[sci.space] USSR and the Moon was "Beyond the Energia crisis"

mike@ames.arc.nasa.gov (Mike Smithwick) (11/20/88)

[ I am cross posting this to Sci.space, so any further discussion oughtta
go there]
In article <18263@ames.arc.nasa.gov> mike@ames.arc.nasa.gov.UUCP (Mike Smithwick) writes:
>In article <880@cernvax.UUCP> jon@cernvax.UUCP (jon) writes:
>
>[quote from The Guardian, a British rag]
>
>>He starts with a brief history of the Soviet space program.  One  thing  I
>>found curious was claim about the demise of the Soviet moon project.
>>
>>  "The superbooster designed to put a Russian on  the  Moon  first  didn't
>>   work.  A  damage-limitation  exercise was started.  They didn't want to
>>   go to the Moon they said.  What they intended to do along was to  build
>>   space stations.  Curiously the West believed them."
>>
>>This is the first time I have heard that  the  Russian  ever  had  serious
>>plans to land a man on the moon.  Is it true?
>>
>
>See if you can pick up a copy of Jim Oberg's book, "Red Star in Orbit". You
>won't be able to put it down. 
>
>Yes, according to him and other Soviet space watchers, the moon race 
>was every bit as real as we thought it was. The problem was that the
>Soviets underestimated our ability to beat them, thinking that they had
>at least until 1972. Apollo 8 changed all of that.
>
>There was an extraordinary article in Astronomy magazine a couple of years
>ago by Peter Pasevento (sp? I'm working from memory, since that issue is 
>packed well away). 
>


For those interested, I found the article. It is in the December 1984
issue of Astronomy, pages 6 to 22. What follows are some excerpts:

	"About December 2, 1968, A Zond spacecraft and Proton booster
	 were erected on a pad at Tyuratam launch site in Soviet 
	 Kazakhstan, in preparation for a launch within a week. A cosmonaut
	 was . . . placed in the Zond on December 9th. The countdown went off 
	 without a hitch, but the launch was cancelled. From information
	 gleaned by Western experts, there seems to have been an electrical
	 problem in the spacecraft".

	"The later space shots in the Luna series - Luna 16, which returned
	3.5 ounces of lunar soil in September 1970, and Luna 17, which soft
	landed the first robot rover in November 1970 - probably used lander
	components for their descent stages. . . . Luna 15 (which crashed
	the day after Neil Armstrong set foot on the Moon) is believed by some
	analysts to be a stripped down version of the actual Soviet
	lunar lander."

	"[CIA Informant Peter N. James] a Sovet Space technology specialist, had
	good friends among the Russian group that was attending the 
	[symposium on space science, Venice, Italy, May 1969]. The group,
	. . . also included a few cosmonauts and KGB agents. At one evening
	reception James recalls a heated debate with KGB Col. Nikolai
	Beloussov:

		I told him 'All things considered, the USA is going to beat
		the USSR to putting men on the moon, and you Soviets can't
		do a thing about it'. Beloussov, who had been looking 
		at the ceiling with a drink in his hand, fired back
		'You may be surprised!' He then paused, considered what he had
		just said, and then walked away.

	"At Tyuratam, the much-rumored G-1 rocket and its smaller Proton
	counterpart were erected at their respective pad sites sometime in
	mid or late June. The payload for the Proton launcher was a manned Zond
	spacecraft; for the giant G-1 booster, it was an operational lander with
	an added fuel stage."

	"As June 1969 waned into July, three men from the cosmonaut corps
	were flown from the Gagarin Training Center. . .On the morning of
	July 4th, the men entered their Zond spacecraft."

	"A planned series of holds delayed the countdown until early 
	afternoon, when the first launch signal was given. The G-1 
	booster roared to life and rose from the pad, but the rocket
	never cleared the launch tower. Some analysts believe that on-board
	sensors detected a fuel-flow problem. . .[while others] think
	that the second stage collapsed. In any case, the rocket fell
	back on the pad and blew up. Everything within a mile was either
	destroyed or heavily damaged in the fiery explosion. THe gantry
	observation towers, support equipment, and pieces of the launch pad 
	itself flew in all directions, while some of the attending 
	Soviet engineers perished."

	"The simultaneous countdown of the Proton booster/Zond spacecraft
	was halted and the cosmonauts left the capsule."



Perhaps the most amazing thing about this story is the fact that the
Soviets were trying to fly such a complex mission, with 2 of it's 3 major
components, completely untested. The G-1 had never flown successfully, 
and the lander had never flown at all. It would have been almost as it
the Apollo 7 mission attempted the landing itself, and tested the
the Saturn 5 while they were at it.

