[ont.events] Statistics Seminar - Mixture Models; Mary Lesperance

ruth@utstat.uucp (Ruth Croxford) (02/21/90)

Topic:	  Mixture Models as Applied to Models Involving Many Incidental
	  Parameters
Speaker:  Mary Lesperance, McMaster University
Date: 	  4:00 - 5:00 p.m., Thursday, March 1, 1990
Place:	  Room 1085, Sidney Smith Hall, 100 St. George Street, U of T
Abstract:

Statistical models which contains many incidental (or nuisance) parameters
arise naturally in many disciplines, and it is well known that the method
of maximum likelihood can perform poorly with these models.  In response,
several authors have derived alternative likelihood methods for estimating
structural parameters in models which contain many incidental parameters.
In particular, Kiefer & Wolfowitz (1956) consider the incidental parameters
to be independent random variates with common unknown distribution function,
say G. This yields a mixture model for the data y,
	f(y | phi, G) = int (p(y | phi, theta) dG(a),
a function of the structural parameter phi, and G, the mixing distribution. 
Kiefer & Wolfowitz's assumptions are highly restrictive, however, and it is
shown that the mixture model approach is more widely applicable to models that 
are commonly used in many applications.  maximum likelihood estimates of 
structural parameters derived from the mixture likelihood are sensible

Kiefer & Wolfowitz (1956) did not address the practical aspects of computing
the maximum likelihood estimates of their model parameters, phi and G.  Note
that G is not assumed to belong to a parametric family, and so, computing
the mle of G involves finding the arbitrary distribution G hat which
maximizes the likelihood.  Since Kiefer & Wolfowitz's work, several 
suggestions have been proposed in the mixture model literature for
computation of the nonparametric mle of the mixing distribution G.  These
procedures, however, tend to be slow, and impractical to use while
simultaneously maximizing the likelihood over the parameter space.  A new
algorithm for computing the nonparametric mle of G is described.  The algorithm
is more efficient in terms of computation time that those described hitherto.
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Coffee and tea will be served in the DeLury Lounge (SS6006) at 3:30 p.m.
estimates in all examples considered.