[mod.ai] Spang Robinson Summary, August 1986

E1AR0002@SMUVM1.BITNET (09/26/86)

Spang Robinson Report Summary, August 1986, Volume 2 No. 8

23 Artificial Intelligence Application Products are out and are being used by
customers.

Spang Robinson tracked down 92 specific applications in 56 different
companies, agencies or institutions that are being used by someone
other than the developers.  24 of these are in diagnostics, 22 in
manufacturing, 14 in computers, 6 in geology, 6 in chemistry, 5 in
military, 4 in agriculture, 4 in medicine and 7 in "other".

DEC has 20 expert systems in use with 50 under development.  IBM has
six in use and 64 in development.

TSA Associates that there are 1000 applications fielded on microcomuters.

Dataquest claims that revenues from shell products will reach 44
million in 1986, up from 22 million in 1985.  The majority of this is
for product training as opposed to actual price for the product.  They
are estimating expert systems applications to reach ten million.

AIC has sold 500 copies of Intellect, a high-end natural language
package and will receive 6 to 8 million dollars of revenue in 1986.
Symantec's Q&A has sold 17,000 copies of Q&A, a [micro - LEFF] product
with embedded natural language.

There are 24 to 30 companies with viable commercial speech recognition
products with market growth between 20 and 30 percent.  The 1986
market will be 20 million up from 16 million.

There are 100 companies in machine vision.  1985 market is estimated
at 150 million dollars.  General Motors bought 50 million of these
products.

Also, there is a discussion of estimates of how many working expert
systems there are for each expert-shell product.

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Micro Trends

Teknowledge has 2500 run-time systems.  Level 5 has 50 completed applications
with 200 run-time systems sold.  One of these systems has 3000 rules spread
across nine knowledge bases for one system.  Exsys has 200 applications with
2100 run-times.

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List of commercially available expert systems
Bravo: VLSI circuit design and layout (applicon)
Equinox: sheet metal design (applicon)
Mechanical Advantage 1000: MCAE with intelligent sketchpad (cognition)
Manufacturing and Operations Management and Financial Advisor (Palladian)
Expert Manufacturing Planning Systems (Tipnis, Inc.)
PlanPower: financial planning system (Applied Expert System)
Planman and Database; financial planning and report writer (Sterling
    Wentworth Corp.)
Profit Tool: financial services sales aid (Prophecy Development Corp)
Stock Portfolio Analysis and Futures Price Indexing (Athena Group, NY)
Newspaper Layout System (Composition Systems)
CEREBRAL MANAGER: manages document release process (KODAK)
ICAD: production design system (ICAD, Inc.)
MORE: direct marketing advisor and evaluation of mailing lists
ULTRAMAX: a self-learning expert system to optimize operations (Ultramax Corp.)
TRANSFORM/IMS (applications generator in COBOL (Transform Logic, Inc.)
TIMM TUNER: tuning for DEC VAXs (General Research  Corporation)
HYPERCALC: an intelligent spreadsheet for LISP machines (Chaparral Dallas)
REFINE: knowledge based software development environment (Reasoning
    systems, Inc.)
XMP: Expert Project Manager (XSP Corporation)
LEXAN: diagnostics for injection-molded plastic parts (GE)

Internally developed expert systems

Computers and electronics
XCON,XSEL, XSITE, configures VAX orders, checks them for accuracy and plan site
    layout
CALLISTRO: assisting in managing resources for chip designers (DEC)
DAS-LOGIC assists with logic designers
COMPASS analyzes maintenance records for telephone switching system
    and suggests maintenance actions
???? - System for design of digital circuits (Hughes)
CSS: aids in planning relocation, reinstallation and rearrangement of
    IBM mainframes (IBM)
PINE: guides people writing reports on analysis of software problems (IBM)
QMF Advisor: used by customer advisors to help customers access IMS
    databases (IBM)
Capital Assests Movements: help move capital assets quickly
OCEAN: checks orders for computer systems (NCR)

Diagnostic and/or preventive maintenance systems, internal use

AI-Spear: tape drives (DEC)
NTC:  Ethernet and DECNET networks (DEC)
PIES circuit fabrication line  (Fairchild)
Photolithographjy advisor:  photolithography steps (Hewlett-Packard)
DIG Voltage Tester: digital voltage sources in testing lab   (Lockheed)
BDS:  baseband distribution system of commuications hardware (Lockheed)
ACE:  telephone lines (Southwest Bell)
DIAG8100  DP equipment (Travelers Insurance)
????:  soup cookers (Campbell Soups)
Engine Cooling Advisor: engine cooling system (DELCO Products)
???? - peripherals (Hewlett-Packard)
PDS: machine processes (Westinghouse)
DOC: hardware and software bug analysis for Prime 750 (Prime)
???: hardware (NCR)
TITAN: TI 990 Minicomputer (Radian/TI)
Radar Tracking: object tracking software for radar
      (Arthur D. Little/Defense Contractor)
????: circuit board (Hughes)
XMAN: aircraft engines (Systems Control Technology/Air Force Logistics Command)
????: circuit fault (Maritn Marietta)
????: power system diagnosis (NASA)

