[mod.ai] Seminar - Statistical Theory of Evidence

FIRSCHEIN@SRI-AI.ARPA (02/12/86)

From: FIRSCHEIN@SRI-AI.ARPA


Bob Hummel will be giving a talk on Tuesday, Feb. 18 at 10:30, 
Conf room EK242 (the "old" conf room).  An abstract of his talk follows:


             A Statistical Viewpoint on the Theory of Evidence

                               Robert Hummel
                  Courant Institute, New York University

                                 Abstract

     The Dempster/Shafer "Theory of Evidence" can be regarded as  an  alge-
braic  space  with  a  combination  formula  that  combines the opinions of
"experts".  This viewpoint, which is really the origin of the theory,  will
be  explained  by  introducing spaces with simple binary operations, giving
these spaces intuitive interpretations, relating them to Bayesian updating,
and  showing that the spaces are (in a homomorphic sense) equivalent to the
Dempster/Shafer theory of evidence space.

     The viewpoint allows us to remark on limitations of  the  theory.   By
making compromises in a different manner, an alternative combination method
can be introduced.  This representation of states of belief by  "Parameter-
ized Statistics of Experts" will be described.