[net.news.group] Doomsday cometh

lauren@vortex.UUCP (Lauren Weinstein) (09/05/85)

It occurs to me that we're trying to hold back an ocean with
a sponge.  Gang, there ain't NO WAY we can make this work.  
It's doomed.  Strong statement?  Yep.

In the short run, trying to control newsgroup proliferation will
help hold off the day of reckoning, and I think we should do so.
But in the medium/long run I think that Usenet, in its current form,
has had it.  And medium-run may not be that far off.

Look what's happening.  Multitudes of new group requests.  People
creating groups WITHOUT requests.  People trying to set up 
gateways to Usenet from other networks with God knows how many
people on them.  People still bitching that "moderated groups
don't work on Usenet" or "violate their freedoms."  Hell, the net
as a whole can't even decide to delete a darkening cesspool like
net.bizarre (which at one time definitely had considerable 
interesting content.)

And every new group tends to create new traffic since somebody
will always have SOMETHING to say about ANYTHING, and of course
wants EVERYONE to read it.

Plus we have the increasing number of small nodes which will
eventually swamp the larger sites in terms of sheer numbers.

It's going to be very sad to see this grand experiment slowly die,
like a terminal patient being kept alive with life-support equipment
but who gradually loses more and more of their sensibilities
as they fade away.

This network is now, and will rapidly continue to become, an
incredibly expensive anachronism.  And those of us brave enough
(or stupid enough) to sit around long enough to watch are going
to see a pretty ugly sight as many of the more creative elements of
the network (both individuals and sites) gradually depart from
our ranks and cause the signal/noise ratio to continue degrading.

I offer no solution for the current environment.  The cause of the
problem is very clear, and is a lesson for us all:  You can't run
a totally unmoderated information environment successfully beyond
a certain critical mass of submitters.  You can have 100 million
people reading a magazine... but you don't let 100 million, or even
1000, people send in articles every month and promise to publish
them all, regardless of volume or content.  You can publish everything
that comes in when you have a small newsletter--but once you get above
a certain size you have to start making decisions about what you
want to publish both from a technical/cost standpoint and to keep
the information channel from being swamped in noise.  This is exactly
the situation we have here--Usenet worked for a while but is simply
too big.  It doesn't scale up properly.

One problem is that too many people tend to think only of their
own interests and not of the net at large.  THEY want to discuss
some topic and HOW DARE the network refuse to carry it?  The
number of groups that already exist makes matters worse. 
"Hell, if net.foo already exists, why can't I create net.bar?" they ask.

The curve of network degradation seems to definitely be non-linear.
It may even be close to exponential.  We seem to have recently
passed a point on the graph where the slope is suddenly starting
to get increasing oriented toward the vertical.  It's gonna get a lot
worse.

---

Like I said, I don't have a solution other than to continue with
my work on Stargate (which is proceeding well by the way) in the hopes
of being able to provide a useful alternative for people in the near
future.  Since it hits all points at once (being a broadcast medium)
and since all materials would be moderated in some manner, I hope
it can avoid duplicating the problems we're seeing on Usenet now.
And I do hope to be able to encompass many of the subject areas
already on Usenet.

---

One last thing.  I'm not trying to blame anyone for this.
The problems we're seeing are systemic, they aren't the
result of any single person or groups' actions.  Usenet started
small and we kept piling on pieces.  The nature of the network
and the many unrelated entities involved in the net made this
almost inevitable.  We've all tried real hard to keep things
running, even though most of us realize, deep inside, that the
patient is dying.  But some additional life-saving efforts may
prolong the patient for a while longer... we may have a little
bit of time left before the sheer numbers wipe us out.

But though we may win occasional battles, I think we've already
lost the war.  The patient is terminal and cannot be prolonged
indefinitely.  Still, it has certainly been an interesting
experience.

--Lauren--

bch@ecsvax.UUCP (Byron C. Howes) (09/06/85)

In article <781@vortex.UUCP> lauren@vortex.UUCP (Lauren Weinstein) writes:
>It occurs to me that we're trying to hold back an ocean with
>a sponge.  Gang, there ain't NO WAY we can make this work.  
>It's doomed.  Strong statement?  Yep.

I agree.  Completely.

