[comp.sys.amiga] Japan and Semiconductors

haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) (01/02/88)

rhuffman@aa.ecn.purdue.edu (Rodney L Huffman) writes:
>	      1/88  (projected) Reagan lifts all sanctions, chip prices go
>		    back to near-reasonable levels, and we can feed those
>		    hungry 8M boards
>
>We can only hope. ;-)
>
>Happy New Year.


          Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
        our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
        their society allows, we will all be in trouble!   Remember that in
        Japan there are individuals who control much more capital than there
        (oops, their) counterparts here.  They operate on a longer range plan
        than we.

          Surely there are any number of feasable solutions to unfair trade
        practices if one studies the issues and acts upon them as a whole,
        rather than using the symptom-by-symptom approach our government seems
        incapable of surpassing.


                                                                Thanks,

                                                                     Wade.


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rwa@auvax.UUCP (Ross Alexander) (01/03/88)

In article <2244@crash.cts.com>, haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) writes:
>           Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
>         our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
>         their society allows, we will all be in trouble!   Remember that in
>         Japan there are individuals who control much more capital than there
>         (oops, their) counterparts here.  They operate on a longer range plan
>         than we.

Without supporting evidence, the preceeding paragraph must be
considered mere hand-waving.  Last time I looked, most of the
billionaires lived in America or some Arabian state.

Ross Alexander,
Athabasca University.
Alberta

alberta!auvax!rwa

ewhac@well.UUCP (Leo 'Bols Ewhac' Schwab) (01/04/88)

In article <2244@crash.cts.com> haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) writes:
>          Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
>        our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
>        their society allows, we will all be in trouble!   Remember that in
>        Japan there are individuals who control much more capital than there
>        (oops, their) counterparts here.  They operate on a longer range plan
>        than we.
>
	If American business has this much trouble staying competitive, then
American business needs to seriously reexamine itself.

	The reason the Japanese do so well over here is because,
domestically, they have the toughest customers in the world.  The Japanese
are the hardest people to please anywhere, and naturally, Japanese
manufacturers have a lot of experience with them.  So when a Japanese
product is successful at home, the North American market is a walkover.

	The above insight is brought to you courtesy of Paul Hawken, who
also has interesting insights on advertising (hint, hint)....

_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_-_
Leo L. Schwab -- The Guy in The Cape	ihnp4!ptsfa -\
 \_ -_		Recumbent Bikes:	      dual ---> !{well,unicom}!ewhac
O----^o	      The Only Way To Fly.	      hplabs / (pronounced "AE-wack")
"Work FOR?  I don't work FOR anybody!  I'm just having fun."  -- The Doctor

jojo@astroatc.UUCP (Jon Wesener) (01/05/88)

>In article <2244@crash.cts.com> haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) writes:
>>          Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
>>        our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
>>        their society allows, we will all be in trouble!

Don't forget that Japan also doesn't have to spend a lot of money on their
military.  We pump billions into SDI R&D and the military which will have
little to no results usable by the private sector.  An issue of PC-World
around October has an excellent editorial on why the US is losing ground
in semi-conductor technology to the Japanese for these very reasons...

--j 
-- 
jon wesener
... {seismo | harvard | ihnp4} ! {uwvax | cs.wisc.edu} ! astroatc!jojo

	hating tomorrow's advertising, today.

sdl@linus (01/05/88)

In article <2244@crash.cts.com> haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) writes:

> rhuffman@aa.ecn.purdue.edu (Rodney L Huffman) writes:
> >	      1/88  (projected) Reagan lifts all sanctions, chip prices go
> >		    back to near-reasonable levels, and we can feed those
> >		    hungry 8M boards
> >
> 	  Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
> 	our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
> 	their society allows, we will all be in trouble!   Remember that in
> 	Japan there are individuals who control much more capital than there
> 	(oops, their) counterparts here.  They operate on a longer range plan
> 	than we.

Please, let's not start a whole discussion in comp.sys.amiga about
world trade and economics.  That's liable to prove even more
irrelevant than the discussion about the worth of multitasking we've
been suffering thru lately.  I subscribe to comp.sys.amiga to learn
about & discuss the capabilities and functions of the *amiga*, not to
read endless discussions about these side issues.


