[comp.os.research] Need reference on "5 year rule"

bdf@rex.cs.tulane.edu (Brett Fleisch) (10/17/89)

I am trying to recall the name of the article which includes some
observations about the amount of time an OS takes to "mature".  A five
year rule comes to mind.  Barriers to developing the system are
discussed, I believe.  Can someone recall the reference (which
obviously I havent read for over 5 years!)?

Brett Fleisch

-- 
Brett D. Fleisch
Asst. Prof of Computer Science
Tulane University
New Orleans, LA 70118

farber@linc.cis.upenn.edu (David Farber) (10/22/89)

I am not sure where the 5 year rule came from but my observationin OS
and PL is that ideas take 5 years to become popular, 5 years then to be
forgotten and 5 years to be re-invented. Check some old OS ideas if you
dont believe me (like multics, SOS etc)

David Farber; Prof. of CIS and EE, U of Penn, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6389 Tele:
215-898-9508(off); 215-274-8292 (home); FAX: 215-274-8192;  Cellular:  302-740-
1198 "The fundamental principle of science, the definition almost, is this: the
sole test of the validity of any idea is experiment." -- R. P. Feynman

krakowia@imag.imag.fr (Sacha Krakowiak) (10/28/89)

A "five-to-seven year rule" is presented, with many examples, in the
following paper : H.C. Lauer, Observations on the Development of an
Operating System, Proc. 8th SOSP, 14-16 dec 1981, pp.30-36. The
paper is based on experience derived from the development of the Pilot
operating system at Xerox PARC.
-- 
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