[comp.sys.ibm.pc] Publishing a Lotto "Trend Analyzer"

mark@intek01.UUCP (Mark McWiggins) (04/02/88)

If the lotto game you've been playing is really random like it's
supposed to be, the very concept of "trend analysis" is nonsense.
A random roll of the dice (or pick of the lotto balls or whatever)
is just that, NO MATTER WHAT "TREND" has gone on before.  If heads
shows up 100 times in a row when you're flipping a fair coin, the
odds of it coming up again the 101st time are just the same as for
the first time: 1/2.  The probability for the ENTIRE STRING of heads
is very slim, but you're not BETTING on the entire string, just the
one coming next.

So: nice exercise for your programming skill, but now you know better
than to actually distribute it.  Don't you?

-- 

Mark McWiggins			UUCP:		uunet!intek01!mark
DISCLAIMER: I could be wrong.	INTERNET:	mark@intek01.UUCP
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