BRANTLEP%ARIZVM1.BITNET@CUNYVM.CUNY.EDU (Peter Brantley) (01/10/91)
From: Peter Brantley <BRANTLEP%ARIZVM1.BITNET@CUNYVM.CUNY.EDU> Why does everyone so sheepishly assume in their wargaming that *we* determine the time and place? If today's meeting does not go well, or the situation deteriorates, it seems more likely that Saddam would let loose with everything he has. Let his scuds go: chemical or bio the American troops, hit Tel Aviv, inflict max casualties. Sure, you risk nuclear retaliation from Israel, but war's a gamble. Throws us off guard, creates a tremendous amount of confusion, and how long could Bush keep us in there if we had so many casualties. Iraq, ie., should strike first. Israeli entrance would dissolve the Arab coalition. By the way, which direction *are* the prevailing winds? Finally, should would love hearing a few details on our missle warning systems in place. Do AWCS cover this, or does ground radar? Peter Brantley || Bitnet Brantlep at Arizvm1 Department of Sociology || Internet Brantlep at Arizvm1.Ccit.Arizona.Edu University of Arizona || ICBMnet Longitude 110W 057, Latitude 032N 014 Tucson, AZ 85721 || ATTnet (602) 621-3804 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
pspod@kira.lerc.nasa.gov ( ) (01/12/91)
From: pspod@kira.lerc.nasa.gov ( ) In article <1991Jan10.025410.3592@cbnews.att.com> BRANTLEP%ARIZVM1.BITNET@CUNYVM.CUNY.EDU (Peter Brantley) writes: > > Why does everyone so sheepishly assume in their wargaming that *we* >determine the time and place? If today's meeting does not go well, or >the situation deteriorates, it seems more likely that Saddam would let >loose with everything he has. Let his scuds go: chemical or bio the Why should Saddam risk war by starting it? He will wait until the U.N. attacks otherwise he will be blamed for starting it and the the opponents to war will have difficulty in blaming the US for starting the war. Saddam knows that his enemies facing him are very reluctant or extremely restricted in starting a war and that a war will destroy him.