[net.auto] Volvo's saftey -- Hard data

smh@rduxb.UUCP (henning) (08/22/85)

>        You may not believe that volvo's are the safest cars in the world
> there are a couple other models that are just as safe probably,(foreign)

****                                                                 ****
From the keys of Steve Henning, AT&T Bell Labs, Reading, PA rduxb!smh

According to 8-19-85 USA Today, the auto insurance industry released data
on the personal injury rates for 1982-1984 cars sold in the US based on
the number of insurance claims.  A rating of 100 is average.

The 10 lowest ratings, i.e. safest cars are:

54  Olds Custom Cruiser Wagon, large car
56  Volvo 245 Wagon, midsize car
57  Mercedes 380SL Coupe*, small car
59  Buick Electra Wagon, large car
59  Oldsmobile Delta 88 4 door, large r
60  Mercedes 300SD/380SE*, large car
62  Buick LeSabre 4 door, large car
62  Oldsmobile Ninety Eight 4 door, large car
63  Dodge Caravan Van, large car
63  Chevrolet Corvette*, small car

The 10 highest ratings, i.e. most injury prone car are:

158  Nissan Pulsar 2 door, small car
156  Plymouth Colt 4 door, small car
155  Pontiac 1000 2 door, small car
155  Mitsubishi Tredia 4 door, small car
154  Chevorlet Chevette 2 door, small car
151  Mitsubishi Cordia 2 door, small car
149  Dodge Colt 2 door, small car
148  Plymouth Colt 2 door, small car
148  Toyota Starlete 2 door, small car 
145  Nissan Sentra 4 door, small car

The median ratings for classes of cars are:

Small cars          125     (57 - 158)
Midsize cars         95     (56 - 127)
Large cars           70     (54 - 101)

4 door cars          95     (59 - 156)
2 door cars         110     (65 - 158)
Wagons & vans        95     (54 - 108)
Specialty cars*      80     (57 - 127)

Japanese cars       (89 - 158)
European cars       (56 - 104)
American cars       (54 - 155)

Exceptions in their class:

Plymouth Grand Fury, 20 points worse than any other 4 door large car
Saab 900, 32 points better than any other 2 door small car

Overall safest class is:

Midsize European Wagons & Vans  56

augustc@zeus.UUCP (Augustine T. Chan) (08/25/85)

>According to 8-19-85 USA Today, the auto insurance industry released data
>on the personal injury rates for 1982-1984 cars sold in the US based on
>the number of insurance claims.  A rating of 100 is average.

Since I did not read the article, I have a couple of questions with
regard to computation of the rating:

1. Is it based on the total number of claims of a model or is it
based on the number of claims per (e.g. 100) automobile(s) of a model?

2. Is there any relationship between the number of claims of a model
and the average risk rating of its drivers, i.e., are we looking at the
safety rating of the different models or are we looking at the safety rating
of their drivers?

						Augustine C.

smh@rduxb.UUCP (henning) (08/26/85)

****                                                                 ****
From the keys of Steve Henning, AT&T Bell Labs, Reading, PA rduxb!smh

> >According to 8-19-85 USA Today, the auto insurance industry released data
> >on the personal injury rates for 1982-1984 cars sold in the US based on
> >the number of insurance claims.  A rating of 100 is average.
> 
> Since I did not read the article, I have a couple of questions with
> regard to computation of the rating:
> 
> 1. Is it based on the total number of claims of a model or is it
> based on the number of claims per (e.g. 100) automobile(s) of a model?

It is based upon the number of claims per insured automobile per insurance year.

> 2. Is there any relationship between the number of claims of a model
> and the average risk rating of its drivers, i.e., are we looking at the
> safety rating of the different models or are we looking at the safety rating
> of their drivers?

This is not a black and white issue.  You are looking at the model plus
1) Driving habits of people who choose that model
2) Safety habits of same such as belt use and child restraints
3) Accident avoidance capabilities of the car and of the drivers
4) Accident risk factor in areas where a particular model is usually sold
5) Miles per year driven by typical drivers of that model
6) Highway versus local miles driven by typical drivers of that model
You can see this clearly with American cars.  Many times the same
model with a different division's label will have quite different
personal injury and fatality data yet they are the same car, almost.
The main difference is in the advertising and the type of person they
are targeted for.  For example Pontiac has a high injury/fatality rate
compared to Olds for equivalent models.

Laboratory safety tests have similar problems.  They factor out all
of the above which are a part of the real world and have accident tests
which are idealized and not real world.  However lab tests are the only
fair comparisons you can make even though they are unrealistic. 

If you are a typical driver of one of the cars on the survey,
then the results probably are a good indicator of your risk to injury.