[sci.military] Dupuy Books

tek@PRAM.CS.UCLA.EDU (Ted Kim) (05/23/91)

From: tek@PRAM.CS.UCLA.EDU (Ted Kim)


What is the latest and greatest book out on T.N. Dupuy's numerical
warfare model?

Is "Numbers, Predictions and War" the standard book on this style of
analysis?  Or has something else come out that has replaced it?

--
Ted Kim                           Internet: tek@penzance.cs.ucla.edu
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afarkas@phoenix.princeton.edu (Andrew Farkas) (05/28/91)

From: afarkas@phoenix.princeton.edu (Andrew Farkas)


>From: tek@PRAM.CS.UCLA.EDU (Ted Kim)
>What is the latest and greatest book out on T.N. Dupuy's numerical
>warfare model?
>Is "Numbers, Predictions and War" the standard book on this style of
>analysis?  Or has something else come out that has replaced it?

   It's not Dupuy, but if you're interested in dynamic modeling
(tactical) of conventional warfare, and you do not have access to
classifed stuff, try Joshua Epstein's Adaptive Dynamic model.  The core
model is layed out in Joshua M. Epstein, _The Calculus of Conventional
War:  Dynamic Analysis without Lanchester Theory_ (Washington, D.C.:
Brookings).  A fuller version is in JME, _Conventional Force Reductions:
A Dynamic Assessment_ (Washington, D.C.: Brookings, 1990).

  Like any model, the results are only as good as the data you use.
Josh frequently uses Dupuy's data.  You can seen an illustration of this
in the _Force Reductions_ volume.

Andrew Farkas
AFarkas@PUCC.Princeton.EDU (Internet)
AFarkas@PUCC (Bitnet)