARENA has three factions with about equal influence. The "squadronists," dominant in 1980-82 and today a minority, want a "dirty war." The "militarists," led by [former major Roberto] D'Aubuisson, favor total war and oppose negotiation. The third faction consists of the "civilists," who are led by Cristiani. The three factions agree on the economic level to make things as easy as possible for capital. For Cristiani, transforming all factions into civilists is desirable, or transofrming ARENA into a conservative right-wing party with a more or less reasonable political practice. PP: What do you think of ARENA's version of the recent murders [of government officials, including Cristiani's main adviser]? Ellacuria: Based on my experience, the FMLN is credible. When it does not take responsibility for an action, you can believe the rebels were not involved. So these murders have to be attributed to ARENA's "squadronist" faction. Cristiani did not fall for the provocation and impose immediate ultra-repressive measures. He did not withdraw his offer to negotiate. Those actions, aimed at creating domestic instability, failed. This is something which the FMLN has also had illusions about. PP: Has repression increased since ARENA took power? Ellacuria: Quite frankly, I do not think that repression has increased since Cristiani took office. More than repression, there is persecution by the police in order to find out who the FMLN guerrillas and their contacts are in the cities because of their growing presence in urban areas. That, from the point of view of political pragmatism, is inevitable under any regime. It would be quite another thing if the past policy of terror--killing 200 people a night as was done in 1980-82-- had been resumed. There are definitely more human rights violations, but I do not think there has been a major increase over last year. Next, actions by the police and military have little to do with Cristiani, as was the situation under Duarte. Their actions are determined by the High Command establishing a certain general line of action and strategy with the US embassy which does not fundamentally contradict Cristiani's policies. PP: Some accuse of the FMLN of terrorism... Ellacuria: That is part of the army's ideological and psychological warfare techniques. In reality, the FMLN is not a terrorist movement even though in the course of its history, it has carried out terrorist acts. Some of these, such as the assassinations of mayors, the FMLN does not recognize as terrorist. In any event, these kinds of actions have been a small part of the FMLN's overall activity. In its latest proposal for dialogue, the FMLN has even offered to end insurrectional violence, or economic sabotage. This could become an opening point in negotiations. The FMLN has to abandon terrorist violence for ethical reasons, and insurrectional violence--which usually does not result in deaths--, for political reasons. PP: Do you feel there is no future for an insurrectional explosion? Ellacuria: For some time now, we have been arguing that the probability of insurrection is not very high. Perhaps that has been the point of most dispute with the FMLN, but time is proving us right. In 1982, sabotaging the energy network and calling a transport strike animated the masses to rise up. Today, in contrast, these actions create resentment and animosity among the people as shown irrefutably by our polls. Next, if the FMLN continues dreaming indefinitely of an insurrection, it cannot make progress in a strategy of political struggle, a struggle which would be profoundly revolutionary (and openly marxist as Comandante [Joaquin] Villalobos says). Conditions for political struggle have not yet manifested throughout the country. This strategy was already elaborated by the FMLN General Command last year when they met for months in what I called their "Vatican II." Out of their debates came the FMLN's January proposal for participation in the elections. This process of "getting up to date" has not yet been concluded, and there are tactical vacillations. But if conditions improve, armed struggle can be supplanted by political struggle. The people in the FMLN are very capable, reasonable, patriotic, and by taking a close look at the 40 years of their heroic experience, they have realized what is possible and what is not. PP: What is your view of meeting in Mexico between the opposition parties and the FMLN? Ellacuria: It is an obvious political ploy for whoever is in the opposition...to weaken the government...There is also interest on the FMLN's part in forming an anti-ARENA alliance. But the PDC's political program, like that of the National Conciliation Party, is much closer to ARENA's program than to the FMLN's. The meeting in Mexico is a purely situational convergence. If the PDC were in power, it would once again become the FMLN's major enemy. PP: What role is being played by the United States? Ellacuria: There are signs of a positive change between Bush and Reagan administrations. The United States continues to be the determinant factor for Central America and for the Salvadoran process. If Washington can arrive at an understanding with Managua and the Sandinistas show that they can respect it, that experience could be transferred to El Salvador. In this respect, the coming elections in Nicaragua will be decisive for the entire region. --- Patt Haring | United Nations | FAX: 212-787-1726 patth@sci.ccny.cuny.edu | Information | BBS: 201-795-0733 patth@ccnysci.BITNET | Transfer Exchange | (3/12/24/9600 Baud) -=- Every child smiles in the same language. -=-