mathis@boulder.Colorado.EDU (Don Mathis) (11/21/89)
RESULTS OF THE FOOTBALL NEURAL NET: WEEK 11 Week 10 Rankings: Week 11 Rankings: Rank Team Quality Value Rank Team Quality Value ---- ---- -------------- ---- ---- -------------- #1 San Francisco 10.0 #1 San Francisco 9.0 #2 Cleveland 9.2 #2 Cleveland 8.6 #3 Denver 9.2 #3 Denver 8.2 #4 Chicago 7.0 #4 Chicago 6.7 #5 L.A.Raiders 5.4 #5 Cincinnati 6.6 #6 Buffalo 4.8 #6 L.A.Rams 4.8 #7 Philadelphia 4.3 #7 N.Y.Giants 4.2 #8 Cincinnati 4.2 #8 Houston 4.0 #9 N.Y.Giants 4.1 #9 Philadelphia 3.6 #10 L.A.Rams 3.6 #10 L.A.Raiders 3.5 #11 Minnesota 2.5 #11 Buffalo 3.3 #12 Houston 2.3 #12 Minnesota 3.0 #13 New Orleans 1.7 #13 New Orleans 2.0 #14 San Diego 0.1 #14 Indianapolis -0.0 #15 Washington -0.7 #15 Washington -0.4 #16 Indianapolis -0.7 #16 Kansas City -0.8 #17 Kansas City -1.2 #17 San Diego -1.4 #18 Miami -1.6 #18 Green Bay -1.4 #19 Seattle -1.9 #19 Miami -2.1 #20 Green Bay -2.9 #20 Tampa Bay -2.3 #21 Tampa Bay -3.5 #21 Seattle -3.0 #22 Phoenix -5.1 #22 New England -5.8 #23 Detroit -6.5 #23 Phoenix -6.5 #24 New England -7.3 #24 Pittsburgh -6.6 #25 Pittsburgh -7.7 #25 Detroit -7.8 #26 N.Y.Jets -7.8 #26 Atlanta -8.3 #27 Atlanta -8.8 #27 N.Y.Jets -8.8 #28 Dallas -12.9 #28 Dallas -12.3 HOW THE NET DID THIS WEEK: Net's predictions: Buffalo vs. New England => Buffalo by 12.1 Cincinnati vs. Detroit => Cincinnati by 10.7 Cleveland vs. Kansas City => Cleveland by 10.4 Denver vs. Washington => Denver by 9.9 Houston vs. L.A.Raiders => L.A.Raiders by 3.0 Indianapolis vs. N.Y.Jets => Indianapolis by 7.1 Miami vs. Dallas => Miami by 11.3 Pittsburgh vs. San Diego => San Diego by 7.8 Seattle vs. N.Y.Giants => N.Y.Giants by 6.0 Atlanta vs. New Orleans => New Orleans by 10.5 Chicago vs. Tampa Bay => Chicago by 10.5 Green Bay vs. San Francisco => San Francisco by 12.9 L.A.Rams vs. Phoenix => L.A.Rams by 8.7 Minnesota vs. Philadelphia => Philadelphia by 1.8 Betting against the spread: Game Line Net's bet Actual W/L Error (pts) ---------------------------------------------------------- ----------- Buff-NE Buff 5 Buff NE 9 L 21.1 Cinn-Det Cinn 7 Cinn Cinn 35 W 24.3 Cle-KC Cle 7 Cle Tie L 10.4 Den-Wash Wash 2.5 Den Den 4 W 5.9 Hou-Raid Hou 5 Raid Hou 16 L 19.0 Ind-Jets Ind 6 Ind Ind 17 W 9.9 Mia-Dal Mia 6.5 Mia Mia 3 L 8.3 Pitt-SD Pitt 2 SD Pitt 3 L 10.8 Sea-Giant Giant 9.5 Sea Giant 12 L 6.0 Atl-NewO NewO 3 NewO NewO 9 W 1.5 Chi-TB Chi 10.5 NO BET TB 1 - 11.5 GB-SF SF 10 SF GB 4 L 16.9 Rams-Pho Rams 11 Pho Rams 23 L 14.3 Minn-Phi Minn 1.5 Phi Phi 1 W 0.8 Total W/L against the spread: 5-8 (with 1 no-bet) Pure W/L: 8-5-1 Avg error in points: 11.5 Last weeks avg error: 11.1 PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK 12: Buffalo vs. Cincinnati => Cincinnati by 3.2 Cleveland vs. Detroit => Cleveland by 16.5 Denver vs. Seattle => Denver by 11.2 Houston vs. Kansas City => Houston by 4.9 Indianapolis vs. San Diego => Indianapolis by 1.4 L.A.Raiders vs. New England => L.A.Raiders by 9.3 Miami vs. Pittsburgh => Miami by 4.4 N.Y.Jets vs. Atlanta => Atlanta by 0.5 Chicago vs. Washington => Chicago by 7.1 Dallas vs. Philadelphia => Philadelphia by 15.8 Green Bay vs. Minnesota => Minnesota by 4.4 L.A.Rams vs. New Orleans => L.A.Rams by 2.9 N.Y.Giants vs. San Francisco => San Francisco by 4.8 Phoenix vs. Tampa Bay => Tampa Bay by 4.2 Highest quality game: N.Y.Giants vs. San Francisco. Total quality = 13.2 Lowest quality game: N.Y.Jets vs. Atlanta. Total quality = -17.1 Most evenly matched game: N.Y.Jets vs. Atlanta. Difference in quality = 0.5 Most lopsided game: Cleveland vs. Detroit. Difference in quality = 16.5