[mod.ai] Expert system to catch spies

CS.VANSICKLE@R20.UTEXAS.EDU (07/24/86)

Today's (July 23, 1986) Wall Street Journal contains an
editorial by Paul M. Rosa urging the use of expert systems
to identify potential spies (acutally traitors).  Mr. Rosa
is a lawyer and a former intelligence analyst.  Since
virtually all American traitors sell out for money, an
expert system embodying the expertise of trained
investigators could examine credit histories, court files,
registers of titled assets such as real estate and
vehicles, airline reservations, telephone records, income
tax returns, bank transactions, use of passports, and
issuance of visas.  The system would look for suspicious
patterns and alert counter-intelligence officials for
further investigation.

There are some obvious considerations of privacy and
legality, but that is probably best discussed on another
bulletin board.  Mr. Rosa says the system would be used
only on the 4.3 million people who hold security
clearances, who have consented to government scrutiny.  

According to Mr. Rosa, "the obstacles to implementation are
not technological," and "the system could be implemented
quickly and cheaply."  He predicts that the Soviets,
working through their extensive international banking
network, will use the same techniques to identify potential
recruits.  He also says that the FBI has three expert
systems for monitoring labor rackets, narcotics shipments,
and terrorist activities.

Any reactions?  Is this doable?  It strikes me as more of a
data collection problem than an expert system problem.  Is
there anyone who knows more about the FBI expert systems
and can talk about it?

Larry Van Sickle
cs.vansickle@r20.utexas.edu
Computer Sciences Dept. 
U of Texas at Austin 
Austin, TX 78712  
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