henry@utzoo.UUCP (Henry Spencer) (11/15/87)
[You may have noticed that my promised recommendations of space books have not yet materialized. Please be patient.] Some interesting bits of new from other sources... Science (2 Oct) reports that the chairman of GM (which owns big satellite- builder Hughes) has written to George Schultz asking that US export policy forbidding use of Soviet launchers be revised. The State Department is still saying (unofficially) that the answer is "when Hell freezes over". A prominent reason for GM's interest is that the RFP for Aussat's next generation of satellites explicitly asks that bidders include an option to launch on Proton, something that bidders subject to US export rules can't do at present. The latest issue of Planetary Encounter (which I recommended a month or so back) reprints the entire Ride Report. And I think the latest issue of World Spaceflight News, which I haven't looked at properly yet, reprints the entire NRC report on the space station. Jupiter is just past an unusually close approach to Earth, and is worth taking a look at. You can see the Galilean satellites clearly with a cruddy set of binoculars, even from the middle of a big light-polluted city. [I know because I've looked at them several times from my apartment window.] Something I didn't mention much in my previous commentary on the NRC space station report was that NRC was most emphatic about one issue: space science will continue to require both expendable launches and shuttle flights independent of the space station, and should not be forced to funnel everything through the station, which is ill-suited for some types of work. Back to AW&ST.... French technicians run successful tethered test of the balloon system they propose for a Soviet Mars mission in the 90s. Congress limits NASA FY88 spending on expendables to two Deltas, but would have supplied more if only the Administration would set clear priorities. Space supporters hoped for a Titan 3 for Mars Observer and a Titan 4 as a backup for one TDRS. Spectacular photo, lit by the engine flame, of the V19 Ariane launch. Italy has indeed joined France's Helios spysat project, taking a 14% share that will be mostly ground systems due to the late decision. Spain is also interested. Helios will be a Spot derivative. [France is pushing Helios hard because it will fix a major weakness in Europe's bargaining position in intelligence matters: the US monopoly on spysat images.] ESA approves building a third Ariane pad at Kourou, specifically for use by Ariane 5. Work will start next year. Also, a site has been picked for the Hermes spaceplane's runway at Kourou. ESA is finishing plans for its next decade or so, for approval in November. The three major items are: Ariane 5, to fly in 1995 and start paying its way in 1996, with nine launches per year by 1999; the Hermes spaceplane, to fly unmanned in 1998 and manned in 1999; and Columbus, comprising a free-flyer in 1994, a module for the US space station in 1996, a polar platform in 1997, and a man-tended free-flyer in 1998. Also on the November agenda will be the possibility of a European data-relay satellite system, extension of Hermes's mission duration to 28 days, the continuing problems with NASA over the space station negotiations, and the impact of Britain's recent space-funding restrictions. ESA begins early planning for two station-preparation Spacelab flights in 1994-5. Picture of a model of a Boeing ALS concept, including a flyback booster. Boeing says that rocket engines are crucial to this, specifically an efficient high-pressure hydrocarbon-fuel engine that can be removed and replaced routinely (to permit engine maintenance independent of the vehicle). Eutelsat picks Atlas-Centaur to launch Eutelsat 2 in 1990, first firm commercial A-C contract. Deal includes options for two more. Scout launches two Navy navsats into polar orbit from Vandenberg Sept. 16. Progress 31 freighter undocks from Mir Sept 23, as Progress 32 is launched. Starfind [the latest innovative-navsat company] has asked the FCC to stop processing applications for innovative navsat systems, on the grounds that the current spectrum space cannot be shared by multiple systems without unacceptable interference. Starfind is particularly critical of Geostar. Soviet Union will offer launch insurance for satellites launched on Proton. This will include third-party liability, although they say that launches within the Soviet Union do not need a lot of coverage for this. The Soviets are now offering commercial terms for: launch into any orbit; man-tended or untended payloads aboard Mir, including return to Earth; launch and recovery of unmanned payloads; purchase of Soviet space hardware. The Soviets continue to claim that the two Proton failures early this year were due to an experimental fourth stage that is not part of the commercial Proton offer. US launch companies tell Congress that they are increasingly worried about the effect of US policies on international competition. A particular issue is that foreign launch companies usually have government backing in liability insurance, while the USAF demands that the company cover it all to use US facilities. Martin Marietta suggests US government coverage above an upper limit, to be set within the means of US companies. McDonnell-Douglas warns that a few firm contracts don't make a viable industry and the US industry is not necessarily competitive in the long run. General Dynamics shows its model launch-services contract, 27 pages versus thousands for a government contract. George Koopman, president of Amroc, is particularly critical of the government (AmRoc wants to use Vandenberg). Amroc has been trying to start negotiations with the USAF for nine months... unsuccessfully! USAF HQ says talk to Space Division, Space Division says it has no authority to negotiate. "This sort of bureaucratic nonsense results in real damage to our company and this industry." He says the USAF facilities-use agreement is disastrous: "AmRoc cannot sign this agreement and survive". USAF demands for "aggregate maximum casualty and liability insurance available on the world market" are "patently ridiculous... and a demand without reason, sense, or precedent", involving premiums that could ruin AmRoc. The draft agreement is "unworkable, bureaucratic, and anti- commercial". He says that the working-level USAF people are okay but that the upper management is a disaster. "Perhaps the most unbelievable of all is the Air Force's demand that we supply them with liability insurance against `judicial actions for violation of federal, state, or local laws'. There is not now, nor has there ever been, any insurance available against breaking the law." AmRoc has already lost two financial partners because of the USAF agreement, which is "scaring the living daylights out of the investment community". The latest changes in the Landsat commercialization plan could terminate the government's agreement with Eosat. The government says Eosat is acting like a government contractor rather than a commercial business. Eosat says that the government's treatment of Eosat sends "a strong message to people interested in the commercialization of space, `Don't get involved with us because we're kind of flaky. We stall, we use delaying tactics, and we don't bother to fund our commitments.' Knowing what we do today, if we could do it over again, we wouldn't have bid on this contract... there were six winners in the Landsat contract [out of seven competitors]; none of them are Eosat." Landsat customers are increasingly angry that there will obviously be a disruption of data continuity when Landsats 4 and 5 fail. The government, which formerly was going to fund construction of Landsat 7, now says that maybe it would be obsolete before launch, and wants to study it again instead. The government also observes that Eosat is not investing much of its own money in all this, and looks like another bloated government contractor... especially compared to Spot Image, which is aggressive and entrepreneurial despite its government subsidy. US and Canadian space-station negotiators fail to resolve differences, in what was hoped to be the final meeting. This is a bad omen, since Canada is closer to agreement than Europe and Japan, and is also much more important to the station, since its mobile servicing center is needed for station assembly. Canada is dubious about unrestricted US military use of the station, wants international management and regular reviews of the program, objects violently to language that would impose US export and technology- transfer laws on Canadian organizations, and would like binding arbitration rather than ill-defined "negotiation" for settling disputes. Canada is also worried about possible elimination of one or both of the polar platforms, which are important to Canada. It looks like none of the international partners will be officially on board when development starts in November. The partners "continue to ask themselves whether the station program is truly international or whether it is a US program with foreign participation". -- Those who do not understand Unix are | Henry Spencer @ U of Toronto Zoology condemned to reinvent it, poorly. | {allegra,ihnp4,decvax,utai}!utzoo!henry