PJURKAT@SITVXA.BITNET (11/12/86)
In association with two other faculty members of the Department of Management, I plan to offer a semester long research seminar, in the Spring 1987 semester, entitled REPRESENTATION OF UNCERTAINTY AND BELIEF IN EXPERT SYSTEMS To be covered are representations based on Bayesian theory, statistical inference and sampling distributions, discriminant functions, Schafer's theory of evidence, and fuzzy set theory. Participants will be asked to concentrate on finding and testing evidence which supports (or not) any of these theories as actually being related to the way experts deal with uncertainty and belief. The other faculty will review the representation work of cognitive science and experimental psychology. This note is to ask readers to pass on any recent work in these areas, particulary any experimental evidence on the actual workings of experts. We have the Kahneman, Slovic and Tversky book "Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases", published in 1982. I will post any interesting ideas and work that comes out of the seminar. Thank you for your consideration. Peter Jurkat (pjurkat@sitvxa)