ruth@utstat.uucp (Ruth Croxford) (02/22/89)
Topic: A Manuscript on Chance by John Arbuthnot Speaker: David Bellhouse Date: 4:00, Thursday, March 2, 1989 Place: ROOM 2110, Sidney Smith Hall, 100 St George Street, U of Toronto Abstract: The Gregory manuscript collection held by the University of Edinburgh Library contains a treatise on chance written by John Arbuthnot (1667-1735). The manuscript is dated 1694. It contains two theorems and four problems which are either generalizations of results in his 1692 book 'Of the Laws of Chance' or anticipations of his 1710 significance test, the world's first, published in 'Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society'. The contents of the manuscript indicate that Arbuthnot, better known for his literary accomplishments in the creation of the character John Bull, was an able mathematician working on problems of current interest to probabilists. --------- Coffee and tea will be served in the De Lury Lounge (SS6006) at 3:30.