ARMS-D-Request@XX.LCS.MIT.EDU (Moderator) (10/03/86)
Arms-Discussion Digest Friday, October 3, 1986 12:12AM Volume 7, Issue 26 Today's Topics: Autonomous weapons comment Part of the problem or part of the solution? Re: knowledge and being co-opted... Administrivia ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tuesday, 30 September 1986 23:00-EDT From: infinet!rhorn%wanginst.UUCP at harvard.HARVARD.EDU (Rob Horn) To: arms-d Re: Autonomous weapons comment Posted-Date: Tue, 30 Sep 86 23:00:10 edt I find the discussion on autonomous weapons a bit confusing. Perhaps it is because there are two different issues here. In one case there is the danger to civilians, non-combatants and post-combatants from such weapons. Here I find it hard to understand why mines and even ``duds'' are not important. They were extensively used during WWII and have very long dangerous lifespans. ``Duds'' in Flanders were killing civilians for decades after the war was over. These things self-destruct only through corrosion or decay. In contrast most of the new autonomous weapons are powered and become relatively harmless within months or years (when they run out of power). But psychologically there is a tremendous difference. Mines evoke fear, but not terror or horror. This is because they are just another danger zone like quicksand or freeways. They present no new concepts in danger, just a variation on a commonplace form of danger. These new weapons however introduce something new: a non-human predator. Very few people ever experience being prey to a predator, and no human society has had to fear non-human predators for millenia. I think that much of the reaction to these weapons (and the reason that they are feared so much more than other weapons) is that while people can handle the concept of a human predator this new non-human predator is a new level of terror. I also suspect that the degrees of autonomy will bear much more relationship to the degree that the weapon resembles a predator that preys on people than to the degree of control over the weapon. Rob Horn UUCP: ...{decvax, seismo!harvard}!wanginst!infinet!rhorn Snail: Infinet, 40 High St., North Andover, MA ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Oct 86 10:15:59 pdt From: Gary Chapman <chapman@russell.stanford.edu> Subject: Part of the problem or part of the solution? I am particularly interested in the question of whether working in the arms control field, especially with some technical expertise, makes one part of the problem or part of the solution. This strikes close to home since I actually do work in this field with some technical expertise, and a good number of my friends do too. I can say that this is something that is constantly debated among the people who work in arms control and in the peace movement. There is considerable tension between the "experts" and the "activists." Last year there was a conference at Harvard that tried to get the two sides talking to each other and the whole thing was pretty much a failure. The experts believe that the grassroots and legislative activists are too naive about the complexities of the arms race, and the activists feel the experts have become captive to their own hermetic discipline and have lost sight of the goal of making the world safe from nuclear weapons. When things get extreme, the experts talk derisively about the "rabble rousing freezeniks," and the activists laugh at the "bean counters." About a month ago I went out to dinner with my legislative liaison from Washington. She has since left the lobbying business to go to graduate school for a degree in public policy, arms control and science. She is a smashingly bright person and a tremendously effective lobbyist. She wants to work in the White House (under a Democratic administration), and I suspect she probably will. I asked her the critical question: Do you do this because it's interesting, or because you want to save the world from nuclear catastrophe? She answered, "Both." That's the right answer, I think. We should never approach the nuclear question as just another academic subject that we find intriguing. But at the same time, one can make a career out of studying this field without living with a daily anguish that you are not accomplishing enough. Moving to the extreme of either pole leads to some kind of pathology in the soul, I imagine. I know people who calmly study the effects of "low intensity nuclear exchanges," and consult their Rand Bomb Damage Effects wheel. I find these people warped. On the other hand I know people who are so consumed by anxiety over the existence of nuclear weapons that they are almost completely ineffectual in helping to get rid of them. In order for there to be real change in the nuclear weapons field, there has to be some kind of reconciliation between the experts and the activists. Experts have to understand that they are subject to the same fate as the rest of us, and they must learn to be less skeptical of the broad brushes of the peace movement. But the peace movement must learn to be more patient in the process of constructing agreements that really do make a difference. It is a complex process and people must understand this. The best of all possible worlds would be for the American public to have a solid consensus on the desirability of arms control and arms reduction, and a grateful attitude about the ability of experts to craft agreements aimed at reducing the threat of nuclear weapons. This is not likely to happen, however, so we must try to work politically to bridge the gap between the public's goals--both for arms control and for standing up to the Soviets--and the inevitable pride and professionalism of the arms control experts. I personally think it is possible to combine a detailed technical expertise in some issue related to nuclear weapons with a passionate political commitment for their elimination. But this largely depends on one's circumstances. Such a person is not likely to thrive at Rand or in the O-Group at Lawrence Livermore. Nor is a person with a solid technical background likely to be appreciated at the Fellowship for Reconciliation. There will always be a tension surrounding such a person no matter where he or she works, but the right job in the right time will make all the difference. ------------------------------ Date: 1 Oct 86 14:46:32 PDT (Wednesday) From: Hoffman.es@Xerox.COM Subject: Re: knowledge and being co-opted... Does knowing about ... matters related to defense make a person part of the problem rather than part of the solution? No, but I think it's IMPOSSIBLE for an outsider to know ENOUGH about matters related to defense to be an effective part of the solution. The insiders always have that trump card in any argument: "Classified information that you haven't seen and I can't tell you about proves you're wrong." That's why I don't try to memorize a lot of defense-related facts and figures. -- Rodney Hoffman ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1986 08:31 EDT From: LIN@XX.LCS.MIT.EDU Subject: Administrivia ==>> Please help with this: Date: Thursday, 2 October 1986 00:17-EDT From: MAILER-DAEMON%lownlab.UUCP at harvard.HARVARD.EDU To: harvard!XX.LCS.MIT.EDU!ARMS-D-Request at harvard.HARVARD.EDU Re: Returned mail: Unable to deliver mail ----- Transcript of session follows ----- 554 :include: /usr/local/lib/mail/arpa/arms-d... Cannot open /usr/local/lib/mail/arpa/arms-d: No such file or directory ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1986 20:12 EDT From: LIN@XX.LCS.MIT.EDU Subject: Administrivia ==>> Please help with this: Date: Thursday, 2 October 1986 09:13-EDT From: Mail Delivery Subsystem <MAILER-DAEMON at sdcsvax.ucsd.edu> To: arms-d-request at BRL.ARPA Re: Returned mail: User unknown ----- Transcript of session follows ----- 550 davidson... User unknown ------------------------------ End of Arms-Discussion Digest *****************************