[net.micro] New Half gigabyte ROM...CD vs LASER

chenr@tilt.UUCP (Raymond Chen) (05/06/84)

There's just one problem with this.  It's a *ROM* !!  How many of you out there
would like to run your VAXens with most of UNIX on a ROM?  Consider the number
of unfixable bugs.  It would make a great distribution medium, but five years
(hopefully less) from now, when I have a VAX+ class machine sitting on my desk,
I want to run the *smallest* amount of straight, canned software I can get away
with.  Call me spoiled, but I've gotten to *like* having the source code on-
line.  I don't hack it (unless I can't avoid it), but it's nice to know that I
can, since there always seems to be one more major bug. (Remember the vi
modeline feature?)

For crying out loud, you couldn't even use a binary debugger.  At the current
prices, I don't think the additional storage would be worth the additional
frustation.  Now, a half-gigabyte RAM would be something worth looking into.
Read/write players are out, but they're only one-time writes.  Still, if the
price of disks came down low enough, that wouldn't be bad (when the price of
the r/w players come down.  They are *expensive*.).

By the way, I read an earlier rumor about IBM going the secrecy road with its
successors to the PC.  That would positively make me want to p***, excuse me.
I own a PC, and the thing I like most about it is the documentation.  How
many other micros give you BIOS listings, instructions and examples on
how to write and install custom device drivers, full documentation on the
graphics chip, etc.?

I can see it, five years from now.  A blue, sealed box with the IBM logo on
it, running half a gigabyte of unalterable IBM software.  Ugh.  Pardon me, 
but I'm feeling a little sick...

		Source licenses are wonderful things...


-- 

The preceding message was brought to you by --

		Ray Chen
		princeton!tilt!chenr

markh@tekig1.UUCP (05/08/84)

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<"...we're just a habit, like sacharrine..." P. Simon>

To !tilt!chenr 's lament about the CD being a ROM and thus having marginal
utility I can only react with amazement...When was the last time you 
corrected a typo in a book or magazine?  Did the existence of that typo
ruin the book?  Possibly, but not likely. 

Think of the utility of having the entire contents of the The Encyclopedia 
Brittanica on line?  or all the cookbooks you ever wanted?
or professional references (law libraries?)?

I sincerely doubt that the possibilities have escaped Big Blue...and I sure
don't expect to see anything as hacked up as OS source or object (ANYBODY'S) 
on a ROM.  (With, naturally, the exception of the stuff which makes all this
primitve hardware perform in a civilized manner...my terminal, f'rinstance.)

STERNLIGHT@USC-ECL.ARPA (05/10/84)

From:  STERNLIGHT <STERNLIGHT@USC-ECL.ARPA>

Jeez, you guys.  How many  copies  of  Michala  Petri  playing  Babell
Sonatas  on  the  recorder do you think Phillips sold worldwide on CD?
1000?  10000??  How many copies of Wordstar or 1-2-3 have  been  sold?
But  the  economics  were such that Phillips released Petri on CD once
they had the LP masters.  Once you have the  masters,  the  production
cost  of  CD's must be a lot less than the $12 per unit they sell them
for in the U.K.  or the $15.99 Tower records sells them for here.   So
someone  is  sure to find a way to modify the masters (remember, we're
talking high-speed audiotape here) quickly and cheaply for bug  fixes.
Can you imagine getting all your software upgraded for $16.99?  We pay
more than that for 1 program upgrade.  (Of course they'll charge more,
depending  on  supply and demand; the costs of production also fall on
the CD entirely here.  But I am making a feasibility point.)

Not  only  that, but the economics are such that you could sell people
CD's with lots of software on it they don't even need (as well as that
they  do) for a very good price.  Then you have them in the market for
all the  upgrades  to  get  the  upgrade  to  the  software  they  use
(remember,  it's  all  on the same CD) and a hell of a big market base
for that CD as a result.  Thus the costs of the bug fixes as  well  as
production  of  the  CD would be spread over a very large market base.
Let's suppose that the total market for the CD were as low as 50,000 .
At  $50  to  get all your bugs fixed as of a certain date, that's $2.5
million.  Take off about $5 as a generous  estimate  of  the  physical
production costs per disk and you still have $2.25 million for the bug
fixers.  If there are 20 serious programs on the CD  (plus  a  lot  of
trivial  stuff  and stuff without identified bugs at that time, that's
$112,500 per program to be  split  between  the  bug  fixers  and  the
operators of the system.  You could even introduce upgrades in some of
the programs for that money to make the $50 price irresistible.  Looks
like  a good business to me.  Even the cost of the documentation isn't
a problem--just put it all on the same CD.  Even if IBM hasn't got the
least  idea  of  doing it this way, how's that for a business plan for
someone?  --david--
-------

broehl@wateng.UUCP (Bernie Roehl) (05/18/84)

I suspect that the CD's will be used for databases and the like, rather
than program distribution.  I mean, even with sources and all, Unix isn't
pushing a gigabyte!  More likely it will be the Encylopedia Britannica or
the OED that gets put on CD, not software.

-- 
        -Bernie Roehl    (University of Waterloo)

henry@utzoo.UUCP (Henry Spencer) (05/20/84)

Bernie Roehl comments, in part:

   ..........................  I mean, even with sources and all, Unix isn't
   pushing a gigabyte!  .............

Just wait for 4.3BSD, if 4.2 is anything to judge by...	  :-(
-- 
				Henry Spencer @ U of Toronto Zoology
				{allegra,ihnp4,linus,decvax}!utzoo!henry