Steven Litvintchouk
MITRE Corporation
Burlington Road
Bedford, MA  01730

Fone:  (617)271-7753
ARPA:  sdl@mitre-bedford.arpa
UUCP:  ...{cbosgd,decvax,genrad,ll-xn,mit-eddie,philabs,utzoo}!linus!sdl

	"Those who will be able to conquer software will be able to
	 conquer the world."  -- Tadahiro Sekimoto, president, NEC Corp.

sdl@linus.UUCP (Steven D. Litvintchouk) (01/05/88)

Posting-Front-End: GNU Emacs 18.47.1 of Sun Aug  2 1987 on linus (berkeley-unix)



In article <2244@crash.cts.com> haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) writes:

> rhuffman@aa.ecn.purdue.edu (Rodney L Huffman) writes:
> >	      1/88  (projected) Reagan lifts all sanctions, chip prices go
> >		    back to near-reasonable levels, and we can feed those
> >		    hungry 8M boards
> >
> 	  Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
> 	our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
> 	their society allows, we will all be in trouble!   Remember that in
> 	Japan there are individuals who control much more capital than there
> 	(oops, their) counterparts here.  They operate on a longer range plan
> 	than we.

Please, let's not start a whole discussion in comp.sys.amiga about
world trade and economics.  That's liable to prove even more
irrelevant than the discussion about the worth of multitasking we've
been suffering thru lately.  I subscribe to comp.sys.amiga to learn
about & discuss the capabilities and functions of the *amiga*, not to
read endless discussions about these side issues.


Steven Litvintchouk
MITRE Corporation
Burlington Road
Bedford, MA  01730

Fone:  (617)271-7753
ARPA:  sdl@mitre-bedford.arpa
UUCP:  ...{cbosgd,decvax,genrad,ll-xn,mit-eddie,philabs,utzoo}!linus!sdl

	"Those who will be able to conquer software will be able to
	 conquer the world."  -- Tadahiro Sekimoto, president, NEC Corp.

haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) (01/05/88)

ewhac@well.UUCP (Leo 'Bols Ewhac' Schwab) writes:
>	If American business has this much trouble staying competitive, then
>American business needs to seriously reexamine itself.
>
>	The reason the Japanese do so well over here is because,
>domestically, they have the toughest customers in the world.  The Japanese
>are the hardest people to please anywhere, and naturally, Japanese
>manufacturers have a lot of experience with them.  So when a Japanese
>product is successful at home, the North American market is a walkover.
>
>	The above insight is brought to you courtesy of Paul Hawken, who
>also has interesting insights on advertising (hint, hint)....

          I've studied Japanese Econonics and Politics in detail while in
        College.   I had a profesor, Dr. Rosen, for Japanese Politics who
        had spent a few years in Japan studying Japan, and 7 years in Japan
        studying China.  He spoke Japanese fluently.

          I refer you to a book called "Political Change in Japan" by 
        Taketsugu Tsurutani, and another called "British Factory, Japanese
        Factory" (can't remember the author's name).  If you'd like I can
        list perhaps a dozen more reference with specific relevent chapters
        noted (just e-mail me).  From reading these some of the Japanese 
        outlook become more apparent.


          In America buisnesses are useually run much more independently of
        government direction than their Japanese counterparts.  Study of the
        "Income Doubling Plans" incorporated several times since WWII may
        change your mind a bit, as you will see the J. Gov. orchestrated
        a focused industrial effort in order to gain a competative position.
        The 60's are the most interesting period from an Economics point of
        view.  Japanese industrial efforts are still directed by the gov.,
        but of course this has become less focused as their market share
        has grown.

          I am not trying to disparage the Japanese, they are just playing
        the capitalist game.  Good for them!  However we must realize that
        it is game, in some ways much like chess.  As we all know the person
        who plays the most turns ahead in chess usually wins.  We must be
        very careful.

          
          So what is my point?  Simply that the Japanese would not engage in
        chip dumping if it were not in their own intrest to do so.  Clearly
        they wish to capture larger shares of the chip market over time.  And
        this is clearly NOT in our best interest.

