ARMS-D-Request@MIT-MC.ARPA (Moderator) (11/15/85)
Arms-Discussion Digest Thursday, November 14, 1985 5:53PM Volume 5, Issue 20 Today's Topics: Historical A-bombs Re: Triad Deterrent and Interservice Rivalry Nuclear Winter & Missile Basing Acronyms again ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 14 Nov 85 11:25:22 EST From: dual!islenet!bob at ucbvax.berkeley.edu@MIT-MC.ARPA Subject: Historical A-bombs About the Pacific islands being inhabited or not, most of them were and still are. The "higher" the island (the taller any mountains), the more rain they tend to get, and the larger the population. Amount of fresh water is usually the main factor limiting an island's population. Successive waves of immigration over the last 1,000 years or so across Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia reached virtually every island in the Pacific. Generally, only the smallest, flattest and most barren islands lack a local population. People on the various islands were extensively employed by the Japanese -- building fortifications if nothing else during WWII. Thus, the largest, most extensively defended islands (the best targets) tended to have the largest populations (often outnumbering the Japanese soldiers by quite a bit). Whether this would have inhibited U.S. use of nuclear weapons during the Pacific campaign is anybody's guess now. However, if the U.S. had possessed such weapons at the time of the Billy Mitchell raid, they just might have been used then. On the other hand, had the Japanese possessed a nuclear capability at the beginning of the war, they might well have used them here in Hawaii as part of the attack on Pearl Harbor ... Bob Cunningham {dual|vortex|ihnp4}!islenet!bob Hawaii Institute of Geophysics, University of Hawaii ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Nov 85 17:01 EST From: Jong@HIS-BILLERICA-MULTICS.ARPA Subject: Re: Triad Deterrent and Interservice Rivalry The diversity of the Triad isn't the problem; it's the size of the legs. If only one service had been given nuclear weapons in 1945-50, we wouldn't have so many warheads now. Dwyer's point (I think) is that the competition for more and better weapons was interservice rivalry more than threat response. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Nov 85 17:15:19 EST From: vax135!cornell!kevin at lasspvax.tn.cornell.edu (Kevin Saunders)@MIT-MC.ARPA Subject: Nuclear Winter & Missile Basing [] I'd like to raise the question of whether nuclear winter (and to some extent, counterforce targeting) makes the basing of ICBM's within cities a rational strategy. Besides making your civilians "hostages" to this kind of aggression (in much the same way as the US forces in Europe were considered as a "trip wire" in the 50's), an attempt at a disarming first strike would be much more likely to cause global calamity, inducing "rational aggressors" to look to more profitable enterprises. Alternatives to cities would include forests, coal mines, and other areas containing natural resources which would burn and produce soot after bombing. Such a tactic would have some problems with security and expense, but the expenses would certainly be orders of magnitude lower than the cost of SDI, particularly when the cost of countering the inevitable response to SDI is considered. Sincerely, Kevin Eric Saunders kevin%lasspvax.tn.edu.cornell@cu-arpa ------------------------------ Date: 14 Nov 1985 14:02:35 PST Subject: Acronyms again From: David Booth <DBOOTH@USC-ISIB.ARPA> From: Jeffrey S. Gruszynski <jsg@AEROSPACE.ARPA> Subject: Re: VMOS instead of krytrons ". . . My comment about SF . . . ." ". . . SEU could be prevented . . . ." Please avoid acronyms that are not accepted into common usage. If you must use one, define it first. Last I knew, "SF" meant "San Francisco". ------------------------------ End of Arms-Discussion Digest *****************************