[comp.society.futures] expert systems & work ethics

aipdc@castle.ed.ac.uk (Paul D. Crowley) (02/08/90)

>In article <439@unicorn.WWU.EDU> n8445388@unicorn.WWU.EDU (treon verdery) writes:
>>In the same paper I also wrote about a possible political dilemma:
>>a computer model that could accurately simultate & retroactively 
>>predict the economy & political reality of the USA.
In article <772@geovision.UUCP> gd@geovision.UUCP (Gord Deinstadt) writes:
>Such a system would, by its very existence, *change* the economic and
>political reality.  So its simulation can't be perfectly accurate.  (See
>Heisenberg.)
>
>Unless, of course, it's prophecies are self-fulfilling.  But then it is
>no longer a simulation.

Not necessarily. The information on the system could be kept secret by
the reader. Or the system could be manufactured by Cassandra Computing.
Or there could be a kind of inevitability about the behavior of the e
and p reality, such that it would not be greatly changed by being
accuratly predicted.

Anyone want to write a short story assuming the existance of one of the
above such systems?
 

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It may be reproduced freely in part or whole correctly accredited.
Paul D Crowley aipdc@uk.ac.ed.castle ---  It wasn't me, it was my aardvark.

peter@ficc.uu.net (Peter da Silva) (02/09/90)

In article <2154@castle.ed.ac.uk> aipdc@castle.ed.ac.uk (Paul D. Crowley)
writes about expert systems that predict the behaviour of a society.
> Anyone want to write a short story assuming the existance of one of the
> above such systems?

See "Foundation" by Isaac Asimov.
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