          "Adam Smith" capitalism did not account for technological innovation
        or knowedge gaps.  If we are not carefull, we'll still be making
        chips measured in megabites when the Japanese are making gigabyte 
        chips!

           (I'm leaving out "why the Japanese would want to dump chips" 
            because I figure the readers of this board already know them.)


                                                Thanks,


                                                        Wade.


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cmcmanis%pepper@Sun.COM (Chuck McManis) (01/06/88)

Quoting someone else :
>>         Is this a good thing?   If the Japanese are successful in driving
>>      our chip industry under because of the concentration of capital that
>>      their society allows, we will all be in trouble!

Then in article <683@astroatc.UUCP> (Jon Wesener) writes:
|>Don't forget that Japan also doesn't have to spend a lot of money on their
|>military.  We pump billions into SDI R&D and the military which will have
|>little to no results usable by the private sector.  An issue of PC-World
|>around October has an excellent editorial on why the US is losing ground
|>in semi-conductor technology to the Japanese for these very reasons...

Well, my feeling is that if you haven't worked for a semiconductor 
manufacturer you can't really understand the issues that led up to the 
sanctions or the benefits/costs that they incurred. I worked for Intel
at the time most of this stuff was going down, and the big problem was
EPROMs not DRAMs, but that's a different story. I do know that Intel had
a working CMOS 1 Mbit DRAM before most, if not all, of the Japanese did, and 
didn't market it simply because they knew the japanese would underprice
them before they had make back their investment. They solved their problem
fairly ingeniously but that is probably still covered under something I 
signed when I left. Anyway...

The Jan 29th Wall Street Journal shows Japan has increased it's support of
our military to 30 billion a year, and is considering upping the ante 
further. Which is good and bad, because when you pay for something you 
start thinking you own it, and that is something we definitely don't 
want. Japan could *easily* be a superpower in the world today and if
they decided they no longer wanted to support the American consumer
an embargo from them would hit a whole hell of a lot harder than one
from the arabs did. Anyway, we are off the subject. That's why this and
it's follow ups are being sent to ca.politics.


--Chuck McManis
uucp: {anywhere}!sun!cmcmanis   BIX: cmcmanis  ARPAnet: cmcmanis@sun.com
These opinions are my own and no one elses, but you knew that didn't you.

haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) (01/06/88)

        Today I was to by our hardware engineer that 4 megabit chips
      have been released in Japan (Mitsubushi, Hitachi, etc...).

                                                        Wade.


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haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) (01/06/88)

jojo@astroatc.UUCP (Jon Wesener) writes:
>Don't forget that Japan also doesn't have to spend a lot of money on their
>military.  We pump billions into SDI R&D and the military which will have
>little to no results usable by the private sector.  An issue of PC-World
>around October has an excellent editorial on why the US is losing ground

     For a while I subscribed to this philosophy.  However, on careful analysis
of the U.S. Consumer Savings ratios, Corporatate investment, and Government
non-military investment and spending, etc., and how each of these fuels the 
economic cycle, I have come to the conclusion that without this spending
our economy would be in trouble.

     Sure, the Japanese are able to funtion without a large military.  They
utilize ours'!  When our gov. pays people to do research or be a Marine, or
whatever, that money is then spent in the civilian enconomy.  Part of this is
spent to buy Japanese goods.

     It comes down to this, we in the U.S. percieve National Defence as a
need.  Therefore we are willing to make sacrifices (ie: taxes) to satisfy
this need.  If you took away government spending on the military, investment
in technology would drop severly.  And unemployment would increase because
not only would the "Marines" be out of work but also many people who depend
on spending by "Marines" (used a generic military employee in this case).
Sure, the Government could try to substitute other endevours for mililtary
spending, such as Fusion Research or Space Exploration, but these are wants
rather than needs, so the populous in general probably would not support these
to the degree they respond to a perceived threat.

     Look at Macro-Economic models of the U.S. economy and the World economy,
and the "multiplier" effect that occures for dollars infused into the economy.
I think you will see that the only real problem is that the military is 
very inefficeint in yeilding anything (excluding "defence", ie: technology).
Even if this money were invested in a way that produced something it
is not clear that there would be enough buying power available to utilize the
product.