One also wonders what might have happened had the Soviets actually
launched successfully. Would they then cover the misson live, to scoop
the Amerikanskis, while risking public embarassment from a possible
mission failure during the landing or lunar stay? Or would they wait until
the cosmonauts were on their way home to announce their landing.

One never knows, do one. . .



	
		




-- 
			   *** mike (starship janitor) smithwick ***
"Some people say I'm arrogant. But I know better then them" -
	 Mike Dukakis at the Al Smith Banquet
[disclaimer : nope, I don't work for NASA, I take full blame for my ideas]

knudsen@ihlpl.ATT.COM (Knudsen) (11/23/88)

In article <18420@ames.arc.nasa.gov>, mike@ames.arc.nasa.gov (Mike Smithwick) writes:
> 	that the second stage collapsed. In any case, the rocket fell
> 	back on the pad and blew up. Everything within a mile was either
> 	destroyed or heavily damaged in the fiery explosion. THe gantry
> 	observation towers, support equipment, and pieces of the launch pad 
> 	itself flew in all directions, while some of the attending 
> 	Soviet engineers perished."

Well, this jibes perfectly with the rumored story that I alluded
to in last week's respone to the original posting that started
this thread.  Big rocket, blew up, wrecked the launch complex
and even killed some engineers/scientists.

However, in that article I questioned whether you can really get a
big explosion out of a failed rocket.  A big messy fireball, yes,
that would probably melt and destroy the gantry along with the
crew.  But "everything within a mile?"  And the people in the
blockhouse?  Maybe if the two tanks of hypergolic fuels
crunched together you could get a fairly explosive fire?

Anyway, I have to agree with this latest posting, that this was
a real act of desperation on the Soviets' part.  It probably
set their space program back several years -- if so, maybe
Apollo was worth it politically, tho one can argue that Apollo
set *ours* back even more.  Myself, I'm just glad that we walked
on the moon.
-- 
Mike Knudsen  Bell Labs(AT&T)   att!ihlpl!knudsen
"Lawyers are like nuclear bombs and PClones.  Nobody likes them,
but the other guy's got one, so I better get one too."

henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer) (11/24/88)

In article <7827@ihlpl.ATT.COM> knudsen@ihlpl.ATT.COM (Knudsen) writes:
>However, in that article I questioned whether you can really get a
>big explosion out of a failed rocket.  A big messy fireball, yes,
>that would probably melt and destroy the gantry along with the
>crew.  But "everything within a mile?"  And the people in the
>blockhouse?  Maybe if the two tanks of hypergolic fuels
>crunched together you could get a fairly explosive fire?

Hypergolic fuels actually are rather less dangerous, because they ignite
on contact and hence tend to burn rather than explode.  Liquid oxygen
mixed with kerosene, or liquid hydrogen, is an explosive several times
as powerful as TNT.  Ever wonder why the viewing stands at KSC are three
miles from the pads?  It's because an exploding Saturn V could have thrown
debris almost that far -- it would have been the equivalent of a small
nuclear weapon.  A kilogram of TNT is quite an explosion, and we're
talking about *thousands of tons* of more-energetic fuels.
-- 
Sendmail is a bug,             |     Henry Spencer at U of Toronto Zoology
not a feature.                 | uunet!attcan!utzoo!henry henry@zoo.toronto.edu

fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) (11/30/88)

In article <7827@ihlpl.ATT.COM>, knudsen@ihlpl.ATT.COM (Knudsen) writes:
> 
> However, in that article I questioned whether you can really get a
> big explosion out of a failed rocket.  A big messy fireball, yes,
> that would probably melt and destroy the gantry along with the
> crew.  But "everything within a mile?"  And the people in the

Have you ever heard about a fuel/air bomb?  Small charge speads out
an aerosol of some liquid fuel, then an igniter sets off the cloud.
Extremely potent for a given weight of bomb.

If the rocket first suffered a small explosion that ruptured its tanks,
then the resulting fuel/oxidizer cloud gets ignited...it might have
the described effect.

doug@primo.hig.hawaii.edu (Doug Myhre) (12/01/88)

In article <79302@sun.uucp>, fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) writes:
>Have you ever heard about a fuel/air bomb?  Small charge speads out
>an aerosol of some liquid fuel, then an igniter sets off the cloud.
>Extremely potent for a given weight of bomb.
>
>If the rocket first suffered a small explosion that ruptured its tanks,
>then the resulting fuel/oxidizer cloud gets ignited...it might have
>the described effect.