Manufacturing or design, internal developed

????: brushes and springs for small electric motors (Delco)
ISA: schedules orders for manufacturing and delivery (DEC)
DISPATCHER: schedules dispatching of parts for robots (DEC)
ISI: schedules manufacturing steps in job shop (Westinghouse)
CELL DESIGNERS: reconfigures factories for group technologies (Arthur Anderson)
WELDSELECTOR: welding engineering (Colorodo School of Mines and TI)
????: configures aircraft electrical system components (Westinghouse)
CASE: electrical connector assembly (BOEING)
FACTORY LAYOUT: ADL
TEST FLOW DESIGN: quality test and rework sequencing (ADL for defense
                  contractor)
PTRANS: planning computer systems (DEC/CMU)
PROCESS CONTROL: monitors alkylation plant (ADL)
TEST FOR STORAGE SUBSYSTEM HARDWARE: IBM
???: Capacity Planning for System 38 (IBM)
??? optimization of chemical plant for EXXON
???: manage and predict weather conditions TEXACO
???: manufacturing simulation BADGER CO.
???: expert system connected to robot HERMES (Oak Ridge National Lab)
???: nuclear fuel enhancement (Westinghouse)
???: dry dock loading (General Dynamics)

Medicine, internal development
????: serum protein analysis: Helena Labs
PUFF: pulmonary function test interpretation: Pacific Medical Center
ONCOCIN: cancer therapy manager: Stanford Oncology Clinic
CORY: diagnoses invasive cardiac testas: Cedars Sinai Medimum Center
TQMSTUNE: tunes tripple quadrupole mass spectrometer
                (Lawrence Livermore National Labs)
DENDRAL: Molecular Design, Ltd.
Synchem: plans chemical synthesis tests: SUNY-Stonybrook
THEORISTS: polymer properties (3M)
???: organic chemical analysis (Hewlett-Packard)
APPL: real time control of chemical processes related to aircraft parts
      (Lockheed-Georgia)

Geology Internally Developed Systems

SECOFOR: drill bit sticking problems (Elf-Aquitatine)
GEOX: identifies earth minerals from remotely sensed hyperspectral image data
     (NASA)
MUDMAN: diagnoses drilling mud problems (NL Industries)
oNIX and DIPMETER ADVISOR: oil well logging data related systems(Schlumberger)
TOGA: analyze power transformation conditions (Radian/ for Hartford
    Steamboiler, Inspection and Insurance Co.)

Agriculture Internally Developed Systems

WHEAT COUNSELOR: diasease control (ICI)
POMME: apple orchard management (VA Poly inst.)
PLANT/cd and PLANT/ds: soybean diseases (University of Illinois)
GRAIN MARKETING ADVISOR: (PUrdue University and TI)

Military

AALPS: cargo planning for aircraft (US Army)
RNTDS: design command and control programs for ships (Sperry)
SONAR DOME TESTING: analysis of trials of sonar systems (ADL for defence
    contractor)
NAVEX: assistant to shuttle operations (NASA)

IMAGE INTERPRETATION: analyse aerial reconniassance photos (ADL for defense
    contractor)

Other

INFORMART ADVISOR: Advises shoppers on computer purchases
TVX: Teaches VMS operating systems (DEC)
DECGUIDE: teaches rules for design checking (Lockheed)
SEMACS: monitors Securities INdustry Automation Companies Network (SIAC/Sperry)
Financial Statement Analyser: Arthur Anderson

__________________________________________________________________________
Neuron Data plans to have NEXPERT running on the PC/AT, and the MICRO VAX.
The new system will have frames, object hierarchies and the ability to
move data among concurrently running programs which will allow them to
do blackboarding.

__________________________________________________________________________
Paine Webber has downgraded Symbolics from "Buy" to "Attractive" due
to 'market place confusion caused by Symbolics imminent transition to
gate-array-based."

Intellicorp got a "neutral' rating from Paine Webber due to the fact that
it runs 'unaacceptably slowly' and that 'rapid expansion and redeployment
of talent may strain IntelliCorp's sale forces ability to produce'

__________________________________________________________________________
Symbolics prices

3620 will sell at $49,900 and 3650 will sell for $65,900.  Symbolics
has introduced a product to allow developers to prevent users from accidentally
accessing underlying software utilities.

__________________________________________________________________________
Ibuki has announced Kyoto Common Lisp.  It takes 1.4MB with the kernel
in C.  It costs $700.00 and runs on AT&T 3B2, Integrated Solutions,
Ultrix, Suns, and 4bsd

__________________________________________________________________________
Integrated Inference Machines has announced SM45000 symbolic
machines.  It is microcodable for various languages and costs from $39,000
to $44,000.  The company claims more performance than a Symbolics.

__________________________________________________________________________
reviews of Wendy B. Rauch-Hindin's two volume Artificial Intelligence in
Business, Science and Industry, Artificial Intelligence Enters the Marketplace
by Larry Harris and Dwight Davis.  and Who's Who in Artifificial Intelligence.
The latter contains 399 individual biographies as well as other info.