     Directly or indirectly, U.S. Military spending sustains perhaps 40%
of the U.S. economy (an educated guess).  Reducing demand by this amount
would be a disaster.

	My point is simply that before you can take the "super dove" point
of view on world/national economics the total picture must be considered.
"Star Wars" has nothing to do with protecting us.  Morton Thiacol (sp??)
can't even build a solid rocket booster, and were supposed to believe they
(the same industry) are going to build a "Star Wars" that works?  If you think
about it, it is obvious that the Soviets will always have enough weapons
which can get through "Star-Wars" that we will be vulnerable.  The point
behind Star Wars is to fuel and focus a weakening economy.  And to make
a certain segment of the population wealthy.

----------

	My original point was simply this; We as a nation cannot afford
to allow the Japanese or any body else to gain a significant lead in 
digital technology.  One possible way that a country, in this case Japan,
can seek to gain a lead is to dominate the market by selling at a loss.
In this way their internal chip industry is producing as if it faced a much
bigger demand than really exists.  We cannot allow Japanese companies, and
especially the Japanese Government, to take unfair advantage of the U.S.
simply because our buisnesses can only look a few years ahead (I'd say
one year).  This is what chip dumping is all about.  And if we allow it,
we will not be able to afford the state-of-the-art.

	I find myself in an interesting position with regaurd to all this,
as I'm sure do many of you, in that it is in MY interest to see chip prices
fall as low as possible.  Basically chip dumping translates into two immeadiate 
benefits to the U.S.; lower consumer prices, and higher buisness margins.
It also translates into a long range liability; UNEMPLOYMENT!  This has already
happened to the U.S. in a number of industries.

	So I offer the following proposed solution.  Why not estimate the
degree of dumping and tax the relevent imports 1/2 the estimate?  Then use
the tax money to strengthen our leading-edge chip research.  This is all
I am concerned with.  That we not fall behind in the ability to make state-
of-the-art components.

						Thanks, 


							Wade.

        [PS: Our hardware engineer (a native Japanese) told me that 
              4 megabit DRAMs were released to Japanese developers
              yesterday.]

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farren@gethen.UUCP (Michael J. Farren) (01/07/88)

In article <2291@crash.cts.com> haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) writes:
>
>	My original point was simply this; We as a nation cannot afford
>to allow the Japanese or any body else to gain a significant lead in 
>digital technology.

Disregarding any arguments about the truth of this assumption (I don't
think it's true, by the way), what damn difference does it make?  If
we assume that each nation is an independent entity, which has to 
defend itself against any and all other states because its life depends
on it, then your viewpoint makes sense.  In the world as it really
exists today, though, that viewpoint is dangerously limited.  We live
in an environment where every nation's economic health is dependent,
to some extent, on every other nation's economic health.  Europe has
long realized this (thus the EEC), while we in the U.S. are still
clinging to the idea that our own interests are the only ones which
are important, and this is hurting us more than it is helping.

Frankly, if the Japanese can make microelectronics more efficiently,
more power to them.  Not only does this mean that we all can benefit
from their expertise, but it also means that we won't be stuck in
the situation that we have found ourselves in more and more lately -
where we insist on protecting a domestic industry that isn't willing
to take the measures necessary to compete in the real world.  We've
seen this happen with the steel and textile industries already; the
only way we'll be able to avoid the same sort of fate for the micro-
electronics industry is to face the fact that we're being beaten,
and take appropriate measures, either to regain the lead we've lost
or to simply accept the situation as it stands.  Hiding our heads,
and saying that it isn't necessary to acknowledge other's efforts,
gains us nothing except a false sense of superiority.  When we can
demonstrate a real superiority, the problem won't be a problem any
more.

