[sci.space] the un/manned debate

EHARNDEN@AUVM.BITNET (Eric Harnden) (02/11/89)

     guess it's time to chuck in my two bits. i've been following this
war for a while now, and am astounded at the floods of thinly veiled
invective that have poured across this issue. now i know why they call
it flaming.
     let me start by saying outright that i am an advocate of manned
spaceflight, and for truly bad reasons. i think it's neat. i want to go.
if i can't go, i want my son to.
     the problem is, of course, that the unmanned advocates have every
statistical reality on their side. jfk in fact did us all a great disservice
by making a man on the moon a national agenda without first providing for a
stable infrastructure for research and exploration. we advocates of manned
travel pay for that through our guts now, because there simply is not all
that great a return on the dollar. arguments about technological return are
just hair-splitting, on *both* sides of the fence. the returns are real,
but it as spurious to overestimate their value as to try to post-predict
when they would have occurred had not manned travel been their source.
more important, the manned advocates are in a bizarre soicial bind in which
what to them are the most profound arguments in their favor are not allowed
in serious public debate. because public money is at stake, they cannot simply
say *because it's there* and be heard. simply put, they have no case.
      on the other hand, the umanned folks lean on rationality as their only
argument. they take refuge in the resolute, logical unassailability of their
position. in other words, they commit the fallacy that c.p. snow was warning
us about in The Two Cultures. their contempt for the irrationality of their
opponents' words ignores the fact that the dynamics of our culture are not the
sole property of scientists any more than of artists. few, if any, great acts
are truly rational. fiscal responsibility has little to do with sheer monkey
curiosity.
     not that i disagree, you understand. money's tight, and education and
housing really are more important.
     but i **reeeallly** would like to go.
     oh, and lastly... there will always be type A personalities willing to
take a risk for the sake of that curiosity. don't confuse rhetoric with
insanity. a little enthusiasm is good for anybody, and should not necessarily
equate one with a coke-head.

           Eric Harnden (Ronin)

szabonj@right (Nick Szabo) (02/12/89)

In article <Added.sXwpU3y00Ui3AER09e@andrew.cmu.edu> EHARNDEN@AUVM.BITNET (Eric Harnden) writes:

>i think it's neat. i want to go.

So do I.  But even more, I want humanity in general to go, to stay. 

>if i can't go, i want my son to.

Same here.  And the best way to insure our sons (and daughters!) will go is 
to work on long-term projects, that will produce the discoveries and new
technology we need for economically viable, sustainable space settlement.

>     the problem is, of course, that the unmanned advocates have every
>statistical reality on their side. 

So why support uneconomical, unscientific space activities, which detract 
from progress towards our goal? 

>on the other hand, the umanned folks lean on rationality as their only
>argument. 

We have not ignored the emotional and cultural aspects.  A vigourous 
exploration of all parts of the solar system will be at least
as culturally uplifting and emotionally edifying as manned space shots
to LEO.

>a little enthusiasm is good for anybody, and should not necessarily
>equate one with a coke-head.

I would go farther.  A *lot* of enthusiasm is *essential*.  But it must
be combined with the cold, hard weighing of the facts, or it is useless.

Nick Szabo              szabonj@fred.cs.washington.edu

marsh@linus.UUCP (Ralph Marshall (617 271-7648)) (02/13/89)

	As an advocate of putting people in space, as well as a strong
program of exploration by unmanned probes when that makes more sense, I
thought I'd try to inject some opinions from people who have actually
been there.  I got a GREAT book titled _The Home Planet_, edited by
Kevin Kelley, for Christmas, and it is full of wonderful stuff about
the history of man in space.  Lots of great pictures, and all of the
text is quotes from various people, of several different countries,
who have been in space on one mission or another.  (The original text
is included for non-English speaking astro/cosmonauts, which makes for
a nice visual effect).

	Anyway, somewhere in the middle of the book (they only numbered
the AWESOME pictures, not the pages), we find the following description
by two Soviets:

	"After the third major mission, _Salyut 7_ was mothballed, and
for five months it was maintained by radio control.  Then
communications ceased and _Salyut) went silent.

	Dzhanibekov and I were launched into space to find the _Salyut
7_, which had gonde "on strike."  After changing orbits, we searched
for the station from the spacecraft for two days.  At last, the
man-made star rose above the horizon and flashed in the rays of the sun.

	We floated into the station and turned on the lights, which
did not, of course, light up.  There was complete darkness, deadly
cold, and an ill-boding, oppressive, and truly cosmit silence."

Viktor Savinykh, USSR

	"We left the spacecraft and entered outer space, and hurtling
high above the Earth beside the vast and silent _Salyut 7_, we studiet
it attentively.

	The solar panels were strangely oriented, their photoelectric
cells peeling away in pieces, and looking for all the world like
storm-torn sails,  the once bright green shell had been burned and was
now covered in grayish-rust spots.  The portholes were all closed by
shutters on the inside.  No damage, however, could be seen on the hull
of the craft.  Well, what has happened to you, cosmic wanderer, we
asked, but we got no answer."

Vladimir Dzhanibekov, USSR

	"The station had fallen into trouble without people aboard and
met us now with an icy silence.  In absolute silence Viktor Savinykh
and I inspected the compartments.  The beam of the flashlight picked
out the various items of equipment, all in their correct places along
the sides.  The interior was in ideal condition.  The traditional
Russian welcoming gift of bread and salt had been left on the tiny
table by Leonid Kizim, Volodya Solovyov, and Oleg At'kov, together
with a letter asking those who came after them to look after this
house and wishing them success."

Vladimir Dzhanibekov, USSR

	"For seven long days, working both during the day-side parts
of the orbit and by flashlight, we tried to find out what was causing
the solar panels to fail.  We wanted to get at least one bulb to
light.  Finally, we found the culprits when we checked all the storage
batteries. 

	Two of them had gone out of comission.  We undid the thickly
plaited cabling and connected the solar panels directly so that they
always faced the sun.  The batteries began to recharge and finally
there was light.  

	Automation is indeed a wonderful thing, but in the end
humanity has the last word."

Viktor Savinykh, USSR

	Even if this doesn't convince you of anything, check out this
book!  It has great pictures of Earth from orbit, people on EVA, the
Apollo missions on the Moon, and tons of other great stuff.  The
commentary is also very good.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ralph Marshall (marsh@mitre-bedford.arpa)

Disclaimer:  Often wrong but never in doubt...  All of these opinions
are mine, so don't gripe to my employer if you don't like them.
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robina@tekig5.PEN.TEK.COM (Robin Adams) (03/09/89)

It has just occurred to me, that if life on Earth is not an accident, then we 
are just as likely to find Dinosaurs on another planet as we are intelligent 
life.

...Maybe we 'should' send an unmanned probe.



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