[net.micro] Some thoughts on future micro-comp

notes@okstate.UUCP (10/29/84)

From:  cmcl2!rna!rocky2!cubsvax!wu1!rf%seismo.uucp@BRL-TGR

A brief study of the microprocessor market:

  8086 Family.  Itty-bitty business computers, at least until IBM 
comes out with the IBM-pc/xa, which will allow arrays larger than 
64K.  Operating system: pc-dos extensively modified by IBM.

  68,000 family.  Graphics machines.  From Macintosh (for home use) 
to Sun Microsystems.  Some scientific, medium scale communications 
applications.  No floating point standard (a major disadvantage for 
scientific use); inadequate memory management.  Operating systems: 
Unix System V, Apple Mac.

  National Semiconductor 32,000 family.  The workhorse of future 
medium-scale transaction-processing computers.  Contender for 
medium-scale scientific use.  Contender for medium-scale (in 
networks, large-scale) business use.  Standard floating point and 
paged virtual memory management.  Operating systems: Genix (Berkely 
4.2 Unix), various Unices with transaction processing support.

Open markets:

The 4 to 16 terminal business computer.  Probable occupants: IBM, 
DEC.  A much expanded IBM-pc, a small VAX, a small 4300.  Possibly 
an NS 32,000-based system from some as-yet unknown company.  The 
IBM series 30 (system/34, system/36, system/38) is self-limiting 
and will soon be too costly for this market.  The series 30 is 
massively incompatable with existing software.  If IBM sells 4300s 
to this market they may run VM -- certainly not DOS or OS.  
Conceivably, some unknown could capture this market.

The automated office.  Possible occupants: IBM, Apple, DEC.  It's 
not yet clear whether workstation networks or medium-scale 
computers will fill this niche.  At the moment, Apple has the best 
workstation for this application, but will be releasing their 
network early in 1985.  IBM will also release a pc network in 1985. 
1985 promises to be an interesting year.  On the medium-scale 
computer side, either VAXen or 4300s running VM are possibilities.  
At the moment, DEC has the better system.  Conceivably, some 
unknown could capture this market.

The next home computer.  Possible occupants: the Apple Macintosh 
(68,000 processor), the Mindset (80186 with graphics co-processor.) 
Probably the market will go to one of those two; possibly to both.

				Randolph Fritz
UUCPnet:			{ihnp4,decvax}!philabs!wu1!rf

If economists predicted weather, we'd never speak of seasons.

bcase@uiucdcs.UUCP (11/01/84)

[wo wo here she comes, watch out boy she'll chew you up, she's a line eater]

You have left out HP with their RISC-chip family:  Spectrum.  You have
left out the 68020.  You have left out whatever RISC-like thing that
DEC will do.  You have left out the Z80000.  ....

    bcase

henry@utzoo.UUCP (Henry Spencer) (11/01/84)

> You have left out HP with their RISC-chip family:  Spectrum.  You have
> left out the 68020.  You have left out whatever RISC-like thing that
> DEC will do.  You have left out the Z80000.  ....

Obviously he was discussing only *real* chips, not vaporware.  Well, I
may be insulting HP -- I'm not sure about their chips -- but the others
you mention are all in the Real Soon Now category.  With chip manufacturers,
Real Soon Now often means Maybe Someday.
-- 
				Henry Spencer @ U of Toronto Zoology
				{allegra,ihnp4,linus,decvax}!utzoo!henry

mwm@ea.UUCP (11/02/84)

/***** ea:net.micro / uiucdcs!bcase /  3:17 pm  Oct 31, 1984 */
[wo wo here she comes, watch out boy she'll chew you up, she's a line eater]

You have left out HP with their RISC-chip family:  Spectrum.  You have
left out the 68020.  You have left out whatever RISC-like thing that
DEC will do.  You have left out the Z80000.  ....

    bcase
/* ---------- */
RISC-like thing from DEC? Are you kidding?

DEC just "announced" three new micro-class machines: The VAXSTATION I, a
MICROVAX I packaged like a SUN; the PRO 380, a J11 (PDP-11/70 on a chip)
box; and the DECMATE III, yet another z80 box. None of these in any way
resembles a RISC, and the three of them pretty well cover the spectrum of
single-user machines.

	<mike

bcase@uiucdcs.UUCP (11/06/84)

> /* Written  1:21 pm  Nov  2, 1984 by mwm@ea in uiucdcs:net.micro */
> /***** ea:net.micro / uiucdcs!bcase /  3:17 pm  Oct 31, 1984 */
> [wo wo here she comes, watch out boy she'll chew you up, she's a line eater]
> 
> You have left out HP with their RISC-chip family:  Spectrum.  You have
> left out the 68020.  You have left out whatever RISC-like thing that
> DEC will do.  You have left out the Z80000.  ....
> 
>     bcase
> /* ---------- */
> RISC-like thing from DEC? Are you kidding?
> 
> DEC just "announced" three new micro-class machines: The VAXSTATION I, a
> MICROVAX I packaged like a SUN; the PRO 380, a J11 (PDP-11/70 on a chip)
> box; and the DECMATE III, yet another z80 box. None of these in any way
> resembles a RISC, and the three of them pretty well cover the spectrum of
> single-user machines.
> 
> 	<mike
> /* End of text from uiucdcs:net.micro */

Nonetheless, I predict that DEC will have some sort of RISC-like thing
in a workstation sometime.

    Gullibly yours,
        bcase

phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) (11/07/84)

> RISC-like thing from DEC? Are you kidding?
> 	<mike

Stranger things *have* been known to happen. I'm not an official
source but I wouldn't be surprised.

johnl@godot.UUCP (11/09/84)

Usually Reliable Sources say that DEC's western research lab in Palo Alto
is working on a machine descended in some degree from the Stanford MIPS,
which is a RISC-like design.

John Levine, ima!johnl

henry@utzoo.UUCP (Henry Spencer) (11/11/84)

> Usually Reliable Sources say that DEC's western research lab in Palo Alto
> is working on a machine descended in some degree from the Stanford MIPS,
> which is a RISC-like design.

I would be surprised if DECWRL *wasn't* investigating RISC machines.  But
a research project and a product announcement are poles apart.
-- 
				Henry Spencer @ U of Toronto Zoology
				{allegra,ihnp4,linus,decvax}!utzoo!henry