>In the short run, trying to control newsgroup proliferation will
>help hold off the day of reckoning, and I think we should do so.
>But in the medium/long run I think that Usenet, in its current form,
>has had it.  And medium-run may not be that far off.

I would say that the medium long run is here.  Articles are disappearing
somewhere on the net, garbage is creeping into the so-called "good"
newsgroups.  Net.bizarre has taken on a life of its own and is spilling
over into other groups (actually I though net.bizarre was an alias for
USENET.)


>Plus we have the increasing number of small nodes which will
>eventually swamp the larger sites in terms of sheer numbers.

Well, some old hands are more responsible for the proliferation of
small nodes than others.  :-> (grim amusement)

>It's going to be very sad to see this grand experiment slowly die,
>like a terminal patient being kept alive with life-support equipment
>but who gradually loses more and more of their sensibilities
>as they fade away.

I don't think we have to wait around watching the network die.  I think
we need to cut our losses and move on.  This is ridiculous!  We know
what the problems are, we know how to correct them, and all we need
to do is act rather than sitting around with our thumbs up our armpits
wailing and gnashing our teeth.

I propose net.fascism

Those who are aware and concerned about usenet's problems may not be
able to control *all* the sites on the net, but they can at least
exert influence at the backbone sites.  If it net.bizarre needs to
be destroyed, then simply refuse to transfer it up and down the
backbone.  If it is deemed necessary to destroy the soapbox groups,
the same can be done to them.  This groups may proliferate for a
while as local groups, but without the worldwide feedback they will
soon die out.  If not, well nobody is influencing the content of
purely local groups.

Ultimately if we want to destroy the entire structure of usenet and
replace it with moderated groups we can do that too.  All it takes
is a few key people in a few key places making a few key decisions.

I don my asbestos suit and await the flames of the terminally
libertarian and/or anarchic.  I am *tired* of folks bemoaning the
fate of usenet when, in fact, the fate of usenet is *our* responsibility.



-- 

                                              Byron Howes
					System Manager -- NCECS
				   ...!{decvax,akgua}!mcnc!ecsvax!bch

nsadmin@midacs.UUCP (Linn Hower) (09/06/85)

The key points of the 93 line article, <781@vortex.UUCP>, from
lauren@vortex.UUCP (Lauren Weinstein) are:

> It occurs to me that we're trying to hold back an ocean with
> a sponge.  Gang, there ain't NO WAY we can make this work.  
> It's doomed.  Strong statement?  Yep.

> And every new group tends to create new traffic since somebody
> will always have SOMETHING to say about ANYTHING, and of course
> wants EVERYONE to read it.

*> our ranks and cause the signal/noise ratio to continue degrading.*

*> I offer no solution for the current environment.  The cause of the*

> 1000, people send in articles every month and promise to publish
> them all, regardless of volume or content.  You can publish everything

*> Like I said, I don't have a solution other than to continue with*
> my work on Stargate (which is proceeding well by the way) in the hopes

Lauren,

Why don't you read what you write, and stay a little farther away
from your postnews key.
-- 
Linn Hower	Phone: 208-526-9353
   ...!ucbvax!ucdavis!midacs!isew02!linn

phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) (09/07/85)

It's not clear to me it's as bad as that. With the new 2.10.3, you
can disable automatic newsgroup creation. If something isn't in my
active file, it gets junked. Once we get most of the important sites
like the backbones running 2.10.3, it will be nearly impossible for
a rogue SA to create a bogus newsgroup and have it get very far.

Someone could post into the wrong group but he is sure to get letter
bombs in his mailbox if he does that enough. He probably won't get
any positive feedback. And if things don't clear up, his site or
his feed could be threatened with being cut off.

So I think we haven't really lost control yet. If in fact the S/N
ratio does keep getting worse, we could easily start an elitist
net. Perhaps it would be moderated. But I think something could
always be done...

-- 
 The overseas Chinese are the Jews of Asia.

 Phil Ngai (408) 749-5720
 UUCP: {ucbvax,decwrl,ihnp4,allegra}!amdcad!phil
 ARPA: amdcad!phil@decwrl.ARPA

gam@amdahl.UUCP (G A Moffett) (09/07/85)

Lauren is right in predicting the overwhelming collapse the
net could face in the future if things go on uncontrolled.

