[sci.space] Morton Thiokol

henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer) (11/19/88)

In article <7734@dasys1.UUCP> tneff@dasys1.UUCP (Tom Neff) writes:
>-...NASA is
>-hardly blameless for the pressure it applied, but it was Thiokol, not
>-NASA, that ultimately decided to ignore the problem...
>-Being honorable under pressure is difficult, yes.  It's ever so much
>-simpler to take the easy way out and say "I vas chust following orders".
>
>Thiokol was concurrently negotiating a contract renewal.  The pressure
>to "go along" under those circumstances is unbearable...

Et tu, Tom?  I really fear for mankind's future when damn near everybody
who discusses this issue seems to feel that Thiokol was right to go along
just because it would have been difficult and painful not to.

The trouble with having an unpopular opinion is that everybody claims you
don't understand the problem.  I understand, fully and completely, that
Thiokol was in a very awkward spot where there was great incentive to
cave in to NASA's pressure.  THAT DID NOT MAKE IT RIGHT.  Nor should it
excuse them from taking responsibility for their cowardice, and its
disastrous consequences.

The greatest tragedy of the Challenger disaster is that seven people died,
a near-irreplaceable billion-dollar orbiter was destroyed, the US manned
space program was nearly ruined... and nobody was held responsible for
it in any meaningful way.

>... Until and unless we put every contractor in
>the excruciating position Thiokol was in and compare their performance,
>I consider it unfair to single out Thiokol for not dealing well with
>improper NASA pressure.

Ah, the other Nuremberg defence (in addition to "I vas chust following
orders"):  "if I did not do it, someone else would have".  Are you claiming
that just because most contractors would behave the same way, that somehow
makes it right for Thiokol to do so?  Name one other contractor who has,
in fact as opposed to hypothesis, caused that much damage.

Actually, have no fear -- if the message we send those people is that
screwing up massively results in billions of dollars of new contracts
and no significant penalties, then there *will* be more.
-- 
Sendmail is a bug,             |     Henry Spencer at U of Toronto Zoology
not a feature.                 | uunet!attcan!utzoo!henry henry@zoo.toronto.edu

tneff@dasys1.UUCP (Tom Neff) (11/21/88)

In article <1988Nov18.182613.1823@utzoo.uucp> henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer) writes:
-In article <7734@dasys1.UUCP> tneff@dasys1.UUCP (Tom Neff) writes:
->-...NASA is
->-hardly blameless for the pressure it applied, but it was Thiokol, not
->-NASA, that ultimately decided to ignore the problem...
->-Being honorable under pressure is difficult, yes.  It's ever so much
->-simpler to take the easy way out and say "I vas chust following orders".
->
->Thiokol was concurrently negotiating a contract renewal.  The pressure
->to "go along" under those circumstances is unbearable...
-
-Et tu, Tom?  I really fear for mankind's future when damn near everybody
-who discusses this issue seems to feel that Thiokol was right to go along
                                                     ^^^^^^^^^
-just because it would have been difficult and painful not to.

I come to bury Thiokol, not to praise it. <grin - couldn't resist,
Spencerius> The reason we're still disagreeing is that Henry has
shifted ground.  He started by saying that Thiokol should be DUMPED
forever as a shuttle contractor because of their role in the Challenger
disaster.  Now he's just saying they weren't RIGHT to yield to NASA
pressure.  I agree, they weren't.  Going from there to Henry's
suggested remedy is another question altogether.  I claim that any of
the major NASA contractors would have done nearly the same thing under
similar circumstances, especially considering the contract renewal.  If
we want to dump the contractor system as a whole, OK; if not, NASA has
to be held responsible for managing that system effectively.  "My God,
Thiokol, when do you want me to launch, next April?"  The virtuous
answer to Mulloy's question would have been "yes, if necessary." You
would have to be a Keebler Elf to believe that any NASA contractor
could have been expected to give that answer.  The crime is that the
question was even asked.

-The greatest tragedy of the Challenger disaster is that seven people died,
-a near-irreplaceable billion-dollar orbiter was destroyed, the US manned
-space program was nearly ruined... and nobody was held responsible for
-it in any meaningful way.

