MVILAIN@G.BBN.COM (Marc Vilain) (06/11/88)
Date: Fri, 10 Jun 88 13:52 EDT From: Marc Vilain <MVILAIN@G.BBN.COM> Subject: BBN AI Seminar -- Phylis Koton To: ai-folks@G.BBN.COM BBN Science Development Program AI Seminar Series Lecture MODEL-BASED DIAGNOSTIC REASONING USING PAST EXPERIENCES Phylis Koton MIT Lab for Computer Science (ELAN@XX.LCS.MIT.EDU) BBN Labs 10 Moulton Street 2nd floor large conference room 10:30 am, Tuesday June 14 The problem-solving performance of most people improves with experience. The performance of most expert systems does not. People solve unfamiliar problems slowly, but recognize and quickly solve problems that are similar to those they have solved before. People also remember problems that they have solved, thereby improving their performance on similar problems in the future. This talk will describe a system, CASEY, that uses case-based reasoning to recall and remember problems it has seen before, and uses a causal model of its domain to justify re-using previous solutions and to solve unfamiliar problems. CASEY overcomes some of the major weaknesses of case-based reasoning through its use of a causal model of the domain. First, the model identifies the important features for matching, and this is done individually for each case. Second, CASEY can prove that a retrieved solution is applicable to the new case by analyzing its differences from the new case in the context of the model. CASEY overcomes the speed limitation of model-based reasoning by remembering a previous similar case and making small changes to its solution. It overcomes the inability of associational reasoning to deal with unanticipated problems by recognizing when it has not seen a similar problem before, and using model-based reasoning in those circumstances. The techniques developed for CASEY were implemented in the domain of medical diagnosis, and resulted in solutions identical to those derived by a model-based expert system for the same domain, but with an increase of several orders of magnitude in efficiency. Furthermore, the methods used by the system are domain-independent and should be applicable in other domains with models of a similar form. -------