However:

	The net is not going to collapse at a given time;
	there will be warning signs, as there are now, so
	people will have time to act.

I'm sure many site administrators could easily predict what
will (and does!) happen when their site can no longer accept
the load of news they are getting:

	If you are sending full-blast news ('net' distribution),
	see if you can cut off a few leaf sites, by getting
	them other feeds (neat trick!) and/or reducing the total
	amount of news passed to them.

	Start expiring news faster (possibly selectively by newsgroup):
	14 days, then 10, then 7, then 5, then .... ?

	Reject certain newsgroups (probably the most rapidly expired
	ones) outright.

I'm not sure what the next steps are.  Since the size of the
user population is pointed at as a primary problem, I present
two scenarios:

	(My favorite:)  'net' distribution becomes a special,
	possibly priviledged, level.  Use of local/regional
	distributions is encouraged (or is default).  Thus
	you stll have Usenet but with a much smaller population.

	(Lifeboat:)  New sites will find it more and more difficult
	to find a news feed.  Growth will level off naturally
	but it will probably be much worse than now.

Because of My Favorite above, I am encouraging -- right now --
that sites establish and utilize the local/regional distributions.
I hope that people will find, as we do in the ca.all groups, that
the local atmosphere of a regional net is so much more comfortable and
easy to manage, and restores a sense of quality in writer- and
readership (probably only because of a smaller population).  And
besides, they may someday be all you have.

[ Incidently, I have proposed a distribution for the western
  US states but this hasn't quite taken off yet .... ]
-- 
Gordon A. Moffett		...!{ihnp4,cbosgd,hplabs}!amdahl!gam

chuqui@nsc.UUCP (Chuq Von Rospach) (09/07/85)

In article <3568@amdcad.UUCP> phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:
>
>It's not clear to me it's as bad as that. With the new 2.10.3, you
>can disable automatic newsgroup creation. If something isn't in my
>active file, it gets junked. Once we get most of the important sites
>like the backbones running 2.10.3, it will be nearly impossible for
>a rogue SA to create a bogus newsgroup and have it get very far.

Except that control messages will get passed on, meaning the group will end
up getting created on every site that doesn't turn on that feature or
upgrade. Also, if you do turn on that feature, and someone sends out a
control message followed by the opening statements about the group, you
get the opening statements junked. What if your SA is on vacation for a
couple of weeks when the newgroup comes in? You simply lose all those
messages... 

>Someone could post into the wrong group but he is sure to get letter
>bombs in his mailbox if he does that enough. He probably won't get
>any positive feedback. And if things don't clear up, his site or
>his feed could be threatened with being cut off.

Except the other idiots on the net WILL give positive feedback and egg them
on. I can mention two cases, but I don't want to upset Scott Turner or
Frank Adrian... Also, there is NO enforcement mechanism for turning a site
off. The ONLY person who can do that is the immediate upstream SA, and what
if they don't agree with you? Or don't even care? Empty threats are
useless.

>So I think we haven't really lost control yet. If in fact the S/N
>ratio does keep getting worse, we could easily start an elitist
>net. Perhaps it would be moderated. But I think something could
>always be done...

We? If it is elitist, who said you'd be invited onto it???? *smirk*
-- 
Chuq Von Rospach nsc!chuqui@decwrl.ARPA {decwrl,hplabs,ihnp4}!nsc!chuqui

An uninformed opinion is no opinion at all. If you dont know what you're
talking about, please try to do it quietly.

lauren@vortex.UUCP (Lauren Weinstein) (09/08/85)

Since I almost never post in non-technical groups (except an
occasional net.tv or net.movies) I feel that an occasional 
lengthy analysis, to get people THINKING about the problems rather
than just letting things continue plodding along like they are,
is certainly not putting too much strain on the network.

Also, my remarks from that message were pulled out of context,
since I indeed did make suggestions about possible ways to
handle the situation--they just don't fall into the category
of "quick fixes" for the net.

You have my permission to suggest YOUR solutions for fixing
the network, Linn.  In the past I've done my darndest to
point out ways (including moderation) to help solve these problems,
but they've been considered unacceptable by the folks who
feel that they can just keep things the way they are and
everything will work out.  Sometimes people need something
to jar them into thinking about the problems.

