[net.general] employment estimates in high-tech

falcone@erlang.DEC (Joe Falcone, HLO2-3/N03, dtn 225-6059) (09/24/84)

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Lately, there seems to have been a "yahoo backlash" of articles knocking
the computer industry and high-technology industries in general for 
allegedly not delivering on their "promises" of employment.
These articles are pretty ridiculous when you consider that firms such as 
Digital and Hewlett-Packard each employ over 70,000 people in jobs which
largely did not exist before WWII.  Plus if one considers the high-tech
component of the defense-industrial complex, we are talking about an
awful lot of jobs.

For several weeks this summer newspapers and magazines were running tables
from the Labor Dept (or some like agency) predicting the number of new
jobs among the various standard categories (nurse, systems analyst, ...)
for the next few years.  Many of these tables had associated stories
which (once again) criticized the high-tech industries for not placing any
occupations in the top 10.  For some reporters, it was only a short
walk from that point to the old Luddite diatribe about machines only
stealing jobs - one enterprising reporter even described Apple's new
automated Mac factory as an example of people-less high-tech manufacturing!

However, the table itself had problems.  The occupation categories for
computers/electronics were so numerous that no single classification could have
possibly made the top 10 (systems analyst, programmer, computer operator,
computer scientist, electronic technician, electrical engineer, etc...).
Although the same was true for other industries, they tended to have more
focus (health care had Nurse; education had Teacher).

Now if one viewed the sources of new jobs on an industry basis, two of the 
leading sources of new jobs were health care (way ahead of everything) and 
computers/electronics (with incomplete data I couldn't rank it, but the 
numbers would certainly place it in the top 10 as an industry).  If someone
has the full set of numbers, I think we all would appreciate seeing them
on the net (the newspaper and magazine accounts all truncated the table).

Joe Falcone
Eastern Research Laboratory		decwrl!
Digital Equipment Corporation		decvax!deccra!jrf
Hudson, Massachusetts			tardis!