[comp.sys.apple] Apple ][ Future/Death: What's all the fuss ?

secrist@msdsws.DEC.COM ("Richard C. Secrist") (02/11/89)

	Flame on.

	What is all this ][-death stuff ?  As long as there is a market
	they will still be alive.  Spilicing hairs on //gs options is
	kind of moot since it's part of a bigger picture.  The question
	is whether or not the //gs is getting market share compared to
	everything else.

	As for lower ][s they appeal to a large installed base and a
	highly elastic market.  These people are looking for the digital
	equivalent of the Ford Escort for their kids or personal use.
	They don't speak bits and bytes and what kind of processor it
	has doesn't mean a flip to them.  The ][+ isn't obsolete if
	it runs what they want (educational software, word processors,
	etc.) and gives them what they want.  No computer is obsolete
	until it just costs too much to fix or your requirements change.
	This country's national defense rested in part with the SAGE air
	defense system, a ~30 year old IBM custom system, until I guess
	the early 80s.  Technologically it may have looked archaic with
	all it's tubes, but it performed it's functions well, and wasn't
	going to be replaced by networked 386-based PCs running dBase IV.
	Function fits form, and price/performance.  This is why the
	Commodore-64Cs, //e's, and //c's are still in production.
	Most importantly in the consumer electronics field though is
	marketing.  The TI-99-4/A was a true 16-bit, powerful box, but
	it was a marketing disaster.  The IBM-PC Jr. is another story.

	Whether Apple succeeds of changes anything is based on the
	market demand, and whoever is big enough to give the naive
	John Q. Public a warm, fuzzy feeling, and who sells the
	Ford Escort class computer is going to win.

	Flame off.

	rcs