But, c'mon Linn.  Maybe you have some great solution that none of
us old-timers who have been here since day one have thought of.
I'll be waiting to hear it with baited breath.

--Lauren--

chuqui@nsc.UUCP (Chuq Von Rospach) (09/08/85)

In a recent message I wrote:
> In article <3568@amdcad.UUCP> phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:

> >we could easily start an elitist
> >net. Perhaps it would be moderated. But I think something could
> >always be done...
> 
> We? If it is elitist, who said you'd be invited onto it???? *smirk*

That comment was meant to be a harmless dig, and I would have said it to
anyone. As a matter of fact, I'm not at all sure I'd invite ME onto
whatever net USENET evolves into, much less Phil. Unfortunately, Phil took
umbrage at what I had meant to be a harmless comment, so I hereby withdraw
it. Phil, if I ever start an elitist network, consider yourself invited in.
That goes for the rest of you, too. My apologies to anyone who took my
'joke' seriously...
-- 
Chuq Von Rospach nsc!chuqui@decwrl.ARPA {decwrl,hplabs,ihnp4}!nsc!chuqui

An uninformed opinion is no opinion at all. If you dont know what you're
talking about, please try to do it quietly.

phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) (09/08/85)

In article <3223@nsc.UUCP> chuqui@nsc.UUCP (Chuq Von Rospach) writes:
>In article <3568@amdcad.UUCP> phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:
>>So I think we haven't really lost control yet. If in fact the S/N
>>ratio does keep getting worse, we could easily start an elitist
>>net. Perhaps it would be moderated. But I think something could
>
>We? If it is elitist, who said you'd be invited onto it???? *smirk*
>-- 
>Chuq Von Rospach nsc!chuqui@decwrl.ARPA {decwrl,hplabs,ihnp4}!nsc!chuqui

Chuqui, I wrote to you and complained that I didn't appreciate such comments.
Your response was that it was "a harmless remark" and you would say that
to anyone. You also said some other nasty things about me which I won't
repeat here. You never said you were sorry you said it. Fine, I don't need
to be on a network with an insensitive fool like you anyway. Henceforth, 
AMD does not talk to NSC. Farewell.
-- 
 A hacker is someone who orders Sweet and Sour Bitter Melon just because
 it is "an impossible combination".

 Phil Ngai (408) 749-5720
 UUCP: {ucbvax,decwrl,ihnp4,allegra}!amdcad!phil
 ARPA: amdcad!phil@decwrl.ARPA

rcj@burl.UUCP (Curtis Jackson) (09/09/85)

One of my comrades here has suggested that at the least newsgroup CREATION
messages be barred in software from 'control' and only allowed to go to
a 'mod.control' that the backbones control.
-- 

The MAD Programmer -- 919-228-3313 (Cornet 291)
alias: Curtis Jackson	...![ ihnp4 ulysses cbosgd mgnetp ]!burl!rcj
			...![ ihnp4 cbosgd akgua masscomp ]!clyde!rcj

jordan@ucbvax.ARPA (Jordan Hayes) (09/10/85)

Phil sez:

	So I think we haven't really lost control yet. If in fact the
	S/N ratio does keep getting worse, we could easily start an
	elitist net. Perhaps it would be moderated. But I think
	something could ...

So, Chuq sez:

	We? If it is elitist, who said you'd be invited onto it???? *smirk*

So (of course), Phil sez:

	Fine, I don't need to be on a network with an insensitive fool
	like you anyway. Henceforth, AMD does not talk to NSC.
	Farewell.

"I'm taking my modem home..." ... come on guys. Does this need to be
a personal thing? We're talking about network connectivity here, not
just one person's feelings. I really have nothing to say about what
you two think of each other, but does it have to manifest itself at
the expense of Bay Area connectivity? Phil? You called me a "hairball"
the other day (without, I might add, a "*smirk*"...), but did I go
and find support from my SA to turn off AMD's feed from ucbvax?

Geeze... this is how wars start.