This has gotten quite far from Amiga issues - I'm directing followups
to talk.politics, where it probably belongs.  Unfortunately, I don't
get talk.politics, but that's life.  If I believed in the sorts of
things that the trade protectionists believe in, I'd FORCE everyone
to cross-post to comp.sys.amiga, and damn the consequences :-)

-- 
Michael J. Farren             | "INVESTIGATE your point of view, don't just 
{ucbvax, uunet, hoptoad}!     | dogmatize it!  Reflect on it and re-evaluate
        unisoft!gethen!farren | it.  You may want to change your mind someday."
gethen!farren@lll-winken.llnl.gov ----- Tom Reingold, from alt.flame 

haitex@pnet01.cts.com (Wade Bickel) (01/10/88)

farren@gethen.UUCP (Michael J. Farren) writes:
>Disregarding any arguments about the truth of this assumption (I don't
>think it's true, by the way), what damn difference does it make?  If
>we assume that each nation is an independent entity, which has to 
>defend itself against any and all other states because its life depends
>on it, then your viewpoint makes sense.  In the world as it really
>exists today, though, that viewpoint is dangerously limited.  We live
>in an environment where every nation's economic health is dependent,
>to some extent, on every other nation's economic health.  Europe has
>long realized this (thus the EEC), while we in the U.S. are still
>clinging to the idea that our own interests are the only ones which
>are important, and this is hurting us more than it is helping.

	Actually, I basically agree with you.  The problem is that
while the world economy functions most efficeintly when run as you
describe, this assumes that none of the participating nations will
cheat.  However the benfits to a nation for cheating are real.  If
a nation is able to gain dominance by undercutting other nations,
even taking a short term loss, there are real internal gains to be
made.  Monopolies and Oligarchies are bad for economic growth.  In
the past this was not a big problem because foriegn economies were
so much weaker than that of the U.S., which cannot really be said
any more.  We break up or regulate internal monoplies.  Shouldn't
we be concerned about the formation of external monopolies?  After
all, it may take more than litigation to protect ourselves from
these!

	As far as recognizing the inter-dependance of world markets,
the lack of U.S. understanding of the importance of such, and the
more enlightened European approach, I suggest you read about the
"Marshall Plan".  The U.S. is the standard bearer of this line of
thought.  It is always in the interest of the dominant econmic power
to ecourage free and un-restricted trade.  

>Frankly, if the Japanese can make microelectronics more efficiently,
>more power to them.  Not only does this mean that we all can benefit
>from their expertise, but it also means that we won't be stuck in
>the situation that we have found ourselves in more and more lately -
>where we insist on protecting a domestic industry that isn't willing
>to take the measures necessary to compete in the real world.  We've
>seen this happen with the steel and textile industries already; the
>only way we'll be able to avoid the same sort of fate for the micro-
>electronics industry is to face the fact that we're being beaten,
>and take appropriate measures, either to regain the lead we've lost
>or to simply accept the situation as it stands.  Hiding our heads,
>and saying that it isn't necessary to acknowledge other's efforts,
>gains us nothing except a false sense of superiority.  When we can
>demonstrate a real superiority, the problem won't be a problem any
>more.

	If they can do it more efficeintly, so be it.  But to sit back
and watch them drive us out of the industry because our internal
policy denies U.S. companies the right to excercise the same long-run
strategies would be foolish.


						Thanks,


							Wade.


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news@udenva.cair.du.edu (netnews) (01/11/88)

Pardon me for interjecting this with regards to the Japan vs. U.S.
semiconductor/competitiveness/greatness discussion (which is in the
wrong section anyway)

The UNITED STATES is the GREATEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD

Do you dare to argue with me ?


semiconductors: OK, we may have lost the 1 meg market, but IBM has had
		4 meg DRAMS for some time now. The Europeans are also 
		working on  4 meg DRAMS (mid 88, early 89). Japan may have
		enjoyed a small market share advantage, but America,
		particularly TI is fighting back. Additionally, Japan is
		way behind us on processors (no 80386s or 68030s or 78000s)
		and companies liek Motorola and Intel are keeping the U.S.
		competitive.

competitiveness:The United States is increasingly competitive in the world
		market for industrial goods. Our service industries are
		are unmatched world wide (do you see any competition for
		McDonalds ?) American financial institutions are among
		the largest in the world. Also, the much admired and booming
		Japanese stock market is NOT a reflection of their great
		power in the world is nothing more than a FRAUD. Japanese
		law virtually price fixes stock shares. (Would buy NTT
		stock with a 1:200 p:e ratio ? Do you have THAT much
		confidence ? )

greatness:	It is domestically and internationally UNTENABLE, UNTHINKABLE
		AND OUTRAGEOUS that Japan or W. Germany could EVER be a 
		superpower. There are only TWO countries in the Western
		world that are acceptable as the protectors or Freedom. They
		are the United States and Great Britain. The U.S. does the
		vast amount of that job, and what could be greater than
		protecting the freedom on the WORLD. (GB does a great job
		considering their relevant size, but nowhere near waht the
		U.S. does)