On the gut level I agree with this, but in a certain sense the outcome
we got may have been better.  By blaming the "system as a whole" for
the tragedy while most of the specific people under fire quit or
were transferred elsewhere, we spread the hurt (I think) where it will
do the most good.  It might have been counterproductive to have had
someone like the doped-up Amtrak switcher to pillory publicly.  The
flawed system itself might have been permitted to plow on unaffected in
the aftermath.
-- 
Tom Neff			UUCP: ...!cmcl2!phri!dasys1!tneff
	"None of your toys	CIS: 76556,2536	       MCI: TNEFF
	 will function..."	GEnie: TOMNEFF	       BIX: t.neff (no kidding)

bpendlet@esunix.UUCP (Bob Pendleton) (11/22/88)

From article <1988Nov18.182613.1823@utzoo.uucp>, by henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer):

[Discussion of the lack of punishment for Morton Thiokol]

> Actually, have no fear -- if the message we send those people is that
> screwing up massively results in billions of dollars of new contracts
> and no significant penalties, then there *will* be more.

I wish I didn't have to agree with Henry on this, but I do. If you
want to see something that will make you puke, take a real close look
at the politics surrounding the ASRM contract. ASRM is NASAs attempt
at a politically viable way to take the SRM contract away from Morton
Thiokol.

Morton Thiokol could compete for the contract, but has chosen not to.
Best bet is that they will use political pressure to try to kill
funding, delay purchases, ... of ASRM after the contract is awarded.
And if you can't buy ASRM, well, Morton is still willing to sell SRM.

Trouble with ASRM, is that it isn't Advanced enough to really justify
its cost.

			Bob P.

-- 
              Bob Pendleton, speaking only for myself.
UUCP Address:  decwrl!esunix!bpendlet or utah-cs!esunix!bpendlet

		Reality is what you make of it.

henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer) (11/25/88)

In article <7825@dasys1.UUCP> tneff@dasys1.UUCP (Tom Neff) writes:
>... If
>we want to dump the contractor system as a whole, OK; if not, NASA has
>to be held responsible for managing that system effectively...

Right.  And one very important part of managing it effectively is to make
it clear to contractors that appropriate behavior will be rewarded and
inappropriate behavior will be punished.  Do we really want to prevent
a recurrence of Challenger?  If so, the next time a contractor is faced
with the decision of whether to cut corners or not, and the engineers
say it's not safe, and the management is tempted to overrule them, what
can the engineers say?  Remember, management is MBAs and stuffed shirts,
whose notions of honor and professional ethics and duty could be inscribed
on the head of a pin in large type:  what matters to them is money.  Will
the engineers be able to say "but look what it *cost* Thiokol when they
cut corners"?  If they can't say that, then management will overrule them.
And right now, you better believe that they can't say that.  Thiokol made
large profits out of killing seven astronauts, not least the indefinite
postponement of the second-sourcing issue.

The right thing to do would have been to bring other contractors in on
the SRB fixes, since Thiokol had demonstrated that it values money over
safety, and shift production away from Thiokol as quickly as possible.
And lay some criminal charges against those directly responsible (in NASA
as well as Thiokol) too.  That might perhaps send the right message.  What
was actually done sure hasn't.

>Thiokol, when do you want me to launch, next April?"  The virtuous
>answer to Mulloy's question would have been "yes, if necessary." You
>would have to be a Keebler Elf to believe that any NASA contractor
>could have been expected to give that answer.  The crime is that the
>question was even asked.

By the same argument, though, would you really expect that low-level
NASA management, under the pressures they were under, would have asked
the question any differently?  That argument can be applied to almost
any length, leading to the conclusion that nobody is responsible.  Which
is certainly the implicit conclusion that was reached this time, to judge
by the results.  But if nobody was responsible for Challenger, nobody is
really, personally responsible for making sure it doesn't happen again.
What we want is for *everybody* to feel responsible.  That means holding
*all* involved parties responsible when something screws up.  And doing
more to them than just slapping their fingers in public, too.
-- 
Sendmail is a bug,             |     Henry Spencer at U of Toronto Zoology
not a feature.                 | uunet!attcan!utzoo!henry henry@zoo.toronto.edu