------------
Jordan Hayes        jordan@UCB-VAX.BERKELEY.EDU
UC Berkeley                       ucbvax!jordan
+1 (415) 835-8767    37' 52.29" N 122' 15.41" W

avolio@decuac.UUCP (Frederick M. Avolio) (09/10/85)

In article <3658@amdcad.UUCP>, phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:
> In article <3223@nsc.UUCP> chuqui@nsc.UUCP (Chuq Von Rospach) writes:
> >In article <3568@amdcad.UUCP> phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:
> >
> >We? If it is elitist, who said you'd be invited onto it???? *smirk*
> 
>............. You never said you were sorry you said it. Fine, I don't need
> to be on a network with an insensitive fool like you anyway. Henceforth, 
> AMD does not talk to NSC. Farewell.

The *very* next article vnews showed me was Subject:  Re:  Proposal for
starting net.peace.  Ha!

robert@fear.UUCP (Robert Plamondon) (09/11/85)

In article <3658@amdcad.UUCP>, phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:

> ....You never said you were sorry you said it. Fine, I don't need
> to be on a network with an insensitive fool like you anyway. Henceforth, 
> AMD does not talk to NSC. Farewell.

It seems that the elitism we all worried about wasn't the problem at
all -- it looks like the big problem is system administrators
choosing news feeds on the basis of personalities.

Phil and Chuqui had a spat, and Phil took all his marbles and went
home, unplugging his uucp connection with nsc as he did so. What a
marvellously mature way of arranging network connections! Next thing
you know, we'll do it on the basis of "my dad can beat your dad" and
"You're funny-looking."

Phil: you're the first one to publicly put elitism into practice. Are
you going to announce a policy of "be nice to Phil or lose your news
feeds," or do you plan to keep going on an ad hoc basis? Or, (please
please please) was it just overreaction to Chuqui's unique prose style?

-- 

		Robert Plamondon
		{turtlevax, resonex, cae780}!weitek!robert

chuqui@nsc.UUCP (Chuq Von Rospach) (09/11/85)

>	We? If it is elitist, who said you'd be invited onto it???? *smirk*
>So (of course), Phil sez:
>
>	Fine, I don't need to be on a network with an insensitive fool
>	like you anyway. Henceforth, AMD does not talk to NSC.
>	Farewell.
>
>"I'm taking my modem home..." ... come on guys. Does this need to be
>a personal thing?

I'm sorry to see this has balooned out onto the net. There was no offense
meant to Phil or to anyone, and I'm very sorry to see that he took it the
way he did. I have long considered Phil a friend, I'm sorry to see that the
friendship doesn't seem to have survived the current situation. If Phil
feels he has to cut the links, I'm apologize to the network for putting him
in that position.

>Geeze... this is how wars start.

Only if both parties allow it. I never wanted anything to go public, and
I'm sorry Phil felt he had to make a statement on the situation. Anything I
say further, I'll say in private, since this really has nothing to do with
the net.
-- 
Chuq Von Rospach nsc!chuqui@decwrl.ARPA {decwrl,hplabs,ihnp4}!nsc!chuqui

An uninformed opinion is no opinion at all. If you dont know what you're
talking about, please try to do it quietly.

tombre@crin.UUCP (Karl Tombre) (09/14/85)

In article <3658@amdcad.UUCP> phil@amdcad.UUCP (Phil Ngai) writes:

>Chuqui, I wrote to you and complained that I didn't appreciate such comments.
>Your response was that it was "a harmless remark" and you would say that
>to anyone. You also said some other nasty things about me which I won't
>repeat here. You never said you were sorry you said it. Fine, I don't need
>to be on a network with an insensitive fool like you anyway. Henceforth, 
>AMD does not talk to NSC. Farewell.

I begin to wonder if you americans are adult people! How can you say
things like "I don't talk to you anymore." and meaning this? Children under
10 use to say such things... I cannot understand that it can be so difficult
to bear remarks like those of "Chuqui". I often hear such remarks but never
have I felt offensed in such a way by them.

-- 
--- Karl Tombre @ CRIN (Centre de Recherche en Informatique de Nancy)
UUCP:    ...!vmucnam!crin!tombre  or    ...!inria!crin!tombre
COSAC:   crin/tombre
POST:    Karl Tombre, CRIN, B.P. 239, 54506 VANDOEUVRE CEDEX, France

"Car le plus lourd fardeau, c'est d'exister sans vivre."
                                  (Victor Hugo)