SJG@SU-AI.ARPA (Matthew Ginsberg) (02/27/86)
From: Matthew Ginsberg <SJG@SU-AI.ARPA> In light of what I expect will be department-wide interest in the following talk, this week's research meeting/seminar of the KSL will instead be a department-wide event. The talk will run from 12.05 until 1.00 on February 28 and will be held in the Chemistry Gazebo. The room is fairly small, so anyone interested in attending would be well advised to arrive early. Matt Ginsberg FROM SOCRATES TO EXPERT SYSTEMS: THE LIMITS OF CALCULATIVE RATIONALITY BY Hubert L. Dreyfus University of California Berkeley An examination of the general epistemological assumptions behind Artificial Intelligence research with special reference to recent work in the development of expert systems. All AI work assumes that knowledge must be represented in the mind as symbolic descriptions. Expert system builders further assume that expertise consists in problem-solving and that problem-solving consists in analyzing a situation in terms of objective features and then finding a situation- action rule which determines what to do. I will argue that expert system builders fail to recognize the real character of expert intuitive understanding. Expertise is acquired in a five-step process: The BEGINNER does, indeed, pick out objective features and follow strict rules like a computer. The ADVANCED BEGINNER, however, responds to meaningful aspects of the situation which are recognized as similar to prototypical cases, without similarity being analyzed into objective features. At the next stage, the COMPETENT performer learns to figure out a strategy and to pay attention only to features and aspects which are relevant to his plan. The fourth stage, PROFICIENCY, is achieved when the performer no longer has to figure out his strategy but immediately sees the appropriate strategy. Finally, the EXPERT, after many years of experience, is able to do what works without facing a problem and without having to make any logical calculations. Experts presumably do this by storing many whole situations and associated actions in memory and responding to their current situation in terms of its overall similarity to a situation already successfully dealt with. On the basis of this model one can see that expert systems based on rules extracted from experts do not capture the expert's expertise and so cannot be expected to perform at expert level. A review of the successes and failures of various expert systems confirms this analysis.