[net.games.rogue] Rogue statistics: the final answer

nomi@rabbit.UUCP (08/29/83)

At last, here are the final definitive results from the many
months I've spent collecting data about rogue, version 5.2.
My last posting contained data only from my own games.  This
summary includes data from me and from my contributors.  The
main contributors were utcsrgv!dave and rabbit!mam.  I thank
both of them for their help.
The total number of games I used for my calculations was 1352:
732 played by me, and 620 played by others.  The vast majority
of rogueists succumb by level 20, so I have not posted statistics
for levels greater than 20.  Results after level 16 or so should
not be taken too seriously because of the scanty amount of data
for these levels.
_________________________________________________________
	Percent chance of dying on each level
1: 43%
2: 13%
3: 8%
5: 4%
5: 3%
6: 2%
7: 1%
8: 3%
9: 2%
10: 4%
11: 2%
12: 1%
13: 4%
14: 2%
15: 1%
16: 1%
17: 2%
18: 1%
19: 1%
20+: 1%

Comments:  It is apparent that level 1 is still by far the
most dangerous, with levels 2 and 3 next.  On the higher
levels, 10, 13, and 17 seem to be more dangerous than the
surrounding levels.
_________________________________________________________
	Percent chance of dying on the level named,
	assuming you have reached it.

1: 43%
2: 22%
3: 18%
4: 13%
5: 8%
6: 7%
7: 5%
8: 12%
9: 11%
10: 20%
11: 14%
12: 10%
13: 33%
14: 22%
15: 17%
16: 25%
17: 39%
18+: no conclusion

Comments:  This data looks a little different from the previous
chart.  The most dangerous levels are 1, 13, and 17+.
_____________________________________________________________
	Percent chance of dying by each monster

A: 9%
B: 2%
C: 7%
D: <1%
E: 7%
F: <1%
G: <1%
H: 36%
I: 1%
J: 3%
K: 8%
L: <1%
M: <1%
N: 0
O: 2%
P: <1%
Q: 2%
R: 0
S: 11%
T: 7%
U: 1%
V: <1%
W: <1%
X: 2%
Y: <1%
Z: 2%

Comments:  In this case, the statistics are somewhat deceptive.
The numbers don't really tell how mean each monster is.  The
lowly hobgoblin and snake cause the most deaths, because they
occur at levels when the rogue has low HP.  Nasties like xorns
and umber hulks are less likely to kill you because you are
less likely to meet them.
_____________________________________________________________
I hope you found these statistics interesting and informative.
Thanks again to the people who contributed data.  Send flames,
compliments, and comments to me.
	Nomi Harris
	...rabbit!nomi