[net.politics.theory] The Great Society

bob@pedsgd.UUCP (Robert A. Weiler) (09/04/85)

Organization : Perkin-Elmer DSG, Tinton Falls NJ
Keywords: 

In article <28200052@inmet.UUCP> nrh@inmet.UUCP writes:
>>/* Written 10:28 am  Aug 19, 1985 by pedsgd!bob in inmet:net.politics.t */
>>In article <28200051@inmet.UUCP> nrh@inmet.UUCP writes:
>>>If you want a lot of evidence for this, I suggest you read Charles
>>>Murray's "Losing Ground".  In brief, the welfare state has harmed those
>>
>>I must get a copy of this book I guess. As refutation, Teddy White in
>>"The Making of the President 1972" claims that the average income for
>>blacks rose dramtically under the Great Society. I can ferret out the
>>exact numbers if you want. Apparently they came from the 1970 census,
>>but its hard to tell. On the down side, the number of broken homes
>>also rose dramatically.
>
>I'd be very interested in precisely what is claimed.  Take a look at
>page 62 of Murray's book -- a graph there shows a steep plunge in
>poverty for "blacks & others" (non-whites) from 1960-1970, and then
>an erratic hovering around 30% from 1970-1980. 
>

Ok, I've found it. 'The Making of the President - 1972' pg 189.
Quoted without permission:

	Conscience, violence, and determined government action
	had in the sixties finally begun to open opportunities
	for some black people, and the numbers reflected that
	too. Median Negro family income had risen by 50 percent
	in terms of constant dollars in the course of the
	sixties - to $6,520 a year per family in 1970. Only
	9 percent of black families had earned more than $10,000
	a year in 1960 - by 1970, 24 percent earned more than
	that. And *young* black families ( those under thirty-five )
	were now averaging $8,900 a year, or 91 percent of white
	income in the same age group. Education of sorts was
	finally being delivered to American blacks in big cities -
	56 percent of all young black adults (between twenty-five
	and twenty-nine years old) had completed high school, as
	contrasted with 38 percent ten years earlier. By the fall
	of 1972, the 727,000 young blacks in college where more
	than double the number in college in 1964 - and they
	were 9 percent of all American college students; black
	illiteracy, counting those over fourteen years old, had
	dropped in a decade from 7.5 percent to 3.6 percent.

He goes on to describe the cost in broken homes. However, if we
are to judge the Great Society in economic and education factors,
the figures given indicate to me remarkable success. If Mr Murray
is arguing otherwise, either he or Mr White have made an error,
and you'll have to choose who you believe. BTW, Mr White
considers the Great Society a failure because of its affect on
cities and broken black families, so there is reason to believe
his numbers are accurate; he has no bone to pick.

Bob Weiler.

josh@topaz.RUTGERS.EDU (J Storrs Hall) (09/06/85)

In article <259@pedsgd.UUCP> bob@pedsgd.UUCP (Robert A. Weiler) writes:
> 'The Making of the President - 1972' pg 189.:
>	 Median Negro family income had risen by 50 percent...
>	... And *young* black families ( those under thirty-five )
>	were now averaging $8,900 a year, or 91 percent of white
>	income in the same age group. ...
>
>... If Mr Murray
>is arguing otherwise, either he or Mr White have made an error,
>and you'll have to choose who you believe. 
>Bob Weiler.

As usual, the actual situation is (was) more complex than Usenet
cheapthought allows for.  White's figures, and others usually
used to show the "success" of the Great Society, are perfectly
compatible with Murray's, and as far as I know, all of them are
literally factual.  What White (and Weiler) do is show the 
optimistic aggregates that resulted from the righ getting richer,
and ignore that the poor were getting poorer.  Murray makes a 
point of showing that the top two fifths of blacks did very 
well from the Great Society, but that it put a cap on the bottom
fifth, whom it locked permanently into poverty.

--JoSH