Well, I apoligise for my outburst in favor of my country. I felt it was
neccesary!
-- 
===============================================================================
||   Paul Brody        //	The above is in no way meant to imply the    ||
||   pbrody@udenva  \\//	opinions of the University of Denver 	     ||
===============================================================================

fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) (01/12/88)

In article <9679@udenva.cair.du.edu>, news@udenva.cair.du.edu (netnews) writes:
> 
> The UNITED STATES is the GREATEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD
> Do you dare to argue with me ?

Is this a trick question?
 
> semiconductors: OK, we may have lost the 1 meg market, but IBM has had
> 		4 meg DRAMS for some time now. 

Notice how much good this has done for anyone other than IBM...

> competitiveness:The United States is increasingly competitive in the world
> 		market for industrial goods. Our service industries are
> 		are unmatched world wide (do you see any competition for
> 		McDonalds ?) 

Is this another trick question?  Well-known dietary preferences of
programmers, etc. notwithstanding, if I couldn't find a better place
to eat, I'd just go home and see what I could do with refrigerator
review...

>               American financial institutions are among
> 		the largest in the world. 

The dinosaurs were pretty big, too.  Some of them...the typical
dinosaur was apparently about the size of a chicken.  Anyway, this
is unfair to dinosaurs: they were pretty well suited for their
neighborhood...until things changed and property values plummeted.

Size of a corporation doesn't always map to efficiency or "goodness".
See At&T...

>               Also, the much admired and booming
> 		Japanese stock market is NOT a reflection of their great
> 		power in the world is nothing more than a FRAUD. Japanese
> 		law virtually price fixes stock shares. (Would buy NTT
> 		stock with a 1:200 p:e ratio ? Do you have THAT much
> 		confidence ? )

Does it work?

> greatness:	It is domestically and internationally UNTENABLE, UNTHINKABLE
> 		AND OUTRAGEOUS that Japan or W. Germany could EVER be a 
> 		superpower. 

Why?  Won't we let them play?  (Better dust off your recent history
books...what?...oh...well, go down to the local public library [unless,
of course, you happen to live in Redding, CA. No :-) ] and read about
the first half of the current century.  Try the kids' section if you
need some practice at first.) My kids would be glad to show you
around.  (Some days I think I should buy stock in the local public
library. Half :-) )

>               There are only TWO countries in the Western
> 		world that are acceptable as the protectors or Freedom. 
>               They are the United States and Great Britain. 

I hope that view isn't really widespread.  There are lots of good
things about the U.S. and GB...to mention nothing of Canada, Australia,
NZ, Brazil, Holland, Ireland, France, ...  And more than enough negatives
for any and all of the above.

> Well, I apoligise for my outburst in favor of my country. I felt it was
> neccesary!

(That's apologise...)  An attitude like this, taken to extremes, could
mean things like no sushi or curry available on the open market.  To
say nothing about disappointment when your favorite nation gets blind-
sided by a foreign competitor. It would be a lot better to see what
Japan or Germany or Mauritania are doing *right*, and IMPROVE ON THAT,
rather than cry that they aren't playing fair as they pull away in
the distance. 

Find a biographical sketch of a Frenchman named Chauvin and see if
it ever did him any good.

mumble...sorry about this.  Back to computers...

	seh

 

NETOPRHM@NCSUVM.BITNET (Hal Meeks) (01/12/88)

I agree with your statement early in this: This _is_ the wrong place
to discuss this. I could argue on a few of your assertions; but so can
many, many others.  No more, please.
--hal
     

farren@gethen.UUCP (Michael J. Farren) (01/12/88)

First off, I've redirected followups to talk.politics.  Please don't
post your replies to comp.sys.amiga, this doesn't belong here any more!

