kfl%mx.lcs.mit.edu@MC.LCS.MIT.EDU (08/06/86)
From: Hank.Walker@unh.cs.cmu.edu ... Most of those on welfare are unwed teenage mothers, or divorcees. Many states have welfare laws designed to keep the husband around in a married couple, ... Marriage is not the issue. The father should share with the mother the costs of raising a child. This is true whether or not they are or ever were married. This is true whether or not they are or ever were living together. Many people choose not to get married, either because of the severe marriage penalty tax, or because they aren't sure they won't soon want to switch partners, or because they oppose the institution of marriage for whatever ideological reasons. Remember the high black teenage unemployment rate? Do you think this is the cause or the effect of welfare? The divorcees can get off welfare when their ex-husbands start providing child support. Why should they bother pressing for child support from the fathers? They get money either way. In many cases, the mother splits the welfare check with the father. Whether or not he is employed. The [social security] law has already been changed so that the retirement age will rise to 67, and taxes will increase. Why should there be any mandatory retirement age? Why should the age be up to government, anyway? Yes, taxes will increase. This is the solution to the shortfall? Perhaps, but it is a cure that is worse than the disease. The social security tax is said to be 7.35 percent, but that doesn't take into account the employer contribution and the fact that it is on before- tax income. Social security actually takes about a quarter of the average employee's after tax income. And no deductions are allowed for anything, not even for being blind or having dependents. How high should it be allowed to go? Who decides how high is high enough? The current tax rate is higher than last year's, and is as high as it has ever been. Do you think it will ever go down? Do you think it will ever remain constant? Do you think the economy can indefinitely tolerate an endlessly increasing tax of this size? Current retirees got a good deal. Future retirees won't get a good deal because their money could have been earning higher interest in savings accounts. So could the money of the current retirees. The Social Security system is no longer a pyramid scheme, ... Yes it is. It is a classic Ponzi type scam. Money from later investors is paid to earlier investors, giving the illusion that money is growing. A separate issue for the long-term future is one raised by Nils Nilsson in the Summer 1984 issue of AI Magazine. If productivity keeps on increasing even at relatively low rates, we may find it difficult to consume all the goods and services produced. ... Maybe so, but I am willing to give it a try! If this situation comes true, then we may be lowering, rather than increasing, the retirement age 100 years from now. Why should we (I assume you mean government) have anything to do with deciding when someone should retire? Many people get much enjoyment from their jobs. I do not see that increased productivity need lead to unemployment. There is an infinite amount of work to be done. It's just that there is only a finite amount that anyone can afford to pay people to do. As the wealth of the world increases, the amount of affordable work will also increase. A simple example is if I was very wealthy I would hire people to do such things as design and build a mansion for me. And I would eat out more often, leading to more restraunt jobs, and I would buy more goods, leading to more retail and manufacturing jobs, etc, etc. ...Keith -------