I would think that the initial explosion would ignite the fuel before
it's had a chance to spread out that fine.
It does remind me of the experiment that the Air Force (I think) did
where they deliberately crashed a plane to test a new jet fuel mixture.
The mixture supposable wouldn't ignite as easily when a place crashed and
the fuel was spread out in a fine spray.  From the news footage, it didn't
look as if it worked very well.

doug myhre <doug@loihi.hig.hawaii.edu>
Hawaii Institute of Geophysics
2525 Correa Rd.
Honolulu, HI 96822

fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) (12/06/88)

In article <2735@uhccux.uhcc.hawaii.edu>, doug@primo.hig.hawaii.edu (Doug Myhre) writes:
> In article <79302@sun.uucp>, fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) writes:
> >Have you ever heard about a fuel/air bomb?  Small charge speads out
> >an aerosol of some liquid fuel, then an igniter sets off the cloud.
> >Extremely potent for a given weight of bomb.
> 
> I would think that the initial explosion would ignite the fuel before
> it's had a chance to spread out that fine.

As long as the initiator produces more shock than heat, until enough
air mixes with the fuel, there won't be an explosion.  A lot like
setting up conditions for a grain silo explosion.  (Or disposing of
weevil-infested flour in a burning incinerator.  Don't ask.)

ems@Apple.COM (Mike Smith) (12/06/88)

In article <2735@uhccux.uhcc.hawaii.edu> doug@loihi.hig.hawaii.edu (Doug Myhre) writes:
>In article <79302@sun.uucp>, fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) writes:
>>Have you ever heard about a fuel/air bomb?  Small charge speads out
>>an aerosol of some liquid fuel, then an igniter sets off the cloud.
>>Extremely potent for a given weight of bomb.
>>
>>If the rocket first suffered a small explosion that ruptured its tanks,
>>then the resulting fuel/oxidizer cloud gets ignited...it might have
>>the described effect.
>
>I would think that the initial explosion would ignite the fuel before
>it's had a chance to spread out that fine.

Take a 5 lb bag of flour (Bleached white or Whole Wheat...)  Put it on
top of a tuna fish can full of explosive.  Place on floor of 12ft square
shed.  Light fuse and run away.  The flour is dusbursed into the air,
then the dust/air mix explodes violently.  The fuel doesn't burn well
until it is disbursed into the oxidizer, then it detonates.

boettche@gumby.cs.wisc.edu (Michael Boettcher) (12/06/88)

>In article <2735@uhccux.uhcc.hawaii.edu>, doug@primo.hig.hawaii.edu (Doug Myhre) writes:
>> In article <79302@sun.uucp>, fiddler%concertina@Sun.COM (Steve Hix) writes:
>> >Have you ever heard about a fuel/air bomb?  Small charge speads out
>> >an aerosol of some liquid fuel, then an igniter sets off the cloud.
>> >Extremely potent for a given weight of bomb.
>> 
If I remember my military training correctly, this makes a good bomb
for clearing mine fields as well as building demolision (small
pressure increases add quickly inside an enclosed area)



*******************************************************************************
Michael Boettcher                 boettche@gumby.cs.wisc.edu
Student, Univ. of Wisconsin       107 N. Randall Apt. I
Applied Math, Engr. and Physics   Madison, WI 53715
*******************************************************************************

roberts@csd4.milw.wisc.edu (Timothy Roberts) (12/24/88)

In article <286@internal.Apple.COM> ems@Apple.COM (Mike Smith) writes:
>Take a 5 lb bag of flour (Bleached white or Whole Wheat...)  Put it on
>top of a tuna fish can full of explosive.  Place on floor of 12ft square
>shed.  Light fuse and run away.  The flour is dusbursed into the air,
>then the dust/air mix explodes violently.  The fuel doesn't burn well
>until it is disbursed into the oxidizer, then it detonates.

Try taking an Estes "D12" model rocket engine and four bags of Nifda non-
dairy creamer to a remote site, preferably grass free.  Run the engine/
igniter assembly nozzle first through the bottom of a 13 oz. coffee can. 
Level the can/engine "tube" pointing upward, add creamer, string out a lot
of wire to your launcher switch and fire.  Awe inspiring mushroom cloud
to lighten up any party is produced with lovely caramel odor.  I do not
recomend you try this with strong winds or sane mind.

Tat Tvam Asi (That Thou Art), Svetaketu!      Tim (Rein und Raus) Roberts