FIRSCHEIN@IU.AI.SRI.COM (Oscar Firschein) (01/12/88)
HP Labs Colloquium: Prof. Amos Tversky
Subject: Rational Choice and Cognitive Illusion
The analysis of decision and judgment under uncertainty reveals
pervasive and systematic departures from the rational theory of
judgment and choice. In particular, people exhibit overconfidence in
action and belief, susceptability to framing effects, and
inconsistent attitudes toward risk. These pheenomena are traced to
the operation of a limited number of heuristic principles, which are
generally useful but often produce illusion and bias.
Time: 4 P.M. Thursday, Feb. 4, 1988
Place: Hewlett-Packard
5M Auditorium
1501 Page Mill Road, Palo Alto
Non-HP employees: Welcome! Please come to the lobby on time
so that you may be escorted to the 5M auditorium
Refreshment: A wine and cheese reception will follow.
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