In article <9679@udenva.cair.du.edu> news@udenva.cair.du.edu (netnews) writes:
>The UNITED STATES is the GREATEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD
>
>Do you dare to argue with me ?

Sure do.  We haven't been THE greatest country in any area that I can
think of for years.  We share the honor in some areas, but in others
are far, far behind.

>semiconductors: OK, we may have lost the 1 meg market, but IBM has had
>		4 meg DRAMS for some time now.

Go out and buy an IBM memory part.  Go ahead, I'll wait.

>Japan may have enjoyed a small market share advantage,

Huh?  I may be misremembering, but I thought the Japanese share of the
256K RAM market was more like 75%.  This is NOT a "small market share
advantage", it's an overwhelming one.

>but America, particularly TI is fighting back. Additionally, Japan is
>way behind us on processors (no 80386s or 68030s or 78000s)
>and companies liek Motorola and Intel are keeping the U.S.competitive.

How about the V70, which by all accounts is a pretty nice chip?  
I agree on one point - right now the U.S. enjoys a bit of an advantage
in the area of innovation.  I see little reason to think that this
will necessarily continue, and, in fact, unless we start to move quickly,
we may well find our lead gone in the next 10 years.  Government
support of innovative projects in Japan will have results, and if we
haven't made some concerted efforts ourselves, there's a good chance
we'll be left behind.

>competitiveness:The United States is increasingly competitive in the world
>		market for industrial goods.

Hardly.  We enjoy a priveleged position, in that American industrial goods
have long been the standard for the world.  This is changing, rapidly.
In almost every major market area, America's supremacy is being challenged.
We may not yet have lost the race, but they're catching up fast, and in
some areas, like automobiles and consumer electronics, have left us in
the dust.

>(do you see any competition for McDonalds ?)

No, I must admit that there is no competition in the area of mass-produced
second-rate food.

>American financial institutions are among the largest in the world.

As I would expect in a society where money is the only metric of
success.   This is also not something which is immune to change,
and if the third world starts to default on loans en masse, U.S.
financial institutions might not be quite as superior in the future
(a scenario which is, unfortunately, not a fantasy).  At least, those
that survive won't be.

>greatness:	It is domestically and internationally UNTENABLE, UNTHINKABLE
>		AND OUTRAGEOUS that Japan or W. Germany could EVER be a 
>		superpower.

You had better start thinking, rather than emoting.  Japan, if not already
superior to the U.S. in world economic power, is not at all far behind,
and is certainly more of a superpower than Britain is.  In fact, many
could make a good argument showing Japan as the pre-eminent factor in
the world economy, supplanting the U.S.  In any event, we are rapidly
entering a world in which the concept 'superpower', with its implied
assumption of a sole reservoir of economic and political power residing
in one nation, is meaningless.

The longer it takes for this country to realize that we can no longer
consider ourselves as the reigning power in the world, in any sense
save (perhaps) militarily, the longer it will take us to decide to take
those measures which will ensure our ability to compete in a world where
this is true.  Chauvinistic statements like "This country is the
greatest in the world" make no more sense in the real world of today
than do the cries of "We're The Greatest" do from 49er's fans.  Much
as it may be a pain in the pride to admit it, in both cases "We're one
of the greatest" makes a lot more sense today.

>Well, I apoligise for my outburst in favor of my country. I felt it was
>neccesary!

No apologies necessary, really.  I certainly bow to noone in my faith
in this country and its people.  Just because we aren't the greatest
in every area across the board doesn't mean the country doesn't have
every right to be proud of what we have accomplished, are accomplishing
now, and will accomplish in the future.  We've done great things.  We
will, most likely, continue to do great things, and this is something to
be proud of, indeed.  It's important, though, to realize that we aren't
the only place in the world where great things are being done, and that
those accomplishments also deserve recognition and applause.

-- 
Michael J. Farren             | "INVESTIGATE your point of view, don't just 
{ucbvax, uunet, hoptoad}!     | dogmatize it!  Reflect on it and re-evaluate
        unisoft!gethen!farren | it.  You may want to change your mind someday."
gethen!farren@lll-winken.llnl.gov ----- Tom Reingold, from alt.flame